TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x39aa…583c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,905
Categories scored
44
Categories below 50
22

Best Category: Weather, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 55 out of 100; worst Asian League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT59225.3%150 W · 442 L+2.3wins0.00per pick25cpaid-42.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 592 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.58
Will White House post 200+ posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+186.3%+$42.19
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.89
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.59
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.55
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$57.69
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$25.58
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.05
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$132.01
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.38
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.68
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+101.5%+$382.77
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.08
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.55
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.96
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.58
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.73
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.42
Showing 25 of 592 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT21239.6%84 W · 128 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 212 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Adidas be the shirt manufacturer of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+75.6%+$461.34
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$781Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$781.13
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$9,587Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,587
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,814Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+98.1%+$2,759.96
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$932Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$932.01
Will 5+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.79
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.95
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$103.34
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.39
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$676Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$207.8
Will England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+110.2%+$94.16
Will France finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.02
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,368Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,367.54
Will Nike be the shirt manufacturer of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$170.39
Will the final be ESP vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.01
Will Spain be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,723Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$690.21
Will England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.25
Will the third-place match be FRA vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.78
Will England be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$173.83
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.54
Will the third-place match be FRA vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+181.6%+$76.87
Will the final be ESP vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,088Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+153.4%+$1,668.83
Will England win the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.39
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+62.4%+$115.68
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$777Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$776.51
Showing 25 of 212 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT17042.9%73 W · 97 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 170 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.77
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.75
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.35
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+91.7%+$20.14
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.61
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.14
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$35.31
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+113.6%+$13.87
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.15
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.4
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+32%+$19.45
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$44.37
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.39
Will Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+107.4%+$28.47
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$8.24
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.05
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$43.05
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.65
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+115%+$395.63
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.84
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+107.9%+$42.91
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.28
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.33
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.05
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.23
Showing 25 of 170 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT14142.6%60 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 141 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$669Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$235.97
Will Group D be the group of the EWC CS2 2026 Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$68.01
Will Team Spirit make CS2 EWC Grand finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.48
Will FURIA Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$29.22
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Liquid (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffsbacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+645.5%+$591.83
Will MOUZ Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+131.2%+$366.1
Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.7
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.53
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Bbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$991Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+305.3%+$3,025.27
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,577Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,577.36
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,691Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$789.05
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,350.03
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.92
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$359.24
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$412Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+88.3%+$363.63
Will Aurora reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.17
Will FURIA reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.5
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.8
Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.06
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Natus Vincere qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$272.22
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.81
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.23
Will 9z qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,170Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+86.3%+$1,873.13
Showing 25 of 141 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT13534.8%47 W · 88 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 135 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.29
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.84
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.06
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.98
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+196.5%+$302.34
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$224.1
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 85m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.8
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.44
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.6
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.6
Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 21m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.74
Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+421.7%+$98.78
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+522.8%+$77.35
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.67
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.09
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.53
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+137.9%+$98.34
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.19
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.57
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.33
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$56.71
Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.22
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 23m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.75
Showing 25 of 135 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT8129.6%24 W · 57 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-44.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 81 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.08
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$68.74
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.8
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+162.7%+$54.97
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.23
Will the Democratic Party of Korea win 10 or more seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.95
Will voter turnout be between 90% and 95% in the 2026 Maltese general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.56
Will voter turnout be between 85% and 90% in the 2026 Maltese general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+216%+$66.49
Will voter turnout be less than 85% in the 2026 Maltese general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.91
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.46
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.28
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$117.38
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,804Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+60.1%+$1,083.97
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,245.47
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Jorge Nieto advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Keiko Fujimori and Jorge Nieto advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.65
Will Alfonso López Chau and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.03
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,042Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,041.95
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$8,299Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,298.54
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10,147Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$3,362.08
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$27,945Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$7,150.92
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+151.3%+$410.81
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$378.76
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.38
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026 be at least 2.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.29
Showing 25 of 81 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT6719.4%13 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.52
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+135.1%+$109.38
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.03
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.86
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.92
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.07
Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.49
Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+1,117.4%+$207.52
Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.13
Will Silver (SI) settle at $90-$100 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.68
Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.6
Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.08
Will Silver (SI) settle at $100-$115 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.56
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.79
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.46
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.99
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.91
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$738Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+92.2%+$680.13
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$318.97
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.84
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.85
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.53
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$268.29
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.91
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT5022%11 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-37%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USD be between 1.6M and 1.7M Iranian rials on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+203%+$40.52
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,628Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+109%+$3,953.02
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.37
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$707Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$706.51
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.61
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.02
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.31
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.43
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.41
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.47
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.43
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.91
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.29
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,930Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,929.82
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$671Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$670.67
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.55
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$397.72
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.47
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+53.7%+$17.17
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.92
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.63
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.64
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$695Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$694.78
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4139%16 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,922Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$1,040.75
Will Dplus Kia win the EWC League of Legends Tournamentbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.36
Will Karmine Corp win the EWC League of Legends Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$562Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$561.67
Will LCK (South Korea) Region Win the Most Series in the MSI 2026 Knockout Stagebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$91.21
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.5
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.61
Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,035Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+126.3%+$1,307.67
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,350.48
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$337.21
Will LPL (China) Region Win the Most Series in the MSI 2026 Knockout Stagebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$709Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+45%+$318.59
Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$5,885Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$2,096.04
Will T1 win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$378.09
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+62.9%+$171.93
Will Karmine Corp win LEC 2026 Spring?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.05
Will G2 Esports win LEC 2026 Spring?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.08
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$7,913Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$2,086.8
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$527Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$527.03
Will Bilibili Gaming win First Stand 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,015Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$1,294.38
Will G2 Esports win First Stand 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$824Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$824.42
Will JD Gaming win First Stand 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.26
Will Gen.G win First Stand 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.77
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.46
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$315.63
Will Gen.G win the LCK Cup 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$67.63
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,997Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$1,996.88
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT3743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+111.1%+$29.02
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.94
Will annual inflation increase by 3.7% in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$12.08
Will annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$13.44
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.82
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.65
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.35
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+510.3%+$89.35
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.13
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.04
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.97
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.42
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.5% and 6.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.81
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+141.3%+$297.57
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.1% and 3.3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.64
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–2.50 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.79
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50–2.75 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$25.29
Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.1
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+85.8%+$24.41
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.71
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$15.72
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be 2.6%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+25.3%+$7.76
Will the US add between 75k and 100k jobs in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+244.4%+$37.45
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$50.18
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+30.5%+$31.14
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT3414.7%5 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-61.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$5,318Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,318.14
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,575Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+405.9%+$6,394.62
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 25-28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.97
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 21-24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.58
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 17-20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.35
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 13-16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.09
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 9-12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.45
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 5-8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.49
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 1-4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.37
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 28-31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$954Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$954.47
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,807Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,806.51
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 24-27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$488.09
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 20-23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.69
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 16-19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 12-15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.32
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 8-11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.33
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 4-7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.18
Will the DHS shutdown end between February 28-March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$33.61
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45.41
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.79
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+188%+$596.13
Will the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.69
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$279.74
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$210.63
Will the DHS shutdown end between February 24-27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$34.5
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST3237.5%12 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,008.38
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 125M and 150M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12.23
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,574Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+74.1%+$1,165.93
Will a No. 2 seed win Super Bowl LXbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$125.94
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$22.51
Will the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl play in the AFC East?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$122.64
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+609.2%+$1,101.94
Will a No. 1 seed win Super Bowl LXbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+41.7%+$51.23
Will New England beat Seattle in Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$53.35
Big Game - Winning Conference backed AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$39.18
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50.7
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 120 and 130 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+26.5%+$26.23
Will New England face Seattle in Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$63.49
Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+84%+$91.03
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$226.13
Will New England face Los Angeles R in Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$106.76
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+81.6%+$167.34
Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$543Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$542.9
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+235.8%+$1,107.22
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+87.2%+$121.69
Will the Texans win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$411.46
Will the Bills win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$204.56
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the NFC South?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$131.7
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the AFC North?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+112.2%+$35.43
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the AFC North?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$34.09
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,128Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+96.6%+$4,955.36
Will PlayTime win the 2026 Games of the Future tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+115.5%+$13.36
Will Yakult Brothers win the 2026 Games of the Future tournamentbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$5.8
Will Rune Eaters win the 2026 Games of the Future tournamentbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$3.61
Dota 2: Midas Club vs Team Resilience (BO3) - Games of the Future Group Bbacked Midas Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will PARIVISION win the EWC Dota 2 Tournamentbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,091Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,091.34
Will BetBoom Team win the EWC Dota 2 Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.68
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,809Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+74.2%+$1,341.64
Will Aurora Gaming win PGL Wallachia Season 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.86
Will Team Yandex win ESL One Birmingham 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,538Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,538.04
Will Tundra Esports win ESL One Birmingham 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$872Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$872.14
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO5) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,018Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+112.5%+$3,394.31
Will Team Liquid win PGL Wallachia Season 7? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+77.7%+$99.33
Will Team Yandex win PGL Wallachia Season 7? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,998Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+79%+$3,950.15
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,688Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,687.72
Will Aurora win DreamLeague 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$58.94
Will Natus Vincere win Blast Slam VI? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$40.1
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+39.3%+$26.41
Dota 2: OG vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+136.7%+$270.86
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$250.47
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20.63
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+68.5%+$82.36
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$79.25
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+38.9%+$84
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$73
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$7.95
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.91
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$548Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$190.82
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$35.86
Will SpaceX raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.59
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.46
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $30B and $40B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
Will GMR Solutions' market cap be less than $4.5B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+94.9%+$59.26
Will GMR Solutions' market cap be between $4.5B and $5.0B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.46
Will GMR Solutions' market cap be between $5.5B and $6.0B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.39
Will GMR Solutions not IPO before July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
Will Kailera Therapeutics’s market cap be between $2.0B and $2.1B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$2.95
Will Kailera Therapeutics’s market cap be between $1.9B and $2.0B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.36
Will Arxis’s market cap be between $12B and $13B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.37
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,528Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+84.6%+$2,138.74
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$2,114.61
Will Forgent Power Solutions' market cap be between $8.75B and $9.00B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+69.5%+$51.66
Will Medline's market cap be between $55B and $65B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$30.3
Will Medline's market cap be between $35B and $45B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$154.48
Will Medline's market cap be between $45B and $55B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+203.9%+$207.16
All 22 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT2231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-30.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$551Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+103.2%+$568.4
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.01
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.58
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.12
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$236.68
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.93
Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.62
Will there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$29.4
Will SpaceX have exactly 12 launches in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+308.4%+$63.86
Will SpaceX have less than or equal to 11 launches in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.63
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.64
Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the top AI model on April 24, 2026 (Style Control On)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$9.03
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.87
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.44
Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.98
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.04
Atlas global browser market share 1%+ on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Sam Altman say "Car" or "Tesla" on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$564Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$564
Will Golden by HUNTR/X be the #1 searched song on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$148.86
Will Zohran Mamdani be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$57.32
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+78.6%+$88
Will Tesla (TSLA) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+42%+$14.94
All 22 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-40.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$21.78
Will Mercedes get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.23
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.73
Will Mercedes get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.49
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+184.7%+$289.53
Will Red Bull get pole position at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+38.9%+$4.22
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$31.37
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$210.44
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$94.53
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,562Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+38.5%+$985.86
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$676Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$675.65
Will Max Verstappen finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,929Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+26.2%+$504.4
Will Lando Norris finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$83.97
Will Lando Norris finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$267.39
Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$211.93
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,125Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+51.8%+$582.28
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$599.51
All 18 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-38.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,923Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+145.9%+$2,805.8
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,971Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,970.65
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,296Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+119.5%+$1,548.8
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,591Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$2,590.69
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,340Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+85.3%+$1,143.64
Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$238.78
Will Switzerland win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+93.6%+$246.02
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$149.57
Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$245.91
Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$37.67
Men's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakiabacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$578Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$578.04
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$84.56
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$272.7
Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$179.21
Women's Final - USA vs. Canadabacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+33.4%+$27.52
Will Sweden win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$121.25
All 16 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+85.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Stocks — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Microsoft (MSFT) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of March 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+25%+$9
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,000-$7,100 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+66.7%+$7.99
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $480–500 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+51%+$38.85
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $460–480 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$25.6
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at >$500 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$78.23
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $450–475 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$65.5
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $475–500 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$90.5
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $425–450 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+1,266.1%+$241.74
Will Opendoor dip to $4 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+28.5%+$13.3
Will Opendoor dip to $5 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+35.2%+$26.05
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+96.1%+$32.85
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of November 10 above $6.50?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+194.9%+$36.35
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of November 10 above $5.50?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$46.4
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of November 10 above $280?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+122.2%+$23.65
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$122.47
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$1,206.62
Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the Big Ten conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$734Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$734.39
Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the Big East conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.33
Will a 1 seed win the 2026 Men's NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.16
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.04
Will Arizona advance to the National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.06
Will Michigan advance to the National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48.74
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.27
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.89
Will Illinois advance to the National Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$118.48
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.72
Will UConn win the 2025-2026 Big East Men’s Basketball regular season championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+55.7%+$35.87
Will St. John’s win the 2025-2026 Big East Men’s Basketball regular season championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$42.41
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-71.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,556Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$762.3
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,237.68
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.59
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.34
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$13.89
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.71
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.03
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.31
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$143
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.37
Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$17.57
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$3,323Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$3,323.24
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,251Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+40.6%+$913.65
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.47
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.88
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.43
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+64%+$28.55
Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$52.37
Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$54.1
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.88
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+138.9%+$188.42
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.33
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.88
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.29
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+521.2%+$182.46
All 13 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-55.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Heidenheim vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+53.8%+$17.5
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+28.1%+$43.82
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11.89
Will Borussia Dortmund vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+25%+$6.25
Will FC Augsburg vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$13.5
Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. Bayer Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11.94
Will Bayern München vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$28.38
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+28.6%+$46.53
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$453Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$165.67
Will Manchester City win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.89
Will Chelsea win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
Will Derby County FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+35.2%+$20.8
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$26.58
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.34
Will West Ham win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$52.31
Will Bournemouth vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+300%+$100.59
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$77.79
Will Coventry City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$42.19
Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+244.8%+$99.85
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$68.9
All 12 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick17cpaid-66.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be nine or ten announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$114.51
Will there be eleven or more announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$134.45
Will there be seven or eight announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+298.5%+$479.43
Will there be five or six announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$188
Will Trump and Machado not shake hands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$23.95
Will there be three or four announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.94
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$509Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$509.12
Will there be exactly one announced new U.S. armed forces strike against drug boats in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$31.13
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$395.92
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$345.52
Will there be zero announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$24.98
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$27.47
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-44.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$186.96
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$710.5
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$627Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+37.3%+$233.75
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$51.94
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54.13
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$132
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+108.3%+$52
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$64
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$13.75
Will Learner Tien win the 2025 ATP Next Gen Finals Men’s Singles Tournamentbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30.8
Will Alexander Blockx win the 2025 ATP Next Gen Finals Men’s Singles Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$194.37
Next Gen ATP Finals, Final Stage: Learner Tien vs Alexander Blockxbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+86.8%+$220.48
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Putin not meet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$58.45
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.47
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$54.81
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.7
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$253.66
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the February Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+360.7%+$268.95
Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 6–10 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$75.28
Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 10–15 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$13.53
Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 2–6 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+74.5%+$139.1
All 10 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-39%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gujarat Titans win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,523Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+28%+$425.78
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$426.06
Will New Zealand finish second in the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$110.63
Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$799Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$413.64
T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,444Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,443.91
Will England win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$82.75
Will South Africa win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$61.53
Will England win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$44.35
Will Australia win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+37.6%+$27.3
All 9 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid+30.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leviatán win Valorant Masters London 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.77
Will Paper Rex win Valorant Masters London 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.56
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.96
Will Paper Rex win Masters Santiago 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,213Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,213.5
Will NS RedForce win Masters Santiago 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$524.9
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,533Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+131.3%+$5,952.81
Will Team Liquid Brazil win the VALORANT Game Changers Championship 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+184.8%+$95.08
Will Shopify Rebellion Gold win the VALORANT Game Changers Championship 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+557.1%+$1,267.63
Valorant: Team Liquid Brazil vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO5)backed Shopify Rebellion Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,187Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,187.1
All 9 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hong Kong have 240mm or more of precipitation in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$11.88
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$19.44
Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.16
Will Hong Kong have between 130-140mm of precipitation in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$4.02
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 35% on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.27
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.53
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+135.3%+$174.55
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.23
All 8 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+99.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+962.3%+$195.19
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.56
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 140k and 160k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.65
Will "House Tour" get 15 million or more views in the first week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.01
Will "House Tour" get between 14 and 15 million views in the first week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$64.26
Will Lady Gaga win 3 Grammys?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$208.66
Will Lady Gaga win 2 Grammys?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$534Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+50.9%+$271.98
Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be at least 200k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+117.4%+$21.21
All 8 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick30cpaid-33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paradex launch a token on March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+37.1%+$59.75
Will Paradex launch a token on March 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+70.5%+$91.35
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1B and $1.2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10.68
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $800M and $1B?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$16.82
Will the Monad public sale commitments be less than $400M?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+125.3%+$252.97
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $600M and $800M?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$56.28
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $400M and $600M?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$147.05
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.1
All 8 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-36.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-77.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+32.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.92per pick8cpaid+1,150%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arman Tsarukyan win against Shara Magomedov?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+1,150%+$154.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+225.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+225.1%+$106.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+88.7%+$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20.06
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.