Champions League · resolved market
Will Benfica win on 2025-02-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x862c406e573eba3cced3a0d465215764b7083b474733f010d6b2d2d0a3b7d2d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $279,940
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $270,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,940 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 517 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 0c | 102,500$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c00…003abacked Yes | 52c | 41,918$21,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,797.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31c0…9cb4backed No | 48c | 19,600$9,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,192 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 46c | 19,296$8,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,473.35 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd046…e564backed No | 48c | 15,400$7,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,008 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +132.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…7724backed Yes | 54c | 11,135$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 56c | 9,783$5,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,459.93 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed No | 46c | 8,109$3,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,378 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 54c | 7,157$3,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,888 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 57c | 7,035$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac3…f3b0backed No | 48c | 7,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,640 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 19c | 6,196$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.57 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked No | 47c | 5,147$2,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,741.69 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 13cpaid | +135.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Yes | 55c | 3,683$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.9 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8a…f0ddbacked No | 47c | 3,273$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 47c | 3,123$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.67 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 43c | 3,072$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.71 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 7c | 2,576$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.85 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 47c | 2,339$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.61 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Yes | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 49c | 1,975$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.11 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 44c | 1,671$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.54 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 54c | 1,664$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.46 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed No | 26c | 1,545$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.59 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31e6…883fbacked No | 49c | 1,351$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +178.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6db3…3772backed Yes | 51c | 1,282$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…fc1cbacked No | 47c | 1,280$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa6…1286backed No | 48c | 1,237$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4407…8f2bbacked Yes | 51c | 1,184$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3d…5d39backed No | 48c | 1,177$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b0…6d5bbacked Yes | 54c | 1,160$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed No | 62c | 1,134$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.15 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a7…6a2abacked Yes | 54c | 1,078$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 47c | 1,041$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.72 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 37c | 1,014$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.09 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…dd00backed Yes | 54c | 951.8$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.97 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…8155backed Yes | 52c | 926.81$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf25…224cbacked Yes | 37c | 822.5$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 54c | 814$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.65 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1218…366bbacked No | 33c | 750$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +6.0wins | +0.54per pick | 37cpaid | +180.9%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Yes | 54c | 629.63$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 45c | 595.18$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.81 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…80b3backed Yes | 53c | 566.43$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 45c | 536.49$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.5 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…37e6backed Yes | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef8…1f8dbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…8bc0backed No | 47c | 489.85$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.53 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 55c | 467.79$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.24 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed No | 7c | 437$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.19 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce75…6b8ebacked No | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +147%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Yes | 56c | 405$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x174f…71a8backed Yes | 52c | 400.39$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 11c | 382.27$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4169…eab3backed Yes | 53c | 380.98$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 6c | 360$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 53c | 339.23$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.79 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe62b…251dbacked Yes | 54c | 329.63$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…e5a9backed Yes | 52c | 328.84$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 53c | 305.85$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.93 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed No | 48c | 292$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.84 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.36per pick | 34cpaid | +129.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0560…d77dbacked Yes | 51c | 282.15$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.9 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c0…0eecbacked Yes | 55c | 275.11$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc89f…5ea7backed Yes | 53c | 268.37$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…45e8backed Yes | 53c | 259.55$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe939…2af4backed Yes | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b23…e7ccbacked Yes | 53c | 229.61$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa44f…38b7backed Yes | 54c | 201.85$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 53c | 200.65$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 50c | 200.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.61 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e63…9313backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Yes | 52c | 199.96$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.98 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +363.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…53b1backed Yes | 53c | 199.14$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 54c | 196.3$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb423…e3e4backed No | 48c | 194.27$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…2c0ebacked No | 49c | 194.08$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacaf…999fbacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 37c | 189.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d62…0d36backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed No | 47c | 187.97$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.62 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3e…b775backed No | 48c | 187.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e87…a5b0backed Yes | 52c | 184.26$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Yes | 10c | 181$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +49%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa761…990ebacked Yes | 53c | 179.27$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6b…bfecbacked Yes | 52c | 176.78$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9a…8f02backed No | 49c | 173.57$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7a…34ebbacked Yes | 52c | 173.04$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1f…0227backed No | 48c | 169.63$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d28…b20ebacked Yes | 53c | 168.45$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17c1…97dfbacked Yes | 52c | 167.17$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf8…86fcbacked Yes | 52c | 167.17$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e2…6c2ebacked Yes | 52c | 167.17$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25e0…c6c4backed Yes | 54c | 167.01$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.1wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa6…b8a9backed Yes | 54c | 166.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda8a…9c0cbacked Yes | 54c | 166.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…4e59backed Yes | 54c | 166.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01f9…d2a7backed Yes | 53c | 166.64$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Benfica win on 2025-02-18?this page
- Will Benfica vs. Monaco end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Monaco win on 2025-02-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.