TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7a93…ecf9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
208
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Lol, grading 64 out of 100 (+0.13 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 64 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT11250.9%57 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 112 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Bullsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.5
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$137.69
Suns vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$33.06
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.35
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$129.79
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$164.92
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$619.89
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$973Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$973.27
Grizzlies vs. Heatbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,203Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$676.44
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,425Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$425.52
Hawks vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,030Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+69.4%+$1,407.84
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,126.39
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,123Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$2,081.67
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,123Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$1,913.79
Celtics vs. Grizzliesbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,095Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$1,127.84
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,567Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$671.43
Clippers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,851Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+33.9%+$1,306.47
Lakers vs. Grizzliesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,317Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+61.4%+$2,036.93
Kings vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,388Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+54%+$749.85
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$362.91
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.44
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$7.22
Bucks vs. Warriorsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.59
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$13.99
Showing 25 of 112 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick27cpaid+88.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+26.6%+$21
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,019.69
Will Elon tweet 800-849 times Feb 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10.21
Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$203.47
Will Elon tweet 850-874 times Feb 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+284.6%+$38.39
Will Elon tweet 900-924 times Feb 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$382.88
Will Elon tweet 925-949 times Feb 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Will Elon tweet 875-899 times Feb 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$435
Will Elon Musk tweet 800 or more times February 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+2,400%+$1,440
Will Elon Musk tweet 700-749 times February 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$37.46
Will Elon Musk tweet 650-699 times February 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$82.08
Will Elon tweet 275-299 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$57.81
Will Elon tweet 250-274 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Jan 17-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20.15
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Jan 17-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$1,207.77
Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Jan 17-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$32.45
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-47.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$181.46
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.3
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.29
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.5
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.04
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.64
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.79
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$163.2
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$47.97
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.17
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$109.8
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.7
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$327.49
All 14 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1190.9%10 W · 1 L+4.6wins+0.41per pick50cpaid+92.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,799Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+206.8%+$5,787.89
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$5,759Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+61.3%+$3,529.8
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+33.3%+$666.75
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+58.7%+$184.99
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+58.7%+$148
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+72.4%+$168
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$172
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$284
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.82
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$264
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$1,127.66
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.36per pick34cpaid+129.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.28
Will Inter win on 2025-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$21.3
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$190
Will Club Brugge win on 2025-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+566.7%+$765
Will Atalanta win on 2025-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+100.4%+$283.1
Will Benfica win on 2025-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+108.3%+$151.84
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+488.2%+$683.53
Will Feyenoord win on 2025-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$80.51
Will AC Milan win on 2025-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+244.8%+$342.76
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+97%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-40.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 16, 2025, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+39%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-38.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$30.98
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,384Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$3,384.17
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+85.2%+$280.59
All 3 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sweden vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,176Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$3,175.89
Canada vs. Finlandbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST+29.9%+$23
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+177.8%+$355.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$29.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solana all time high by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+28.1%+$36.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Was Milei hacked?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST-100%-$101.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$21.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan vs. Auburnbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$372.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$200.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 34-35°F on February 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST-100%-$33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$200.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.