TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0f26…1f12

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
201
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Lol, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 57 out of 100; worst Tweets at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT13517%23 W · 112 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-56.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 135 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$77.03
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.54
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.57
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.71
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.8
Showing 25 of 135 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT4242.9%18 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+78.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.83
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$368
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 3 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 4 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+1,900%+$237.5
LoL: BIG vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$47.08
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+1,233.3%+$554.98
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$170
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$920Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$361.08
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$31.1
LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+51.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+55.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$95
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST+104.9%+$326.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+148.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 February 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+396.9%+$154.79
Bitcoin all time high in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
$PNUT listed on Coinbase in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$85.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$59
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$16
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$38.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$194
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.