TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc0fa…0a56

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
111
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Middle East, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 58 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST2347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+41.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Democratic candidate win the NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Harvard international students ban ended before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Israel military action against Iran in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+86.4%+$202.23
Will Andrew Cuomo win Manhattan in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+154.2%+$154.17
Will turnout be between 1000000 and 1100000 in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$31.43
Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be less than 35% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will Brad Lander’s vote share be between 6% and 9% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+41.5%+$41.49
Andrew Cuomo gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.94
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+40.2%+$85.71
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be less than 5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+56.5%+$113.09
Will Andrew Cuomo's first round margin of victory be less than 5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+213.3%+$106.66
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will Trump remove Harvard's Intl Student ban before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.5–44.9% on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June  23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$813Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+117.3%+$953.7
US military action against Iran by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,609Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,609.27
US military action against Iran by Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+863.6%+$1,959.56
US military action against Iran before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+47.2%+$61.17
US military action against Iran by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+414.2%+$1,451.1
All 23 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+49.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Netanyahu out by 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$62.5
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+46.7%+$92.62
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$156.43
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+113.8%+$122.54
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$631Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$631.19
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,146Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,145.94
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$729Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+139.8%+$1,019.21
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+341.9%+$683.72
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$806Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$806.14
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+65.3%+$130.62
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.82
Israel strike on Iran on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+241.9%+$241.93
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,851Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+112.1%+$2,074.28
Israel strike on Iran on June 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+543.1%+$271.54
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+166.5%+$249.68
Israel strike on Iran on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Israel announces end of military operations against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Israel strike on Iran on June 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$410.64
Iran strike on Qatar today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+27.8%+$347.37
US military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,521Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+114.2%+$1,736.9
All 22 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2025, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
League of Legends: OKSavingsBank BRION vs. DRXbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$198.4
League of Legends: T1 vs. Gen.Gbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,521Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,521.12
League of Legends: AG.AL vs. Gen.Gbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+66.1%+$222.27
League of Legends: T1 vs. AG.ALbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$144.75
League of Legends: Gen.G vs. FlyQuestbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.57
League of Legends: Cloud9 vs. FURIAbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$783Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$783.27
League of Legends: CTBC Flying Oyster vs. GAMbacked GAM · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$277.11
League of Legends: G2 Esports vs. FlyQuestbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+120.5%+$179.25
League of Legends: FlyQuest vs. Cloud9backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+58.9%+$116.78
League of Legends: G2 vs. FURIAbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+45.8%+$113.5
Will T1 win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$454Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+151.9%+$689.12
Will Gen.G win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+129.7%+$30.2
MSI Playoffs: T1 vs. Anyone's Legendbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$643Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+206.3%+$1,327.41
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2025, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mets vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.5
Guardians vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$396
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$396
Rays vs. Twinsbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$396
Reds vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$792Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+32.6%+$258.16
Red Sox vs. Nationalsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$286.84
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$990
Padres vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+25.1%+$124.32
Blue Jays vs. Red Soxbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$233.07
Athletics vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$200
Red Sox vs. Angelsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Nationals vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+33.2%+$33.16
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+31.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$728Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+25.9%+$188.38
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$149.5
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,031Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+39.5%+$1,198.23
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 12% and 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+561.6%+$280.79
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.38
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 10% and 11% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
Will either Cuomo or Mamdani concede by Wednesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2025, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea beat Fluminense in regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$94.94
FIFA Club World Cup: Fluminense vs. Chelsea (To Advance) backed Chelsea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$852Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+28.3%+$240.73
FIFA Club World Cup: Real Madrid vs. Dortmund (To Advance) backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$111.69
Will Chelsea beat Palmeiras in regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$182.77
FIFA Club World Cup: Palmeiras vs. Chelsea (To Advance) backed Chelsea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+48.1%+$101.5
FIFA Club World Cup: Inter Milan vs. Fluminense (To Advance)backed Inter Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$990
FIFA Club World Cup: Flamengo vs. Bayern Munich (To Advance)backed Bayern Munich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$192.5
Auckland City vs. Boca Juniors: 6+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-57.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hornets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$113.6
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$106.05
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+34.4%+$85.95
All 3 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana dip to $130 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will Solana reach $200 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$104.32
Will Solana reach $180 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.71
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-33.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Anisimova (W) backed Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$396
Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Siegemundbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+46.8%+$185.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 317: Pantoja vs. Kara-Francebacked Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$101.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fever vs Acesbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.