TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Will Team Yandex win PGL Wallachia Season 7?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,382

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,382 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf9b5…09eebacked No47c11,950$5,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,616.5855157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes56c8,948$4,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,950.152751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked No47c2,685$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.0636041.4%149 W · 211 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed No41c2,274$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.5351751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes53c2,209$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.267955.7%44 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb787…ad0abacked Yes52c1,944$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.2614446.5%67 W · 77 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe694…0a08backed Yes53c1,102$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.8218152.5%95 W · 86 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Yes53c1,016$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.0535850.6%181 W · 177 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cb0…f493backed Yes53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.42166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked No10c768.89$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.761225%3 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce1f…7392backed Yes53c704.75$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.7867853.5%363 W · 315 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1a…4221backed No39c632.59$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-36.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bfc…fd26backed Yes58c618.22$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.091855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No24c582.1$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.366237.1%23 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes4c466.11$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.7117023.5%40 W · 130 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x387e…ca5dbacked Yes64c453.5$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.4411857.6%68 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ca7…3411backed Yes56c450$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.617068.6%48 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3435…1913backed Yes53c423$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.911650%8 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7cf…a603backed Yes50c421.54$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.496349.2%31 W · 32 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed No44c411.46$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18280742.6%344 W · 463 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dab…f602backed Yes52c384.45$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.543228.1%9 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-43.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb4cb…63bebacked Yes54c381.04$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.0412455.6%69 W · 55 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26ac…a735backed No54c373.3$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x194f…c849backed Yes54c369.99$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.9615642.9%67 W · 89 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb820…d3fabacked Yes54c351.68$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.68933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3798…c20ebacked Yes53c311.19$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.282650%13 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2971…fff8backed Yes73c303.19$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Yes7c298.18$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.578223.2%19 W · 63 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1c6…d2d6backed Yes53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.028445.2%38 W · 46 L-9.1wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-21%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbda6…6ae0backed No48c263.81$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.536051.9%187 W · 173 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2f9…eb15backed Yes45c233.43$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.235253.8%28 W · 24 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+20.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4c0…23d8backed Yes54c219.42$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.7723957.3%137 W · 102 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes48c211.58$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.252,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a6c…0c81backed Yes57c173.31$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.331070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes8c164.34$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.92425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+230.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked No50c161.06$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8148539.2%190 W · 295 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Yes51c153.92$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6722727.3%62 W · 165 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b3a…bf52backed Yes64c148.43$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56f6…4568backed Yes50c147$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.52352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed No47c146.6$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1822456.3%126 W · 98 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ad5…8919backed Yes53c122.41$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.412454.2%13 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+20.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed No48c105.66$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6115452.6%81 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4f9…32b1backed Yes43c103.89$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5831245.8%143 W · 169 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95c8…3469backed Yes54c100.37$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3721551.6%111 W · 104 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00f7…4476backed No47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10ad…827cbacked Yes53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.131143.4%135 W · 176 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b2…e2d8backed Yes53c96$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.12650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Yes53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3421353.5%114 W · 99 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f3a…7dcbbacked Yes53c94.22$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2220952.6%110 W · 99 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e67…0f23backed Yes54c92.55$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.767263.9%46 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No43c89.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.499350.5%47 W · 46 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd183…c371backed Yes58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.211952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed No33c76.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.075318.9%10 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed No47c71.93$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.815642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5181…90a9backed Yes21c71.82$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.828252.4%43 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37d2…7847backed No47c64.09$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd08…2c93backed Yes56c57.1$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2116752.7%88 W · 79 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed No48c56.83$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.520349.8%101 W · 102 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae10…d0d9backed Yes36c56.27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0717353.2%92 W · 81 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99cd…26f0backed Yes53c53.52$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.213852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7117…4339backed No48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253839.5%15 W · 23 L-5.7wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-31.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7b9f…3aeebacked No49c50.07$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed No38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed No51c49.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9111549.6%57 W · 58 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x978f…e14dbacked No45c49.2$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf22b…7eabbacked Yes51c48.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.01450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Yes53c47.96$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5491356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed No48c46.88$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.516456.7%93 W · 71 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28af…05f5backed Yes54c46.55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.553036.7%11 W · 19 L-5.3wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-27.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes24c42.67$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.276169.7%60 W · 556 L-2.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb858…7dc3backed No48c41.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5264…54cebacked No49c40.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.912348%59 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaff9…e5c6backed Yes52c40.46$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.46475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked No50c40.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9416550.9%84 W · 81 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c57…47aabacked No50c38.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.174544.4%20 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x624e…e95cbacked No50c30.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.453046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fcd…8dd0backed Yes54c27.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.882642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x76fc…48fabacked No50c27.01$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4313247.7%63 W · 69 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1304…551ebacked Yes44c25.4$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.186847.1%32 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15f2…f5e7backed Yes53c24.37$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.372352.2%12 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Yes61c22.66$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.863145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…cbb3backed Yes65c22.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ec…cfcebacked Yes73c20.46$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x860e…a06dbacked Yes53c20.28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5316440.2%66 W · 98 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No79c18.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.89933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-41.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.