TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0619…d801

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,570
Categories scored
36
Categories below 50
25

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 56 out of 100; worst Music at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT33736.5%123 W · 214 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 337 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$73
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$117
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.02
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.67
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.05
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+1,340.5%+$885.2
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+203%+$234.5
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$339.99
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.5
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$126
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$342
LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.69
LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$383.99
LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+300%+$150
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Showing 25 of 337 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT23019.1%44 W · 186 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 230 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$256.86
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.06
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+381.5%+$281.27
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.15
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$665Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$665.27
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$676Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$676.34
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.03
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.01
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.04
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.61
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.66
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.1
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.93
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.06
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$79.2
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.27
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$750.33
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$120
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+93.4%+$352.41
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.11
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,369Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,369.04
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Showing 25 of 230 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT22826.3%60 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 228 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+465%+$1,503.28
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$127.5
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$115.5
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$57
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.5
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.46
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.61
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$97.5
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Showing 25 of 228 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT14827%40 W · 108 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-34.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 148 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.34
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.96
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.36
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+38%+$74.05
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$4,330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,329.72
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.72
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.61
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$998Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$251.71
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$711Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$711.47
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$565Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$394.46
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$373.64
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.5
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$7,755Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$2,494.5
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+153.2%+$726
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$370
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$632
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$264.04
Showing 25 of 148 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT12013.3%16 W · 104 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 120 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.75
France vs. England: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
France vs. England: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
France vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.25
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.5
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.88
France vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+525%+$84
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$66
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$74
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Showing 25 of 120 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT8517.6%15 W · 70 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-46%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.46
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$226
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,455Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+25%+$363.64
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$53.69
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$40.7
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$422.98
Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$170
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$639Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+45.6%+$291.47
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+132.9%+$399.4
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$103.18
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,331Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+31.4%+$418.6
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$17
US x China tariff agreement by November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.92
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$87
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$76
Will Trump talk to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$205
Will Trump say "Australia" 8+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Trump say "China" 3+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.4
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT6142.6%26 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.99
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+88.7%+$35.25
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$13.5
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+182.5%+$64.6
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$83.8
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$84
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 National League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Blue Jays vs. Philliesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
Mariners vs. Diamondbacksbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
Dodgers vs. Padresbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+100%+$200
Rays vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Blue Jays vs. Cardinalsbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$126
Cubs vs. Philliesbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
Dodgers vs. Cardinalsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Blue Jays vs. Twinsbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+412.8%+$161
Diamondbacks vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$64
Mets vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Phillies vs. Piratesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
Yankees vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.4
Nationals vs. Diamondbacksbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.8
Angels vs. Guardiansbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Brewers vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Yankees vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$44.8
Twins vs. Marinersbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$23.2
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4938.8%19 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $15M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+300%+$390
Over $10M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$329.99
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$252
Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$359.19
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$920
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.32
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.61
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$145
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$514.34
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$53.73
Will Aztec launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$969Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$969.23
Moonbirds FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Sentient FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$17.9
Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+78.6%+$202.17
Over $18M committed to the Space public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$63.79
Ranger FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$544Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+47.1%+$256.13
Ranger FDV above $15M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$48.03
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$216.33
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,306.05
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT4420.5%9 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$22.64
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.28
Will "The Boroughs" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+110.2%+$209.8
Will "My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+590.5%+$107.42
Will "ZENSHU" win Best Original Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.84
Will "Gachiakuta" win Best New Series at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$69.56
Will "The Fragrant Flower Blooms With Dignity" win Best New Series at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.48
Will "Takopi's Original Sin" win Best New Series at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.17
Will "My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON" win Best Action Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Will "UN-APEX" by TK from Ling Tosite Sigure (Solo Leveling Season 2 -Arise from the Shadow-) win Best Anime Ending Sequence at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.81
Will "The Fragrant Flower Blooms With Dignity" win Best Romance Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$38.5
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.59
Will Violet Bridgerton get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,541Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+67.6%+$1,041.9
Will "The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$248
Will "The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$963Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+52.5%+$505.18
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+467.7%+$1,048.77
Will "Man on Fire" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (January 6, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$36.15
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$236
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$80.99
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$643Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$643
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be between 57m and 62m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Will “Frankenstein” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 11 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will “A House of Dynamite” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 11 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will “The Witcher: Season 4” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 4 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$461.14
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT3724.3%9 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$423.92
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Legacy (BO5) - FERJEE In House Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$73.99
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+1,014.3%+$1,774.98
Will FaZe Clan win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$33.75
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 3 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$120.45
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+163.2%+$31
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$112
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$68
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+203%+$134
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$41.26
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA (BO3)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$62
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: B8 vs paiN (BO3)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$14.54
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+38.9%+$56
EWC Cs2: Falcons vs. MOUZbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will The MongolZ win the BLAST Bounty 2025 Season tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$112.45
Will Spirit win the BLAST Bounty 2025 Season tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.96
Will The MongolZ win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$604Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$604.48
BLAST.tv Austin Major: paiN vs. The MongolZbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$118
BLAST.tv Austin Major: MOUZ vs. Vitalitybacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$380.93
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT3135.5%11 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+277.4%+$183.75
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$346
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+1,116.2%+$310.21
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,866Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+89.3%+$1,666.9
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.09
Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$352.82
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.5
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$536Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+301%+$1,613.8
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$69.96
Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+59%+$259.73
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$121.95
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$84
Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$116.7
Next French Prime Minister appointed by October 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.73
North Korea missile test by September 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.4
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$196.23
Will Chan Santokhi be the next president of Suriname after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.9
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,038Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+395.9%+$4,111.55
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,468Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,468
Will the Progressive Reform Party win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 70-72%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+189.8%+$240.1
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 68-70%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$138
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be more than 72%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+135.5%+$195.6
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT2722.2%6 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$838Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$837.79
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$207.49
Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.81
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$160
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,635Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,635.11
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$184
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.98
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.74
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$750
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$136.3
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$11.25
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+42.9%+$71.36
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+792.1%+$799.12
Will Ne Zha 2 be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$16.59
Will Squid Game be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+460.2%+$164.3
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$92.48
Grokipedia released by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.72
Will Elon Musk's net worth be more than $400b on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.62
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT2330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-26.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$160
French forces seize another oil tanker by Feb 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$57.17
Nothing Ever Happens: Military Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.2
Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 6–10 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$104.06
Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 2–6 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+61.3%+$42.49
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+316.7%+$152
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.5
Russian strike on Poland by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.51
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$19
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.8
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.29
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for 10 seconds or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 8 and 10 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+225.4%+$26.19
Will Trump say "Putin" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.31
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" 3+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Trump say "Pakistan" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.6
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for less than 2 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 2 and 4 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+191.5%+$140.78
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+83.5%+$11.37
Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$349.71
All 23 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST219.5%2 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick25cpaid-85.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Music — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lady Gaga win 2 Grammys?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,463Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+34.2%+$500.32
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 20 minutes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$89.89
Will SZA release a new song in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$68.2
Will Golden by HUNTR/X be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$23.8
Will Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$105.77
Will The Life of a Showgirl by Taylor Swift be the top Spotify album for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$300.8
Will Ordinary by Alex Warren be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$136
Will Taylor Swift hold exactly 5 spots in the Billboard Hot 100 Top 10 for the week of November 1, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.33
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 22 minutes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$145
Will 'Eldest Daughter' be the most streamed song on 'The Life of a Showgirl' on Oct 10th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will “The Fate of Ophelia” have between 30–35 million views on Friday at noon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.84
Will “The Fate of Ophelia” have between 35–40 million views on Friday at noon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.35
Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get between 5-10m views on day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.2
Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get less than 5m views on day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$335.93
Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get more than 15m views on day 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+63.6%+$103
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.79
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 21 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT1822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-54.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.82
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.46
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.72
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$544Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$201.19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$683Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$682.81
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,303Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,302.96
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.3
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$205.36
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$145.05
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+203%+$201
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.65
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.83
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$692Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$692.25
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.87
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+86.4%+$213.2
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+455.6%+$328
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.87
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during September press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$148.8
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$61
Will Powell say "Summer" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.99
Will Powell say "Money" during Princeton Commencement on May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 60 or more times during the May meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+143.3%+$14.33
All 16 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-55.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$127.43
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100.09
Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Casey's General Stores (CASY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$81.78
Will DICK'S Sporting Goods (DKS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$182.2
Will Monster Beverage (MNST) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Will Roblox (RBLX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Will Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.05
Will Amazon.com (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.12
Will Electronic Arts (EA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.32
Will International Business Machines (IBM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.9
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+395.1%+$354.31
All 15 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.3
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 9-12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$26.26
Will Zohran Mamdani get less than 45% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+270.4%+$146
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$84
Will Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$24.6
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 12-15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$17.4
Will either Cuomo or Mamdani concede by November 4, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+138.1%+$87
Will Hakeem Jeffries endorse Mamdani?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.56
All 12 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT120%0 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Will Bitcoin dip to $92,000 November 17-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin dip to $94,000 November 10-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Bitcoin above $116K on September 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $104K September 1–7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $106K September 1–7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will Bitcoin reach $115K September 1–7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $108K on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$410
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.9
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.46
Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin reach $105k in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will the Oilers beat the Panthers 4-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$53
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+90.5%+$114
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$21.2
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.6
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.6
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$31
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-53.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-60.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Aug 25, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+49.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Space — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+159.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 9, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$35.25
Wings vs Sunbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$239.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$51
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Caracas FC vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Fnatic vs ULF Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked ULF Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$403.09
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.