Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7746f28216fa303f3c3c2a7ea5d148a5d438369f1771d8239d97f2056adde49

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $344,017
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $271,395

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $344,017 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc21e…e6d3backed Yes	13c	29,866$3,964 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,963.89	144	27.1%39 W · 105 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	3c	11,171$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.49	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	3c	10,000$349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.36	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f2…1762backed Yes	10c	8,421$838 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$838.31	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	8c	7,781$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630.1	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	8c	6,822$543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$542.77	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	8c	6,156$505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504.83	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd68…0261backed Yes	5c	5,788$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.87	199	30.7%61 W · 138 L	+13.6wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	8c	5,692$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440.18	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	11c	5,409$568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$568.44	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…04cebacked Yes	14c	5,011$684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$683.89	119	32.8%39 W · 80 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	5c	5,000$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	0c	4,800$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.93	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb75…33f6backed Yes	8c	4,788$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.14per pick	15cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b3e…74d0backed Yes	14c	4,199$591 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$590.76	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf663…04debacked Yes	10c	4,148$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.43	43	18.6%8 W · 35 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	6c	3,802$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.04	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	8c	3,669$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.71	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e7…1b5bbacked Yes	10c	3,164$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.11	149	28.2%42 W · 107 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x062d…500fbacked Yes	4c	3,000$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.5	114	8.8%10 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b05…8983backed Yes	1c	2,876$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.83	124	21.8%27 W · 97 L	+11.8wins	+0.10per pick	12cpaid	+49.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	3c	2,820$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.23	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	3c	2,762$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.86	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	8c	2,650$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.09	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	11c	2,628$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.81	316	24.7%78 W · 238 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Yes	5c	2,500$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.65	161	10.6%17 W · 144 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf993…cd9dbacked Yes	21c	2,475$509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$508.61	48	50%24 W · 24 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70e1…f42fbacked Yes	2c	2,468$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	8c	2,400$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.71	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	9c	2,301$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.49	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked Yes	5c	2,098$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.82	272	24.3%66 W · 206 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc331…1d71backed Yes	9c	1,961$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	114	17.5%20 W · 94 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-11%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes	7c	1,939$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.41	121	6.6%8 W · 113 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes	5c	1,907$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.86	292	27.7%81 W · 211 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed Yes	17c	1,580$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.74	230	19.1%44 W · 186 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac43…3a33backed Yes	13c	1,554$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.32	65	44.6%29 W · 36 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+15%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2946…8eb4backed Yes	11c	1,539$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+1.5wins	+0.09per pick	28cpaid	+35.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9ed…e29cbacked Yes	1c	1,500$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	153	9.8%15 W · 138 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	1,446$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.76	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	9c	1,371$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.73	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7de…537abacked Yes	13c	1,341$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.56	47	10.6%5 W · 42 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	+93.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2eef…eacabacked Yes	7c	1,197$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.81	214	29.9%64 W · 150 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1fe…423abacked Yes	4c	1,165$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.6	149	23.5%35 W · 114 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	8c	1,098$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.93	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes	8c	1,081$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.5	160	23.1%37 W · 123 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x038b…afc4backed Yes	10c	1,049$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	335	27.8%93 W · 242 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc36…8542backed Yes	3c	1,043$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	232	22.4%52 W · 180 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbeab…d961backed Yes	3c	1,000$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	148	29.1%43 W · 105 L	+6.6wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	6c	935.06$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.43	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c77…2eb1backed Yes	11c	920.94$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	63	34.9%22 W · 41 L	+5.5wins	+0.09per pick	26cpaid	+68.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x729e…e23ebacked Yes	4c	901.23$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.29	238	31.1%74 W · 164 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a65…ecdfbacked Yes	4c	897.99$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.52	71	22.5%16 W · 55 L	+4.0wins	+0.06per pick	17cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes	9c	872.91$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.42	83	42.2%35 W · 48 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb56b…28dbbacked Yes	5c	849.58$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	82	19.5%16 W · 66 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	+34.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f55…d4b5backed Yes	9c	836.77$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.75	332	31%103 W · 229 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d87…4f67backed Yes	4c	833.25$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb816…9e90backed Yes	4c	831.74$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.34	60	33.3%20 W · 40 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+74.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8288…5519backed Yes	3c	825.04$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.55	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes	7c	808.56$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.95	267	22.8%61 W · 206 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	8c	804.6$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.08	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d1…fe63backed Yes	7c	794.87$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.05	78	21.8%17 W · 61 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	6c	778.94$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.62	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Yes	6c	726.59$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.89	178	24.7%44 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x915b…4ceebacked Yes	3c	724.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes	9c	647.66$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.77	123	8.1%10 W · 113 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	3c	605.59$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.06	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	6c	561.45$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.13	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b28…d5ccbacked Yes	18c	549.99$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.1	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-4.7wins	-0.30per pick	48cpaid	-74.8%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd1d8…cf06backed Yes	5c	542.35$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf82f…8137backed Yes	21c	530$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.65	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-16%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04f6…311abacked Yes	5c	526.43$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	16	25%4 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…5fadbacked Yes	7c	514.29$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70be…044dbacked Yes	5c	499.97$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	79	12.7%10 W · 69 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd93…a22bbacked Yes	13c	470.92$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	198	19.7%39 W · 159 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2b9…7023backed Yes	8c	441.99$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.63	222	27%60 W · 162 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c8e…5610backed Yes	14c	430.44$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.63	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7818…ed7bbacked Yes	3c	420.09$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.49	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.34per pick	33cpaid	+122.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fb1…9319backed Yes	4c	409.99$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.03	345	15.9%55 W · 290 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f28…7d8ebacked Yes	12c	400$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.61	64	21.9%14 W · 50 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	+7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x266e…17e5backed Yes	9c	399.99$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.98	69	30.4%21 W · 48 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde0f…57c1backed Yes	5c	397.96$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.7	217	6%13 W · 204 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b35…12b3backed Yes	4c	393.97$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	237	35.4%84 W · 153 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5088…8844backed Yes	11c	393$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.84	65	24.6%16 W · 49 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e44…a6bebacked Yes	5c	387.17$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.64	83	21.7%18 W · 65 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2c50…3badbacked Yes	5c	373.52$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	39	12.8%5 W · 34 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x285f…fc85backed Yes	7c	367.63$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.52	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x774d…5cdabacked Yes	5c	367.3$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.9	148	18.2%27 W · 121 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58cb…3cd6backed Yes	11c	355.82$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.29	100	24%24 W · 76 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf270…5fe3backed Yes	11c	337.9$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.2	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.17per pick	37cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d44…ad14backed Yes	12c	336.34$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	+3.0wins	+0.09per pick	33cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c04…6587backed Yes	12c	326.18$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	470	32.6%153 W · 317 L	+13.5wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb627…d968backed Yes	10c	324.67$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.41	199	33.2%66 W · 133 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes	5c	321$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.43	303	17.2%52 W · 251 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	9c	319$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.95	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	7c	318.78$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.47	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…dcdebacked Yes	5c	309.34$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.91	212	22.2%47 W · 165 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	7c	304.58$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.35	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8080…8a7ebacked Yes	10c	300$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	59cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5001…bc10backed Yes	9c	299.99$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.04	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	18cpaid	-61.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee95…87fbbacked Yes	6c	298.29$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.49	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?this page
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?Yes won
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event