TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x33fe…0ccc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
190
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT9827.6%27 W · 71 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 98 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Warriors: 1H Moneylinebacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.27
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.93
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$33.53
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.61
76ers vs. Spursbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.84
76ers vs. Pistonsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$109
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Mavericks vs. Hawksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Clippers vs. Celticsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$56
Nets vs. Celticsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$96.78
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$119
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$250.47
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$372
Pacers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+237.7%+$180.67
76ers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+234.3%+$506.79
Heat vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$119.62
Wizards vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.98
Knicks vs. Warriorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$96
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.58
Bulls vs. Rocketsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.96
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Magic vs. Timberwolvesbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.47
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.89
Showing 25 of 98 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT2718.5%5 W · 22 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-54.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.54
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.34
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.2
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.49
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.49
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.08
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$39.04
Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.38
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.87
Padres vs. Philliesbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$99
Phillies vs. Bravesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$63
Mets vs. Piratesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$236
Athletics vs. Yankeesbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+158.5%+$153.74
Nationals vs. Angelsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$61.3
Phillies vs. Bravesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$162.98
Rays vs. Oriolesbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Blue Jays vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
Mets vs. Piratesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$94
Athletics vs. Tigersbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$64
Braves vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$72
Pirates vs. Brewersbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Braves vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$59
Orioles vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Mets vs. Bravesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$98
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$56
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1625%4 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$36.6
Seahawks vs. Ramsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20.5
Panthers vs. Falconsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+746.8%+$144.14
Buccaneers vs. Billsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$64
Chargers vs. Jaguarsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Bills vs. Falconsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be green/yellow?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100.37
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$307.78
Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$225.68
Rams vs. Eaglesbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$135
Commanders vs. Lionsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+416.2%+$623.23
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Vikings vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST+127.3%+$389.93
Commanders vs. Buccaneersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST+126.9%+$180.4
Packers vs. Eaglesbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$110
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-54.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.4
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+29%+$8.57
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Blockxbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.13
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Anastasia Potapova vs Shuai Zhangbacked Shuai Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.81
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marin Cilicbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.84
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Anhelina Kalinina vs Panna Udvardybacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.68
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Karolina Pliskova vs Aliaksandra Sasnovichbacked Karolina Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+300%+$85.95
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Julia Grabher vs Alexandra Ealabacked Julia Grabher · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.73
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaurbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.48
Monza: Michele Ribecai vs Billy Harrisbacked Michele Ribecai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Monza: Martin Landaluce vs Federico Arnaboldibacked Federico Arnaboldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Jaqueline Cristian vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Jaqueline Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.19
Campinas: Pedro Sakamoto vs Joao Eduardo Schiesslbacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.17
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Katie Boulter vs Gabriela Rusebacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.12
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$272
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+98.7%+$132.2
All 16 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-62.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.81
Spread: Florida Gators (-7.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.57
Cornell Big Red vs. Yale Bulldogsbacked Cornell Big Red · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.26
Vermont Catamounts vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked Vermont Catamounts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.37
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-9.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+116.7%+$100.72
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Akron Zipsbacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.88
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.43
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.31
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.87
Duquesne Dukes vs. VCU Ramsbacked Duquesne Dukes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.71
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$59.14
All 12 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+53.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kentucky vs. South Carolinabacked Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Liberty vs. Old Dominionbacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$41
Fresno State vs. Kansasbacked Fresno State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Ohio State vs. Notre Damebacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$225.99
All 4 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Makhachev vs. Moicanobacked Moicano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Dvalishvili vs. Nurmagomedovbacked Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+237.8%+$808.54
Prochazka vs. Hillbacked Hill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$160
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Oilersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST+110%+$109.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ajax win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$49.35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.