Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the Big East conference?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ef13942445c593cdb978b242399468c76af5c4e99d2f071d81faef5347631bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,239
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,239 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x326a…0ce3backed Yes | 2c | 12,600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Yes | 14c | 5,057$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.03 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…c54cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,871$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.75 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 15c | 1,055$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.33 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 4c | 304.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Yes | 5c | 294.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 11c | 283$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e1…f7e5backed Yes | 13c | 153.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc362…9924backed Yes | 18c | 152.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 10c | 151.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Yes | 27c | 122.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3720…a4c9backed Yes | 27c | 119.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…05f7backed Yes | 25c | 87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Yes | 26c | 80.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 26c | 76.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 74c | 74.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…1ad7backed No | 74c | 64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 72c | 44.8$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 316 | 46.8%148 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x060a…fa8fbacked No | 76c | 38.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5026…41a8backed Yes | 29c | 38.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 63c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c38…291fbacked No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc01…1c47backed No | 76c | 20.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…2fccbacked No | 74c | 17.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed No | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea8…077dbacked No | 76c | 15.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed No | 74c | 13.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the Big East conference?this page
- Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the ACC (Atlantic Coast Conference)?No won
- Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the Big 12 conference?No won
- Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the Big Ten conference?Yes won
- Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the SEC (Southeastern Conference)?No won
- Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the Southern Conference (SoCon)?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.