NFL · resolved market
Will New England face Los Angeles R in Super Bowl LX?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9916d858b90be387aa844d829f9e9f1b2567d64c4fbc04c92b8282593f0c6f00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 3,744$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Yes | 29c | 827.59$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4b…038abacked No | 72c | 694.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699a…5421backed Yes | 25c | 600.42$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 26c | 514.9$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.79 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 3c | 502.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…0f0ebacked Yes | 31c | 498.12$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.22 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed Yes | 30c | 466.31$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.57 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 67c | 398$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.45 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 70c | 337.54$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.26 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 75c | 321.04$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.39 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a4…3207backed Yes | 33c | 304.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7057…e59cbacked Yes | 30c | 293.67$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.74 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 31c | 284$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.32 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 39c | 271.02$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.76 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3b…c3e2backed Yes | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f10…76b3backed Yes | 30c | 214.97$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.49 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 73c | 210$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 9c | 205.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…c706backed Yes | 28c | 199.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 64c | 194.87$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.07 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6a…2d41backed Yes | 12c | 175$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaef…3772backed Yes | 12c | 168.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfe…b7a4backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 67c | 154.24$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.9 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 30c | 141.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Yes | 21c | 130.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe379…3c98backed Yes | 28c | 124.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 9c | 107.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 79 | 10.1%8 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked No | 74c | 100.01$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 62c | 92.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…fc7abacked Yes | 29c | 89.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed Yes | 18c | 86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -69%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 54 | 79.6%43 W · 11 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +26%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…a909backed Yes | 30c | 72.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 72c | 70.1$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6e…6a74backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | -10.7wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked No | 70c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e8…2688backed Yes | 28c | 52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5089…9754backed Yes | 36c | 41.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 29c | 38.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd24d…d960backed Yes | 31c | 36.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 40c | 36.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 74c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc677…677abacked No | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New England face Los Angeles R in Super Bowl LX?this page
- Will Buffalo face Los Angeles R in Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Buffalo face Seattle in Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Denver face Los Angeles R in Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Denver face Seattle in Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Houston face Chicago in Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Houston face Los Angeles R in Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Houston face Seattle in Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will New England face Chicago in Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will New England face San Francisco in Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will New England face Seattle in Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Pittsburgh face San Francisco in Super Bowl LX?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.