TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8674…0d1e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
540
Categories scored
38
Categories below 50
22

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 57 out of 100; worst CS2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT12638.1%48 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 126 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$98.4
Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.78
Will Recep Tayyip Erdogan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.6
Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.41
Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$108
Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$379.84
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.43
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$22.4
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.69
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$69.2
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$88
Will Jordan sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+58.2%+$11.04
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.85
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+179%+$506.77
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+138.4%+$504.5
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.1
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.37
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+96%+$52.51
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.15
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$496.67
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$64.73
Showing 25 of 126 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT5538.2%21 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+154.6%+$437.5
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+192.2%+$399.94
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$34.12
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+851.9%+$213.41
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$17.26
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$134.39
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$105
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.95
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.4
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+87.6%+$72.85
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$38.64
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$87
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$120
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$444.48
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$39.41
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$103.59
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$36.48
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 (High)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.44
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$21.85
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.78
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$547Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$546.5
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.61
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+93%+$298.64
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT5538.2%21 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$219
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.72
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.3
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+241.9%+$424.47
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.24
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.87
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.77
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.96
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.99
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.19
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.47
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+987%+$603.63
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+493.6%+$162.77
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$75.04
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$29.64
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$352
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$341.99
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+452.5%+$157.67
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.21
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.89
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+37%+$16.2
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+130.8%+$144.68
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.98
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+32%+$30.04
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT3842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$171.18
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$458Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$215.44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.94
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.36
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$195
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$11.51
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.23
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$37.37
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$327.2
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.07
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$77.84
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$120
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.67
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.27
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.78
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.1
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.05
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$10.38
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of May 4 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$476.18
Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.48
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT3636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$153
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.62
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.89
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$116.53
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.66
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.5
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+525%+$504
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$93
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.97
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by 9% or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+84.5%+$65.28
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+283.1%+$33.32
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.32
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+135.3%+$115
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$147
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$77.5
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$67.45
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.37
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$416.31
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+60%+$18.75
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.08
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.79
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11.3
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$21.43
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2718.5%5 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-63.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$116.7
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$615Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$885
Will Trump visit China by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.08
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 28-31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$7.21
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.96
Trump out as President by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$69.49
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.57
Epstein confirmed as foreign agent in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.96
Another US military action against Iran before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.54
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.2
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.81
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.82
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.52
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$124.22
Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$119.3
Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$64.46
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$12.82
Will Bernie Sanders be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$93.52
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+190.8%+$24.27
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$14.69
Will 300 or more house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+54.5%+$55.53
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT2729.6%8 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-49.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Movies — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$281.55
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.19
Will "GOAT" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$10.08
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+79.9%+$266.4
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$114
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.72
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$464Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$463.5
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$167.14
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,994Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$970.02
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,381Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,381.04
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$29.8
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.03
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$76.58
Will Come See Me in the Good Light be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$39.5
Will Arco be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Josh Safdie be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+72.4%+$21
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$130.46
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$147.64
Will Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$61
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.38
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$376.14
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.72
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$36.1
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Tea FDV above $80M one day after launchbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Tea FDV above $100M one day after launchbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.93
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$102
MegaETH FDV above $1.6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.04
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.7
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.01
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$21.84
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.58
EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$8.51
Over $9M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.6
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$19.8
Perle Labs FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$98.4
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$6.23
Trove FDV above $10M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.8
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$23.1
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$227.25
Over $100M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$153.17
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$23.8
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 7+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$56.24
Will Australia be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$30.5
Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$129
Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.61
Will Ecuador reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$11.71
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.33
Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$219
Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.6
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
Will the announcers say "Oh my God" or "Oh my Goodness" during the Croatia vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.53
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+182.5%+$193.8
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$108
Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Czechia vs Mexico FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.21
Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$129
Will the announcers say "Comeback / Come Back" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.6
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$40.85
All 19 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
IPO — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.4
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.64
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$66.53
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$53.42
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.5
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.41
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.94
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$75.8
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$575Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$491.49
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$14.73
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$634Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+92.1%+$583.3
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$990Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$360.49
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$33.75
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.97
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.49
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+49%+$152.32
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $60B and $70B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.94
All 18 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-69.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Putin not meet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$81.21
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.36
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.48
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,052Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$448.5
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36.4
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.18
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.67
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Nothing Ever Happens: Military Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.67
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$445.33
Will Russia capture Siversk by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+26.6%+$42
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$317.67
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$29
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick30cpaid-22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.15
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.48
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.9
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$502.08
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+69.2%+$40.9
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.21
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.74
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+88.3%+$30.71
Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$39.5
Will the San Antonio Spurs make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$333.54
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,308Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+25.6%+$334.52
All 14 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-58.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.75
Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.92
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+106.1%+$488.63
Will Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.68
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.5
Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.12
Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.16
Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.5
Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.4
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.24
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$124.6
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.88
All 13 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid-28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-64.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-71.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-73.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick26cpaid+227.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-66.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-52.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick24cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$39.67
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be greater than 3.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+33.3%+$12.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
5kt meteor strike in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.69
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$42.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$35.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+37%+$27
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan (-21.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT+25%+$17.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$36.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alireza Firouzja win Norway Chess 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.