TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Pacers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Rockets, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$323,325
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$328,288

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $323,325 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 480 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3078…3e11backed Pacers72c26,918$19,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,526.4222049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Rockets31c18,553$5,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,682.4433931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Rockets0c11,200$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pacers63c11,015$6,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,071.681,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e94…3f94backed Rockets37c9,617$3,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,555.161241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c37…3265backed Pacers62c9,599$5,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,647.623100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4e4…2bc3backed Rockets38c8,199$3,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,115.62250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Pacers60c8,045$4,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,225.8177745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d34…b76fbacked Rockets40c8,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.987860.3%47 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed Rockets38c6,691$2,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,542.725151%26 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed Pacers64c6,120$3,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,207.5120238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Pacers77c6,000$4,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,36029858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88db…3843backed Pacers59c5,500$3,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,25517546.3%81 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73cb…b0d0backed Pacers62c5,413$3,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,056.927647.4%36 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Rockets38c5,182$1,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,967.441,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Rockets40c5,000$1,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,997.2780146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Rockets0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Rockets33c4,713$1,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,567.1434532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Rockets39c4,053$1,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,580.631,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Rockets25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00029747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pacers72c3,987$2,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.485,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ab…5eb9backed Pacers63c3,941$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,440.876873.5%50 W · 18 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Rockets1c3,462$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.747502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Pacers65c3,253$2,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.6319152.4%100 W · 91 L+16.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pacers64c3,033$1,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.8849849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Rockets32c2,781$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.0347656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Rockets37c2,393$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.3930351.8%157 W · 146 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed Rockets41c2,353$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.6525833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Pacers59c2,243$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.021,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Rockets38c2,239$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.9273051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Pacers60c1,947$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.841,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1187…cb53backed Rockets38c1,913$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.99836.7%36 W · 62 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Rockets38c1,834$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.191,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f2…702cbacked Rockets49c1,784$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.179868.4%67 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2992…a54abacked Pacers60c1,777$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68e…815bbacked Pacers59c1,748$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0054…7f85backed Rockets20c1,743$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.53745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a1e…cb17backed Pacers60c1,735$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff52…a8d3backed Pacers58c1,734$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53a0…c96cbacked Pacers60c1,715$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6901100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0712…f71bbacked Pacers60c1,665$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6669247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe85f…b2ddbacked Pacers61c1,658$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Pacers61c1,330$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.733752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x665a…174ebacked Pacers58c1,300$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-51.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85c7…1db7backed Rockets42c1,300$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5461060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Pacers58c1,264$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.1345743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac8e…6ec7backed Rockets41c1,221$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Rockets34c1,180$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.6713133.6%44 W · 87 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Pacers65c1,177$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.336843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Rockets26c1,096$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.648783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06be…8a46backed Rockets1c1,050$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.310129.7%30 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Rockets38c1,000$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.911,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72f5…84f2backed Rockets38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Pacers51c933.48$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.7285347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ec0…497bbacked Rockets37c921.89$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.1633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Rockets37c848.65$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.761345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Pacers61c832.19$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.4461851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Rockets41c800$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32851037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Rockets40c799.97$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.9913929.5%41 W · 98 L+0.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ae2…5bd4backed Pacers58c796.78$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.593100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+95.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16b5…8833backed Rockets42c785$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.7837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x06d1…40fdbacked Rockets42c785$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.7540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0564…ce95backed Rockets42c779.99$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.64721.3%10 W · 37 L-7.5wins-0.16per pick37cpaid-41.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pacers62c774.99$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.651,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133b…415ebacked Pacers58c749$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.58933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Pacers60c715.38$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.4970951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa077…732abacked Rockets42c611.9$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb58e…13a0backed Rockets42c610$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…8c56backed Pacers63c600$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2224632.6%15 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2cd8…e191backed Rockets43c597.63$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0853…3cd6backed Rockets42c597$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc789…599bbacked Rockets42c590.48$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3b1…68a9backed Rockets43c586.38$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b4c…1f83backed Rockets43c572.23$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ecd…e0a6backed Rockets42c571.43$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74fa…25f9backed Rockets43c569.77$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2351…b872backed Rockets42c568.88$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…709bbacked Rockets42c560$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e8…13bebacked Rockets42c554.28$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bb6…6cefbacked Rockets43c553$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05cf…f49cbacked Rockets43c551.86$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3061…dd00backed Rockets38c551.01$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.322941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc576…027dbacked Rockets40c550$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2193141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb396…432abacked Rockets42c547$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b21…e47cbacked Rockets43c546$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Rockets40c545.92$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.122733%75 W · 152 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d2e…7f1dbacked Rockets43c544.19$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35d7…a812backed Rockets42c542.75$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78a5…50b7backed Rockets38c539.47$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2053043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Pacers58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.2427163.5%172 W · 99 L+0.9wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6094…3bd9backed Rockets20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008536.5%31 W · 54 L+8.8wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+61.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x75b4…5aabbacked Pacers60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20017363.6%110 W · 63 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39dc…8d05backed Pacers60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20014051.4%72 W · 68 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Rockets42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Rockets5c475.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.661,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc87…dd68backed Pacers63c450$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.59430.9%29 W · 65 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x348f…e570backed Pacers59c449.43$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.271275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x33fe…0cccbacked Rockets33c447.71$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.029827.6%27 W · 71 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Pacers60c436.42$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.7788053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Pacers59c431.02$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.0217943.6%78 W · 101 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.