Token Launches · resolved market
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e3f567b878e83b0fd8ba737a7a04af8df4866bce1126fc3fdf3dca546fe0e60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,482,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,678,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,482,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 666 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x139f…c148backed Yes | 51c | 73,313$37,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,663.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2d…3b29backed Yes | 65c | 46,055$29,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,144.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…d38ebacked Yes | 62c | 33,315$20,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,557.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7938…95ccbacked No | 53c | 29,678$15,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,660.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c50…8100backed No | 30c | 29,130$8,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,670.19 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc97b…e85cbacked No | 62c | 28,360$17,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,450.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc2…9271backed Yes | 66c | 27,935$18,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,631.5 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…876fbacked No | 8c | 26,302$2,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,172.25 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a09…e317backed No | 32c | 24,402$7,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,907.41 | 26 | 84.6%22 W · 4 L | +9.8wins | +0.38per pick | 47cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed Yes | 52c | 17,435$9,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,298.97 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4a…7c9fbacked No | 3c | 17,003$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.09 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…d395backed No | 53c | 16,692$8,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,801.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…8a95backed No | 41c | 16,419$6,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,807.49 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 59cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07ce…3c44backed No | 45c | 15,808$7,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,154.17 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a79…b0f2backed No | 21c | 15,000$3,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,178.53 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 48c | 14,175$6,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,744.88 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…e8d0backed Yes | 30c | 13,327$3,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,328.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed No | 37c | 13,276$4,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,882.34 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd8…cd6cbacked No | 46c | 13,168$6,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,114.84 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +246.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3436…419ebacked Yes | 55c | 12,224$6,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,475.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bb…a429backed No | 51c | 11,990$6,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,163.94 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed No | 29c | 11,665$3,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,374.66 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5332…668cbacked Yes | 37c | 10,805$3,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,807.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c83…d131backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…a996backed No | 36c | 9,966$3,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,613 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54bd…ddc3backed Yes | 32c | 9,370$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,371.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b05…e6c2backed No | 50c | 9,300$4,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,681 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79e1…892ebacked Yes | 35c | 9,259$3,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,985.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +182.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc02d…92c1backed Yes | 57c | 8,772$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,771.93 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9a…0c16backed No | 3c | 8,185$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked No | 33c | 8,163$2,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,695.06 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc0…d2cebacked Yes | 61c | 8,125$4,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,176.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed No | 34c | 8,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked No | 34c | 8,000$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,680 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8262…eddebacked No | 40c | 7,717$3,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,074.85 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58e…a4b8backed Yes | 54c | 7,715$4,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,527.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff5…fcf4backed No | 31c | 7,510$2,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,353.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8287…4d88backed Yes | 42c | 7,139$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,140.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f78…d1dcbacked Yes | 53c | 6,810$3,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,183.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…6e18backed Yes | 52c | 6,727$3,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,229.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a5…bb7ebacked Yes | 63c | 6,621$4,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,431.6 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8904…80a3backed No | 54c | 6,442$3,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,474.47 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7748…58d7backed No | 33c | 6,406$2,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.27 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1630…783abacked Yes | 39c | 6,393$2,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239f…3fd4backed Yes | 47c | 6,380$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,381.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa50d…c4c6backed Yes | 35c | 6,283$2,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,083.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked No | 35c | 5,946$2,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,084.99 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa903…d7a6backed Yes | 45c | 5,553$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,054.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df7…f332backed No | 35c | 5,437$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.12 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed No | 51c | 5,395$2,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760.54 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1111…ca23backed No | 52c | 5,303$2,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,768 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x36f6…237cbacked No | 6c | 5,236$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d32…563abacked No | 29c | 5,192$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.4 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…084ebacked No | 28c | 5,094$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.6 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +6.0wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +565.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed Yes | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,650 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb45…915ebacked Yes | 61c | 4,948$3,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.5 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…ba88backed No | 46c | 4,786$2,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,179.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f9…a866backed Yes | 38c | 4,734$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,935.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6539…f6cdbacked No | 48c | 4,686$2,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,238.78 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…06f1backed Yes | 66c | 4,650$3,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577.1 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafdd…3c9cbacked Yes | 43c | 4,649$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6866…35ddbacked No | 26c | 4,376$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 42c | 4,266$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,468.88 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba3c…2e4ebacked Yes | 65c | 4,258$2,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.45 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…835ebacked Yes | 67c | 4,134$2,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.3 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33ef…c498backed No | 43c | 4,121$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,771.51 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae7…9603backed Yes | 50c | 4,100$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.95 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d0…af08backed Yes | 60c | 4,073$2,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.3 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc63c…6379backed Yes | 58c | 4,001$2,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…fd13backed Yes | 52c | 3,855$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb57…55b1backed Yes | 53c | 3,748$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaac…ff10backed No | 35c | 3,663$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.57 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e04…d367backed No | 34c | 3,653$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked No | 61c | 3,611$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b37…2b3bbacked No | 46c | 3,598$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…a206backed Yes | 56c | 3,559$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…e2dbbacked Yes | 45c | 3,554$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,954.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4619…ffd3backed Yes | 41c | 3,413$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9800…5eb7backed Yes | 47c | 3,330$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d7…1c0bbacked No | 38c | 3,321$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…9133backed No | 32c | 3,228$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.19 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0d…70f6backed Yes | 42c | 3,216$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,853.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +136%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11b6…7026backed Yes | 63c | 3,189$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked Yes | 61c | 3,104$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.64 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a15…e1ccbacked Yes | 52c | 3,075$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b03…26c1backed Yes | 52c | 3,075$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed Yes | 70c | 3,046$2,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.01 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ba…cf54backed No | 31c | 3,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c6…d823backed Yes | 67c | 2,997$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.97 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bbd…fa5cbacked No | 31c | 2,976$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ac…8e15backed No | 45c | 2,973$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.36 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…3a52backed No | 33c | 2,959$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.64 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…9a2abacked Yes | 51c | 2,940$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ee…70cabacked No | 33c | 2,900$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdab3…a0efbacked No | 45c | 2,878$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…2e63backed Yes | 49c | 2,856$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c1…8ad9backed Yes | 46c | 2,825$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c0…3733backed No | 34c | 2,819$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.39 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x571a…3315backed Yes | 67c | 2,717$1,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.44 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bee…501cbacked No | 35c | 2,705$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?this page
- Hyperlend FDV above $100M one day after launch?No won
- Hyperlend FDV above $200M one day after launch?No won
- Hyperlend FDV above $300M one day after launch?No won
- Hyperlend FDV above $50M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.