TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Will BetBoom Team win PGL Wallachia Season 7?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,802

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,802 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc49b…70c0backed Yes3c800$24 inLost-$2463032.5%205 W · 425 L+1.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes4c420.77$17 inLost-$17.1717023.5%40 W · 130 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Yes6c406.48$23 inLost-$23.138223.2%19 W · 63 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea9…42a1backed Yes27c400$107 inLost-$106.74250%21 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7713…daf0backed No74c282.19$210 inWon+$72.55354.7%29 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Yes17c240.86$42 inLost-$42.0480742.6%344 W · 463 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes5c236.6$11 inLost-$10.86425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+230.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26ac…a735backed Yes9c214.25$19 inLost-$19.314841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac51…a1fbbacked Yes6c177.88$10 inLost-$10.183429.4%10 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-40.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x937b…1c0abacked Yes22c116.88$25 inLost-$25.424017.5%7 W · 33 L-5.4wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-53%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes26c55.9$15 inLost-$14.596169.7%60 W · 556 L-2.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x151e…58debacked No80c50.2$40 inWon+$10.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd08…2c93backed No80c28.83$23 inWon+$5.7916752.7%88 W · 79 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b43…33cebacked No78c18.96$15 inWon+$4.1683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.