Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: CTBC Flying Oyster vs. GAM
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bcd982268ea1445bc8cfa13e304f7f5d15acbd5f4db63ef28be0ba310fbdd8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CTBCof CTBC, GAM
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $245,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $284,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked GAM | 25c | 103,117$25,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,749.39 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -13.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed CTBC | 75c | 91,757$68,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,112.9 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed GAM | 10c | 53,390$5,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,383.43 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed CTBC | 75c | 20,059$15,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,025.15 | 287 | 46%132 W · 155 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed GAM | 26c | 6,704$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765.92 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked CTBC | 75c | 6,675$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.5 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed GAM | 26c | 5,146$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.09 | 310 | 36.1%112 W · 198 L | -18.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd64e…025bbacked GAM | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed CTBC | 71c | 3,155$2,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed GAM | 14c | 2,845$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.6 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…1594backed CTBC | 74c | 2,830$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.04 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed GAM | 5c | 2,600$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed CTBC | 75c | 1,973$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.33 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…7a8dbacked CTBC | 73c | 1,730$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.1 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked CTBC | 75c | 1,545$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.32 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed GAM | 23c | 1,531$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.73 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed GAM | 26c | 1,111$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.86 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -89%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked GAM | 26c | 1,013$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.99 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…0a56backed GAM | 28c | 995.87$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.11 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked GAM | 28c | 900$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked CTBC | 74c | 610$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.6 | 261 | 64.4%168 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fed…fa70backed CTBC | 74c | 428.05$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.34 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee4…3485backed CTBC | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424c…9fcfbacked CTBC | 75c | 401.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.8 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed CTBC | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 297 | 58.2%173 W · 124 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked CTBC | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed CTBC | 74c | 390.79$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.63 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…6fe3backed GAM | 11c | 381.82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked CTBC | 74c | 375.18$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.55 | 323 | 50.8%164 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked GAM | 25c | 314.23$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.56 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.29per pick | 47cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed GAM | 25c | 309$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.13 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed CTBC | 73c | 290$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked CTBC | 74c | 276.48$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.88 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x074d…bcb6backed CTBC | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked GAM | 24c | 245.7$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.97 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd303…9c76backed CTBC | 74c | 215$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.7 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked CTBC | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 181 | 65.7%119 W · 62 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0db9…d97cbacked CTBC | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 163 | 42.9%70 W · 93 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…c57dbacked CTBC | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…b28abacked GAM | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…8e93backed CTBC | 74c | 190$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.19 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…1100backed GAM | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f87…4919backed CTBC | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed CTBC | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e8…2688backed GAM | 8c | 130$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked GAM | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 866 | 49.7%430 W · 436 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed GAM | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed CTBC | 74c | 99.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a10…023fbacked CTBC | 75c | 88.05$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked GAM | 28c | 84.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…9f26backed CTBC | 74c | 73.57$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked CTBC | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 228 | 58.3%133 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…8732backed CTBC | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked CTBC | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 194 | 51%99 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07be…8bf9backed CTBC | 74c | 54.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed CTBC | 76c | 54.97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…f625backed CTBC | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 389 | 53.2%207 W · 182 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6528…8aefbacked CTBC | 75c | 47.56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc1…11a8backed CTBC | 74c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed CTBC | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 364 | 65.1%237 W · 127 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a79…ab92backed CTBC | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa603…eb15backed CTBC | 74c | 25.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17d3…9a72backed CTBC | 74c | 23.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…8d1bbacked CTBC | 75c | 18.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60fb…6741backed CTBC | 75c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…e1cdbacked CTBC | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.