TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc02d…92c1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Boxing, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 54 out of 100; worst WNBA at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.97
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$254.97
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+75.4%+$3,771.93
Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$758Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$757.69
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$200.16
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,555Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+108.9%+$3,869.79
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+25.2%+$39.56
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+110.8%+$398.9
Over $2M committed to the Bitway public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$893Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+53.5%+$478.12
Seeker FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$18.8
Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+90.9%+$45.47
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+31.5%+$8.53
Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+101.1%+$187.48
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,944Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+33.8%+$994.26
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$661Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$661.11
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$600
Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$125
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$99.94
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11,986Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+41.3%+$4,950.32
All 23 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Athletics vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+242.5%+$242.47
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+87.6%+$87.62
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)backed Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$107.69
Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+94.6%+$94.55
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+97%+$193.97
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 22 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Golden State Valkyries vs. Toronto Tempobacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+684.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+684.2%+$6,842.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+257.1%+$5,142.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.