Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07b6c6d39590bb7c630471be5214d644c4caa171cd9c9f77a986e50fb3a62574
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $332,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $287,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $332,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 3c | 22,050$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.16 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d8…8dd3backed No | 0c | 10,212$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 1c | 9,994$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,858.22 | 514 | 10.5%54 W · 460 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 10c | 6,050$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,426.93 | 535 | 22.6%121 W · 414 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…a6bebacked Yes | 33c | 5,813$1,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,897.95 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…b9ccbacked Yes | 24c | 5,441$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,117.72 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 7c | 4,654$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.7 | 456 | 8.3%38 W · 418 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes | 11c | 4,184$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,733.22 | 638 | 21.5%137 W · 501 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 14c | 4,119$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,532.62 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 11c | 3,620$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.45 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eed…2050backed Yes | 45c | 3,610$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.43 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 40c | 3,562$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130.53 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 68c | 3,500$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.46 | 706 | 16.4%116 W · 590 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a8…98edbacked Yes | 2c | 3,298$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,232.15 | 334 | 22.2%74 W · 260 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 29c | 3,269$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.82 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 4c | 3,254$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.82 | 189 | 49.2%93 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 17c | 3,073$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,559.84 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe089…ad3abacked Yes | 7c | 3,066$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,864.49 | 183 | 4.4%8 W · 175 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +235.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 59c | 3,036$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.57 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…dcdebacked Yes | 48c | 2,736$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.59 | 212 | 22.2%47 W · 165 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x696e…1c38backed No | 16c | 2,600$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.92 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 15c | 2,444$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.18 | 208 | 57.2%119 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd317…025abacked No | 8c | 2,305$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.98 | 220 | 23.6%52 W · 168 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…eacabacked Yes | 64c | 2,197$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.8 | 214 | 29.9%64 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 1cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 499 | 19%95 W · 404 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc90d…9673backed No | 44c | 1,970$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4473…28adbacked Yes | 3c | 1,927$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.25 | 184 | 19%35 W · 149 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 38c | 1,913$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.33 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes | 62c | 1,874$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.43 | 437 | 19.7%86 W · 351 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 2c | 1,733$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.4 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…b4e2backed No | 42c | 1,637$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.16 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8288…5519backed Yes | 77c | 1,624$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.56 | 159 | 29.6%47 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeab…d961backed No | 8c | 1,500$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.5 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…26e8backed Yes | 15c | 1,448$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.88 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 64c | 1,417$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.19 | 572 | 22%126 W · 446 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 18c | 1,366$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.15 | 880 | 17.3%152 W · 728 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 66c | 1,364$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.61 | 412 | 30.8%127 W · 285 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 17c | 1,340$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.58 | 309 | 55%170 W · 139 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked No | 33c | 1,322$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.54 | 564 | 29.8%168 W · 396 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes | 3c | 1,294$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.88 | 348 | 33.3%116 W · 232 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes | 12c | 1,207$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.26 | 325 | 29.2%95 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…fbd6backed No | 30c | 1,162$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.6 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af6…a114backed Yes | 6c | 1,154$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.39 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +125.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c4…8129backed No | 2c | 1,110$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | -16.1wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…8983backed Yes | 6c | 1,107$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.15 | 124 | 21.8%27 W · 97 L | +11.8wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 2c | 1,085$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 210 | 63.3%133 W · 77 L | +22.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…ccccbacked Yes | 8c | 1,061$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.35 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 58c | 1,035$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.47 | 217 | 32.3%70 W · 147 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1740…d7c0backed No | 5c | 1,000$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d7…2ffbbacked No | 10c | 999.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 26c | 969.34$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.34 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…ff7bbacked Yes | 38c | 935.05$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.53 | 73 | 16.4%12 W · 61 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633f…0e01backed Yes | 36c | 925.58$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.13 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked No | 38c | 894.84$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.58 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +12.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4f…c2f1backed No | 45c | 874.01$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.24 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +18.0wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa230…1cdbbacked Yes | 26c | 867.65$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.25 | 105 | 21.9%23 W · 82 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x713b…f43cbacked Yes | 53c | 799.99$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.5 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe133…6994backed Yes | 5c | 702.96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.52 | 104 | 32.7%34 W · 70 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd936…8318backed Yes | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7acd…1086backed Yes | 2c | 700$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.8 | 130 | 8.5%11 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…64f8backed No | 2c | 695.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…8345backed Yes | 15c | 648.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.8 | 151 | 36.4%55 W · 96 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc0…2041backed Yes | 9c | 643.8$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.43 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed No | 22c | 611.33$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.44 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…2f8abacked Yes | 5c | 609.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.89 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e29…eba9backed Yes | 8c | 542.46$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.34 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed No | 15c | 539.97$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.45 | 161 | 10.6%17 W · 144 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 53c | 537.57$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 221 | 60.2%133 W · 88 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d8…415cbacked No | 76c | 524.87$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.28 | 85 | 65.9%56 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 16c | 524.16$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.09 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Yes | 55c | 518.76$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.54 | 230 | 19.1%44 W · 186 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 4c | 500.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.64 | 226 | 10.6%24 W · 202 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…4b09backed Yes | 19c | 500$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.5 | 798 | 11.3%90 W · 708 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06d6…8360backed Yes | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…848dbacked No | 15c | 499.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 609 | 7.7%47 W · 562 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec07…ca80backed Yes | 4c | 486.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.36 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 7c | 471.32$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.37 | 102 | 16.7%17 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 51c | 454.33$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.64 | 407 | 19.7%80 W · 327 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 2c | 449.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.24 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 60c | 440.65$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.94 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…4800backed Yes | 73c | 408.6$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.21 | 686 | 15.7%108 W · 578 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 3c | 400$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.7 | 491 | 6.7%33 W · 458 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 14c | 400$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 149 | 23.5%35 W · 114 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b24…f36abacked Yes | 65c | 396.67$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.92 | 192 | 29.2%56 W · 136 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed No | 23c | 394.7$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.83 | 576 | 21.2%122 W · 454 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…08f0backed Yes | 13c | 376.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.1 | 216 | 14.8%32 W · 184 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…14f3backed No | 27c | 369.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 25.2%26 W · 77 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 21c | 350.79$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.03 | 121 | 6.6%8 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…8121backed No | 19c | 349.96$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 488 | 19.3%94 W · 394 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…4967backed No | 18c | 338.82$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 23c | 332.72$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.8 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd97f…7813backed Yes | 36c | 320.44$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.84 | 159 | 28.3%45 W · 114 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 14c | 310$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 8c | 305.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.21 | 1,038 | 11.1%115 W · 923 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked No | 71c | 300$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.3 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f26…1f12backed Yes | 70c | 260.82$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.03 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…22a4backed Yes | 47c | 257.09$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.89 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x254a…bc44backed Yes | 59c | 255.96$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.97 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04f8…08d2backed No | 16c | 251.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.