NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf145ae8beb3a1d1c526b959f23249224894d7032b6d8adf95f351ad9144c280b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $594,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $608,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $594,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 302 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Nuggets | 53c | 29,129$15,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,557.47 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Spurs | 46c | 28,810$13,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,700.57 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Nuggets | 20c | 26,427$5,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,237.6 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Spurs | 38c | 19,134$7,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,783.47 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Spurs | 23c | 17,417$3,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,418.03 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Spurs | 57c | 15,055$8,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,474.65 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a0…f8aabacked Nuggets | 23c | 14,979$3,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,508.29 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Spurs | 42c | 14,696$6,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,519.79 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Spurs | 53c | 14,602$7,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,852.89 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…5ce5backed Nuggets | 36c | 14,000$5,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,105 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…1fa0backed Nuggets | 33c | 13,502$4,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,390.69 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nuggets | 33c | 13,458$4,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,454.89 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Nuggets | 70c | 11,896$8,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,334.43 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Spurs | 76c | 10,820$8,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,595.38 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Spurs | 22c | 10,100$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,928.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Spurs | 23c | 10,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,699.81 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Spurs | 64c | 9,002$5,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,233.92 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Spurs | 53c | 7,482$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,532.24 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…c25ebacked Nuggets | 26c | 7,325$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…5fd7backed Spurs | 27c | 7,287$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,304.32 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Nuggets | 36c | 7,168$2,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,598.73 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…7bd8backed Spurs | 58c | 6,938$4,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,923.17 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Spurs | 42c | 6,541$2,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,793.81 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Nuggets | 73c | 5,904$4,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,336.29 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Spurs | 38c | 5,497$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,417.79 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Nuggets | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Nuggets | 48c | 4,328$2,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076.65 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…6c24backed Nuggets | 30c | 4,230$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.1 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Nuggets | 22c | 4,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nuggets | 35c | 3,819$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.46 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…94bcbacked Nuggets | 39c | 3,695$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Nuggets | 32c | 3,626$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.57 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Nuggets | 74c | 3,398$2,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,508.65 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Spurs | 61c | 3,278$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.94 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Spurs | 49c | 2,893$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.47 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…b64dbacked Spurs | 21c | 2,550$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014.49 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Nuggets | 66c | 2,499$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.16 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Spurs | 44c | 2,355$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.72 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Spurs | 76c | 2,350$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.14 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Nuggets | 62c | 2,334$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.05 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…4e55backed Spurs | 50c | 2,286$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.82 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +42%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a3…5532backed Spurs | 71c | 2,083$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.18 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6760…2e12backed Nuggets | 78c | 2,003$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.34 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked Spurs | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +145.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Spurs | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Spurs | 26c | 1,921$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.78 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Nuggets | 48c | 1,856$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Spurs | 77c | 1,850$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.52 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Nuggets | 79c | 1,730$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.54 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Nuggets | 48c | 1,713$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.08 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Nuggets | 78c | 1,687$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.86 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Spurs | 59c | 1,666$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.13 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Nuggets | 78c | 1,642$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.76 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Nuggets | 40c | 1,633$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.99 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Spurs | 37c | 1,540$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.61 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Nuggets | 43c | 1,536$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.45 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Nuggets | 77c | 1,526$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.86 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Nuggets | 79c | 1,526$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.37 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Nuggets | 3c | 1,415$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2981…d5bebacked Nuggets | 73c | 1,360$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.05 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Spurs | 21c | 1,200$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.03 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Spurs | 22c | 1,180$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.32 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Spurs | 44c | 1,130$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.71 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a48…9f3ebacked Spurs | 40c | 1,125$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3318…ea60backed Nuggets | 60c | 1,125$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa38…ffb3backed Spurs | 28c | 1,085$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.03 | 109 | 25.7%28 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98c…bf06backed Spurs | 40c | 1,068$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa1…fd2dbacked Nuggets | 60c | 1,068$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d9…2d2ebacked Nuggets | 21c | 1,052$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.83 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Nuggets | 29c | 1,033$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.65 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Nuggets | 38c | 1,023$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.84 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nuggets | 77c | 1,005$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.22 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Spurs | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nuggets | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Spurs | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Nuggets | 59c | 963.63$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.44 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…bc92backed Nuggets | 78c | 942.76$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.35 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Nuggets | 77c | 907.43$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Spurs | 60c | 877.27$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.68 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Nuggets | 71c | 850$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602 | 173 | 35.8%62 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Nuggets | 80c | 827.68$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.92 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Spurs | 61c | 809.18$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.54 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Nuggets | 77c | 800$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Spurs | 52c | 769.34$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.34 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Nuggets | 76c | 654.26$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Spurs | 79c | 652.29$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.91 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…7f70backed Nuggets | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Spurs | 32c | 601.58$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.02 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Nuggets | 32c | 599.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Nuggets | 50c | 599.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.67 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Spurs | 21c | 595.81$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.69 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Spurs | 59c | 580.53$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.53 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Nuggets | 55c | 568.92$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.19 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ed…3cc4backed Spurs | 53c | 561.48$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.48 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Spurs | 44c | 551.27$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.27 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe92b…fa4dbacked Nuggets | 36c | 548.38$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.2 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Nuggets | 40c | 540$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.8 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Spurs | 58c | 538.04$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.41 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…2067backed Spurs | 76c | 527.03$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.92 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Spurs | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.