MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f10738a65ed45b55f076083a73cba12e86518b748ba7abc233cfb96fbd5e1ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Padres, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $658,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $688,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $658,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Padres | 31c | 469,943$145,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145,987.49 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Phillies | 69c | 141,903$97,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,999.13 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Phillies | 69c | 98,019$67,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,385.75 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Phillies | 69c | 50,000$34,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,700 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Phillies | 67c | 36,691$24,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,018.01 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Phillies | 69c | 29,586$20,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,205.63 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked Phillies | 69c | 20,000$13,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,200 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Phillies | 69c | 19,983$13,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,250.82 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Phillies | 69c | 19,744$13,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,120.64 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Phillies | 69c | 19,125$13,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,928.69 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Phillies | 76c | 13,208$10,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,191.95 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ac…9c62backed Phillies | 70c | 13,050$9,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,895.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Phillies | 79c | 12,684$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,683.58 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Phillies | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Padres | 30c | 9,704$2,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,911.19 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Phillies | 70c | 8,807$6,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,642.13 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…293abacked Phillies | 69c | 6,957$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,156.52 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Padres | 25c | 6,234$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.19 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 69c | 5,454$3,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.17 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Padres | 8c | 5,167$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.51 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Padres | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Phillies | 68c | 4,389$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.76 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Padres | 33c | 3,714$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.98 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…398cbacked Padres | 75c | 3,350$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddcd…5581backed Padres | 32c | 3,310$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Padres | 33c | 3,289$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.45 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Padres | 12c | 3,257$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.35 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Phillies | 70c | 3,117$2,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.11 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Padres | 21c | 3,091$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.1 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Padres | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.92 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Padres | 33c | 2,844$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.29 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Phillies | 25c | 2,731$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,048.62 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Padres | 19c | 2,660$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…cac8backed Padres | 31c | 2,044$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.02 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Phillies | 67c | 2,012$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.12 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Phillies | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e19…8b96backed Phillies | 68c | 1,984$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Padres | 7c | 1,455$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Padres | 31c | 1,450$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.5 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9591…7951backed Phillies | 77c | 1,435$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.24 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Padres | 1c | 1,400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Padres | 2c | 1,395$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226d…f49ebacked Padres | 33c | 1,364$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Phillies | 69c | 1,342$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.2 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Padres | 22c | 1,121$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.51 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Phillies | 70c | 1,114$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.29 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Phillies | 69c | 1,111$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.41 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Phillies | 68c | 1,100$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Padres | 32c | 1,100$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Padres | 33c | 1,061$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Phillies | 70c | 1,045$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.46 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Phillies | 69c | 1,014$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.34 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ef…a362backed Padres | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x559c…bbadbacked Padres | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Padres | 11c | 936.14$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.73 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Padres | 27c | 934.12$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.2 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Padres | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Padres | 33c | 785.91$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.35 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Padres | 5c | 778.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Padres | 11c | 751.83$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.17 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Padres | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Padres | 31c | 663.19$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.59 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Padres | 2c | 662.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Padres | 12c | 655$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.69 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Padres | 32c | 650.88$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.28 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Padres | 19c | 626.78$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…0a56backed Phillies | 80c | 619.32$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.32 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3587…23adbacked Padres | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…a3cabacked Padres | 13c | 597.56$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.43 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51c2…2b13backed Phillies | 68c | 588.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.47 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Phillies | 68c | 588.24$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.24 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Padres | 26c | 584.49$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.59 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Padres | 30c | 580$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Padres | 32c | 557.81$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x335f…55c8backed Padres | 33c | 506.06$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 15c | 501.82$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.07 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked Padres | 33c | 500$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.09 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…4038backed Phillies | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Phillies | 75c | 428.64$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.16 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Phillies | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…ad6ebacked Phillies | 80c | 413.3$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d31…2cbfbacked Phillies | 68c | 409.4$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.01 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Phillies | 62c | 405.22$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.26 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Padres | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Padres | 33c | 396.33$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.79 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Padres | 20c | 380$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Padres | 32c | 367.79$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.69 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Padres | 13c | 357.39$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Padres | 20c | 351.11$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.67 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Phillies | 69c | 349.99$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Phillies | 66c | 343.29$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.29 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…b5c3backed Padres | 31c | 330$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b57…d285backed Padres | 33c | 330$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.9 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Padres | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1953…5607backed Padres | 32c | 321.53$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.89 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Padres | 32c | 313$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…0cccbacked Padres | 32c | 309.38$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…cb2ebacked Padres | 34c | 306.91$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0a…e004backed Padres | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…09eabacked Padres | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.