Dota2 · resolved market
Will Team Liquid win PGL Wallachia Season 7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c2f512ecdd3e9a84110ca73884566b27cbebdb811571f86c2983a2fd0a4a298
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,453
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,453 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Yes | 50c | 1,728$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.65 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Yes | 27c | 734.93$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.17 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea9…42a1backed Yes | 36c | 625$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed No | 64c | 601.27$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.46 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Yes | 35c | 507.78$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.27 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb0…f493backed Yes | 13c | 504.34$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…400cbacked Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Yes | 46c | 339.91$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.22 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd61…670bbacked Yes | 26c | 304.05$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad8…ca12backed No | 74c | 304.05$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 58c | 278.47$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Yes | 45c | 230$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 56c | 227.23$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.33 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 77c | 218.48$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b02…49dcbacked Yes | 48c | 208.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…c72abacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2760…ef06backed Yes | 35c | 208.21$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.15 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Yes | 49c | 206.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 64c | 181.29$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.86 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac51…a1fbbacked Yes | 19c | 178$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c17…6660backed Yes | 23c | 174.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Yes | 26c | 162.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 47c | 145.22$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.11 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 61c | 130.61$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…db4bbacked Yes | 39c | 129.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 28c | 123.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +230.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac2…df3abacked Yes | 45c | 111.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Yes | 48c | 104.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d8…00f3backed Yes | 36c | 95.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Yes | 52c | 90.78$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9a…6e9ebacked Yes | 36c | 89.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed Yes | 23c | 88.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 57c | 79.58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae66…30a0backed Yes | 22c | 76.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…ff3bbacked Yes | 41c | 73.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 17c | 73.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 170 | 23.5%40 W · 130 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…4e3dbacked Yes | 43c | 70.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed Yes | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…748abacked Yes | 34c | 65.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 130 | 26.2%34 W · 96 L | -15.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb858…7dc3backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c3…9afabacked Yes | 23c | 57.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 34c | 53.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf42…5276backed Yes | 39c | 49.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 30c | 48.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7117…4339backed Yes | 53c | 47.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 49c | 45.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e5…d034backed Yes | 72c | 45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed No | 67c | 42.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…941ebacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 236 | 40.7%96 W · 140 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb30…a4c1backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 73c | 34.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…3eb1backed Yes | 36c | 31.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -74%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b4…17b1backed Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 64c | 25.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d32…6316backed No | 67c | 24.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Team Liquid win PGL Wallachia Season 7? this page
- Will Aurora Gaming win PGL Wallachia Season 7? No won
- Will BetBoom Team win PGL Wallachia Season 7? No won
- Will HEROIC win PGL Wallachia Season 7? No won
- Will MOUZ win PGL Wallachia Season 7? No won
- Will PARIVISION win PGL Wallachia Season 7? No won
- Will Team Falcons win PGL Wallachia Season 7? No won
- Will Team Nemesis win PGL Wallachia Season 7? No won
- Will Team Spirit win PGL Wallachia Season 7? No won
- Will Team Yandex win PGL Wallachia Season 7? Yes won
- Will Tundra Esports win PGL Wallachia Season 7? No won
- Will Xtreme Gaming win PGL Wallachia Season 7? No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.