TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3061…dd00

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
115
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST2941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13.36
Kings vs. Wizardsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$105.32
Pistons vs. Jazzbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$361.03
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$111.31
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,620Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+60.8%+$1,593.95
Raptors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+605.3%+$2,250.96
Knicks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$497.72
Wizards vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,177.94
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$567.35
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$223.99
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$72.42
Magic vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST-100%-$244.26
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+44.9%+$67.2
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$181.48
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$209.32
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$527Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$526.72
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$416.07
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+75.4%+$182.56
Trail Blazers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+31.9%+$59.05
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+150%+$697.55
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST+56.3%+$136.73
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$509.65
Rockets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,264Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$1,263.77
Pelicans vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST-100%-$114.52
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,830Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST+44.7%+$1,265.5
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2025, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$835Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+61.7%+$515.09
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+100%+$418.06
Stars vs. Red Wingsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.56
Avalanche vs. Ducksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$28.6
Oilers vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,210Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,209.91
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+59.4%+$274.07
Predators vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+132.7%+$280.29
Stars vs. Canucksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$62.34
Penguins vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$107.53
Wild vs. Canucksbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$212.01
Red Wings vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+93.2%+$194.17
Capitals vs. Rangersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+92.3%+$222.64
Senators vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$83.49
Wild vs. Krakenbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+100%+$94.52
Maple Leafs vs. Penguinsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+70.3%+$77.67
Canucks vs. Krakenbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,162.58
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14,282Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$14,864.96
Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,231Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,231.49
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$947Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$946.66
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.72
KBO: KT Wiz vs. NC Dinosbacked KT Wiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+102.2%+$214.06
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$458.99
Blue Jays vs. Piratesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$218.69
Diamondbacks vs. Rockiesbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,193Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,193.09
Rangers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$403.43
Marlins vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$596Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+100.3%+$597.94
Pirates vs. Cubsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$438Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+149.9%+$656.18
Mariners vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$232.36
Cubs vs. Blue Jaysbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$433.45
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$6,481Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,480.93
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,790Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+71.2%+$2,696.96
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$62.99
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$138.15
Will West Ham win on 2025-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,093Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,093.18
Will Wolves win on 2025-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,349Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+181.3%+$2,445.23
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$253.98
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$467.53
Will West Ham win on 2025-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$945Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$944.59
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.77
Will Everton win on 2025-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$727Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$727.19
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+222.6%+$506.84
Will Manchester City win on 2025-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,289Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,289.07
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,378Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$1,378.5
Will Bournemouth win on 2024-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$319.97
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+20.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$794Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$794.39
Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$282.65
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$188.83
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$299.42
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$82.05
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+354.5%+$190.04
Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+203%+$163.22
Will Inter win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+58.7%+$29.78
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$945Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$944.55
Will Juventus win on 2025-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$577Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$576.85
Will Benfica win on 2025-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$513.97
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+25.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cowboys vs. Cardinalsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,987Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$3,830.48
Ravens vs. Vikingsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,725Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+151.6%+$2,614.05
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$396.28
Chargers vs. Texansbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$595Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$595.06
Broncos vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18,521Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+54.6%+$10,106.89
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$8,182Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+38%+$3,111.58
Seahawks vs. Bearsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$4,945Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+38.9%+$1,923.14
All 7 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Northwestern Wildcats vs. USC Trojansbacked USC Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$63.31
Lamar Cardinals vs. New Orleans Privateersbacked Lamar Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$40.51
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Minnesota Golden Gophersbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,769Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+96.6%+$1,709.25
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Buffalo Bullsbacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$548Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+71.7%+$392.71
Florida vs. Houstonbacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+171.2%+$501.97
All 5 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Simona Waltert vs Petra Marcinkobacked Simona Waltert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,928Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$2,088.15
Vancouver: Mai Hontama vs Himeno Sakatsumebacked Himeno Sakatsume · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$411.2
ASB Classic: Marcos Giron vs Alex Michelsenbacked Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+96.2%+$291.88
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,041Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,041.15
Gaethje vs. Fizievbacked Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$205.93
Turner vs. Bahamondesbacked Bahamondes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST+69.5%+$85.29
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+170.3%+$665.14
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$146.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+122.2%+$29.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Kalmychata (BO3)backed Kalmychata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+63.2%+$68.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a US Government shutdown? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$224.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$117
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Las Vegas Aces vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$851Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$850.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$202.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Tucumán vs. CA Sarmiento end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ohio State vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,077Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$2,076.59
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.