TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc0e8…2688

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
212
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: F1, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category F1 at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT5932.2%19 W · 40 L-9.7wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-41.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
NBA — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Will Jayson Tatum play a game this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 30.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+130.7%+$20.59
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 29.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+132.6%+$17.67
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$19.95
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$19.2
Will Pascal Siakam Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.51
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.6
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.7
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.64
Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.4
NBA Playoffs: Rockets vs. Warriors (To Advance)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.6
NBA Playoffs: Nuggets vs. Clippers (To Advance)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.1
NBA Playoffs: Lakers vs. Timberwolves (To Advance)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.52
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$7.2
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$78
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.6
Cavaliers vs. Clippersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.5
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.2
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3938.5%15 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-39.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mohamed Salah be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.4
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$74
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15.2
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$22.04
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.6
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+81.8%+$13.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+61.3%+$114
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+69.5%+$24.6
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+29.9%+$9.2
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20.09
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$29.69
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$10.6
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$19.2
Will West Ham win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+25%+$4
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$6.27
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT2937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-30.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+91.4%+$29.13
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$116.99
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+29.9%+$23
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$118
Will Anyone’s Legend win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.43
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$53
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.6
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
LoL: Top Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO1)backed 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.3
League of Legends: Gen.G vs. KT Rolsterbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.5
League of Legends: Invictus Gaming vs. Bilibili Gamingbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$15.37
League of Legends: T1 vs. AG.ALbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.72
League of Legends: Movistar KOI vs. T1backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+27.9%+$15.28
League of Legends: Bilibili Gaming vs. G2backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+292.3%+$34.49
League of Legends: Hanwha Life vs. AG.ALbacked Hanwha Life · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
League of Legends: Movistar KOI vs. CTBC Flying Oysterbacked CTBC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.71
League of Legends: CTBC Flying Oyster vs. GAMbacked GAM · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.4
League of Legends: G2 Esports vs. FlyQuestbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+123.3%+$14.62
League of Legends: Movistar KOI vs. GAMbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$17.6
Will T1 win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Bilibili Gaming win LoL Worlds 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$695Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$694.79
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT2157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.97
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.03
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will PSG win in regulation?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$146
FIFA Club World Cup: Chelsea vs. PSG – Both Teams To Score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$21.83
Will PSG beat Real Madrid in regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$27
PSG vs. Real Madrid: 3+ Goals Scored? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milanbacked PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+34.5%+$8.03
Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.02
Champions LeagueQuarterfinals: Arsenal vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.7
Will Real Madrid or Atlético de Madrid advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.07
Will Real Madrid advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST+75.4%+$8.6
Will Bayern Munich beat Benfica?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST+29.9%+$9.2
Will Inter Milan beat Young Boys?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2024, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Will Bayern Munich beat Barcelona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will Liverpool beat RB Leipzig?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2024, EDT+92.3%+$16.32
Will Bayer Leverkusen beat Stade Brestois?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will Real Madrid beat Borussia Dortmund?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT+138.7%+$26.15
All 21 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$69
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$139.64
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.75
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.4
Ethereum all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+223.1%+$335.58
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.4
Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,305Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+59.1%+$771.76
Will Bitcoin reach $110k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+112.1%+$270.6
Bitcoin all time high by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,528Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+126.6%+$4,468.05
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+66.7%+$15.99
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-38.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+57.2%+$100.72
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will New England face Los Angeles R in Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$14.56
Will Denver face Los Angeles R in Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Will Los Angeles R beat Denver in Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+108.3%+$52
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+85.2%+$9.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+52.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-56.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick8cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+190.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paper Rex win the 2025 VALORANT Masters Toronto Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+100%+$28.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?backed Ukraine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
League of Legends: Anyone's Legend vs. Bilibili Gamingbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.