Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61727f05c821b53607a956bbbcd75558675b0051b5caeb2e31328d65b0901b7d

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $334,690
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $256,661

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $334,690 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	1c	22,806$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.58	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf01e…51cbbacked Yes	0c	20,850$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.15	246	17.5%43 W · 203 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	1c	15,000$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.62	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f2…1762backed Yes	8c	14,995$1,222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,222.4	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Yes	1c	13,500$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	161	10.6%17 W · 144 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc21e…e6d3backed Yes	26c	8,318$2,161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,161.2	144	27.1%39 W · 105 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ed…e29cbacked Yes	1c	6,915$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.06	153	9.8%15 W · 138 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…dcdebacked Yes	2c	6,548$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.83	212	22.2%47 W · 165 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b05…8983backed Yes	1c	5,734$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.72	124	21.8%27 W · 97 L	+11.8wins	+0.10per pick	12cpaid	+49.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x001f…9cb5backed Yes	3c	5,491$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	14c	5,300$735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$735.16	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	0c	5,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes	4c	5,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	164	27.4%45 W · 119 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	0c	4,400$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	9c	4,250$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.71	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	4,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	3c	3,353$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.59	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	2,658$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.64	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	23c	2,644$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$619.76	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	5c	2,539$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.9	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8fb…af41backed Yes	1c	2,500$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.5	68	39.7%27 W · 41 L	+4.7wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	15c	2,500$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.12	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No	78c	2,111$1,648 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$462.51	90	57.8%52 W · 38 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	2c	2,000$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.05	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	2c	1,933$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.39	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a3a…4580backed No	78c	1,903$1,484 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$419.04	44	29.5%13 W · 31 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes	7c	1,875$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.91	274	17.5%48 W · 226 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	10c	1,640$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.53	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f26…1f12backed Yes	2c	1,583$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	135	17%23 W · 112 L	-6.9wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-56.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1851…ae47backed Yes	1c	1,500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	43	14%6 W · 37 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes	2c	1,467$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.34	327	16.8%55 W · 272 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0383…7eefbacked Yes	22c	1,418$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310	263	14.8%39 W · 224 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	2c	1,400$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.1	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x062d…500fbacked Yes	4c	1,387$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.44	114	8.8%10 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	3c	1,234$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.72	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5001…bc10backed Yes	6c	1,150$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.66	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	18cpaid	-61.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	10c	1,131$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.06	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27ab…e521backed No	76c	1,124$850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$273.42	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	67cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4473…28adbacked Yes	13c	1,008$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.04	184	19%35 W · 149 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7de…537abacked Yes	7c	1,001$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.17	47	10.6%5 W · 42 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	+93.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	15c	1,000$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.94	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ae0…302dbacked Yes	17c	990.33$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.7	138	44.2%61 W · 77 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfca…645abacked Yes	16c	971.25$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.04	278	20.9%58 W · 220 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x620d…9f02backed Yes	27c	922.6$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.95	58	24.1%14 W · 44 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	5c	858.71$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.59	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x881a…ccccbacked Yes	9c	832.31$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.99	132	35.6%47 W · 85 L	+10.5wins	+0.08per pick	28cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	13c	801.24$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.66	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…ffa2backed Yes	1c	760.16$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.16per pick	22cpaid	+39.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e44…a6bebacked Yes	2c	750$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.94	83	21.7%18 W · 65 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	4c	699.97$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	10c	697.61$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.43	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02cb…569cbacked Yes	5c	659.6$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.44	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-45%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12f8…bfa5backed Yes	2c	523.43$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	96	26%25 W · 71 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee76…8fcebacked Yes	28c	507.82$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	45	17.8%8 W · 37 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde0f…57c1backed Yes	6c	504.39$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	217	6%13 W · 204 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa61e…6906backed Yes	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	43	18.6%8 W · 35 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b67…60aabacked Yes	28c	499.99$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	141	37.6%53 W · 88 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…5fadbacked Yes	26c	475.98$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.41	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd398…a865backed Yes	13c	474.35$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.97	116	25.9%30 W · 86 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd97f…7813backed Yes	15c	441.75$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.44	159	28.3%45 W · 114 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	6c	421.65$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.98	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	5c	383.95$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked No	79c	379$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.59	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20d1…fe63backed Yes	26c	358.63$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.47	78	21.8%17 W · 61 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e3…b275backed Yes	7c	356.71$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.97	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0130…fb49backed No	77c	325.29$251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.82	292	25%73 W · 219 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes	16c	308.66$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	348	33.3%116 W · 232 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	7c	304.34$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.26	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed No	77c	299.17$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.8	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	7c	291.41$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.17	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0bf…08f0backed Yes	21c	285.71$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	216	14.8%32 W · 184 L	-8.1wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c6c…1f86backed Yes	18c	284.5$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.21	45	24.4%11 W · 34 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	5c	248.41$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.51	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12b6…554ebacked Yes	18c	228.9$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.8	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No	73c	215.87$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.41	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x409c…9ac8backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	121	24%29 W · 92 L	+7.9wins	+0.07per pick	17cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdadf…8034backed Yes	26c	200$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	30	6.7%2 W · 28 L	-3.9wins	-0.13per pick	20cpaid	-63.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb323…d791backed Yes	16c	187.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-41%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ab…2da7backed Yes	16c	156.25$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	58	29.3%17 W · 41 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	24cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbf4…3b45backed Yes	12c	150$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	317	43.2%137 W · 180 L	+28.2wins	+0.09per pick	34cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe2b9…7023backed Yes	8c	150$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	222	27%60 W · 162 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed No	76c	150$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.31	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6e…a1ebbacked Yes	14c	146.08$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes	10c	141.66$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.35	83	42.2%35 W · 48 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No	73c	132.16$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.96	30	66.7%20 W · 10 L	+3.0wins	+0.10per pick	57cpaid	+25.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd33…f47ebacked Yes	27c	111.11$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	177	20.9%37 W · 140 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbddd…ce73backed Yes	20c	105$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	88	31.8%28 W · 60 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25d4…74d6backed Yes	10c	102.8$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.72	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83a1…491dbacked No	72c	100$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	12	83.3%10 W · 2 L	+2.0wins	+0.17per pick	66cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ea2…3265backed Yes	16c	95$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.2	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6316…6bbabacked Yes	11c	87.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	+1.8wins	+0.09per pick	12cpaid	+144.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9916…8088backed No	74c	67$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.42	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	21c	60.3$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.66	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0aec…43f1backed Yes	23c	57.78$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.29	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No	76c	57.63$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.07	123	8.1%10 W · 113 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8dd…a325backed Yes	25c	52$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x42a0…3762backed No	78c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.5	94	42.6%40 W · 54 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45dc…9179backed No	76c	19.74$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.74	30	30%9 W · 21 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87eb…7976backed No	78c	19.32$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.32	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+1.8wins	+0.17per pick	65cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?this page
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?Yes won
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event