TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8e0b…9e5c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
205
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT13934.5%48 W · 91 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 139 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$64.31
Shelton vs. Nakashima: Match O/U 23.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$286.57
Will Arthur Fils be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.88
HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,506Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+114.8%+$4,024.99
Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutetbacked Nick Kyrgios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$390.36
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$390.26
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.11
Miami Open: Coco Gauff vs Karolina Muchovabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11,244Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10,379.48
Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Karen Khachanovbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$411.81
Qatar Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Filsbacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$220.83
Delray Beach Open: Alex Michelsen vs Sebastian Kordabacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14,973Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+69.5%+$10,405.14
Delray Beach Open: Terence Atmane vs Flavio Cobollibacked Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15,750
Qatar Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$270.25
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Coco Gauff vs Elise Mertensbacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$31,703Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+51.4%+$16,310.37
Qatar Open: Jakub Mensik vs Zhizhen Zhangbacked Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$6,859Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$6,859.46
Delray Beach Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex Michelsenbacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$2,060.11
Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Sebastian Kordabacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,222Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+61.3%+$1,361.59
Argentina Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Mariano Navonebacked Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,539Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+132.9%+$4,703.87
Dallas Open: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Eliot Spizzirribacked Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+185.7%+$344.24
Rotterdam Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,053Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+28.2%+$579.1
Argentina Open: Joao Fonseca vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11,541Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11,541.07
Dallas Open: Alex Michelsen vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,443Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+86.3%+$2,971.81
Rotterdam Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,155Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+78.6%+$3,264.46
Dallas Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Rafael Jodarbacked Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,265Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$2,265.3
Rotterdam Open: Zizou Bergs vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17,588Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$17,588.16
Showing 25 of 139 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-46.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15,528Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,527.68
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,912Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,912
Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the Big East conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$708Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$708.03
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$103.02
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,074Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,074.21
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,484Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+26%+$1,167.49
Will Tennessee win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.84
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$34,083Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$14,606.8
Will Alabama win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.17
Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.76
Will Florida win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$4,418Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+326.2%+$14,412.38
Will Houston win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17,111Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+60.4%+$10,330.4
Will Auburn win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,824Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,823.8
Florida vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,427Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,426.61
Will Tennessee win the Midwest region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$998Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$997.93
Will Tennessee win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.15
Will Alabama win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.23
Will a 14, 15, or 16 seed win in first round of NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,534Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+82%+$1,258.44
Troy vs. Kentuckybacked Troy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$674Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$674.21
North Carolina vs. San Diego Statebacked San Diego State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$571.1
St. Francis (PA) vs. Alabama Statebacked St. Francis (PA) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,214.66
All 22 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-62.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$5,102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,102.18
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$2,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,600
Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$311.79
Will Max Homa win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.51
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.77
Will Nick Taylor win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.52
Will Kristoffer Reitan win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.5
Will Justin Thomas win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$356.89
Will the 2025 Ryder Cup end in a tie?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$3,413Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,412.84
Will Lucas Glover win the 2025 Wyndham Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.6
Will J.J. Spaun win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$4,660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,659.68
Will Justin Rose win The 2025 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$2,892Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,892.2
Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21,147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+56.7%+$11,985.61
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2024 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2024, EDT+270.4%+$354.78
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick34cpaid+29.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$9,471Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$2,405.25
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$39,471Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$25,151.04
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17,402Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,402.4
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$542Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$542.31
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$2,392Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,391.86
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$905Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$905.24
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,280Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+33.7%+$1,105.13
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24,558Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+185.3%+$45,511.97
Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$518Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$517.83
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$29.5
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$470.69
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick15cpaid-39.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jonathan Taylor win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$48.42
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$4,684Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$4,684.46
Will the Buccaneers win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$174.13
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$3,399Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+317.6%+$10,796.43
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$45,539Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+25%+$11,384.78
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$325.6
Will the Cowboys win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$996Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$996.16
Titans vs. 49ersbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$982Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$981.73
Will the Falcons win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$315
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick20cpaid+102%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$27,038Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+506.1%+$136,826.5
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$95,970Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$95,969.99
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23,855Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23,855.37
All 3 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota vs. Oregonbacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$495.72
Tulsa vs. Oklahoma Statebacked Oklahoma State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$698Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$698.04
Will Alabama win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$634Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$633.8
All 3 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kenneth Bednarek (USA) win Gold in 200m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$2,786Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$2,786.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$295.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$877Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$877.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul knockout Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,268Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$2,268.02
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.