Token Launches · resolved market
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98998bc988bf66b1d739d46ee3e087c0dc0b63a53012a1ab513ee5d94e656dc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $712,088
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $793,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $712,088 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 458 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeb67…d696backed No | 8c | 44,841$3,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,337.14 | 72 | 70.8%51 W · 21 L | +20.9wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +190%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked No | 32c | 42,177$13,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,872.35 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc55e…ee39backed Yes | 64c | 33,318$21,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,364.26 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -5.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0e…5001backed No | 40c | 31,768$12,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,924.63 | 13 | 100%13 W · 0 L | +4.0wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed No | 22c | 29,591$6,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,152.75 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9081backed Yes | 43c | 18,736$8,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,052.59 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Yes | 76c | 17,877$13,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,499.63 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe714…d510backed No | 36c | 15,312$5,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,747.55 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked Yes | 67c | 10,754$7,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,222.58 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc05…013abacked No | 26c | 10,481$2,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,745.31 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.30per pick | 39cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed No | 51c | 10,153$5,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,012.56 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4b…77d9backed Yes | 21c | 9,138$1,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,874.08 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc452…7234backed Yes | 78c | 8,795$6,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,826.9 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No | 40c | 8,365$3,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,003.49 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +13.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a09…af0fbacked No | 40c | 7,781$3,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.57 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Yes | 39c | 7,512$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.74 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed No | 14c | 7,100$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,081.89 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa31…c9c4backed No | 35c | 6,017$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,932.16 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…8cc1backed No | 75c | 5,764$4,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbec…dcbdbacked Yes | 63c | 5,747$3,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,637.64 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…26b5backed Yes | 39c | 5,281$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.52 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked No | 12c | 5,073$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,484.6 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ff…9708backed Yes | 48c | 4,770$2,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,271.06 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed Yes | 69c | 4,542$3,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,122.79 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…85e1backed Yes | 55c | 4,425$2,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,446.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda29…28e9backed Yes | 44c | 4,048$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.98 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.22per pick | 26cpaid | -92.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes | 40c | 4,035$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.63 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 72c | 4,009$2,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,889.85 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6d…5901backed Yes | 48c | 3,657$1,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738.6 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…cae4backed Yes | 52c | 3,626$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 77c | 3,623$2,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800.53 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked No | 39c | 3,307$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +10.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +135.5%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc934…99e7backed Yes | 67c | 3,298$2,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193.78 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 12c | 3,260$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,871.9 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9f…069fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,256$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…1f7bbacked No | 25c | 3,200$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.99 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e6…4bd4backed No | 43c | 3,117$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.29 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x779b…0477backed Yes | 47c | 3,068$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed No | 4c | 3,000$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,884 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +175.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc445…552cbacked No | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed No | 25c | 2,945$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205.6 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5542…4c26backed No | 11c | 2,887$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +156.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc200…2be9backed Yes | 66c | 2,841$1,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.47 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0b…c3dfbacked No | 8c | 2,815$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,601.75 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdc…b42cbacked Yes | 74c | 2,733$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.72 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x776b…7251backed No | 36c | 2,710$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.87 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 67c | 2,670$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795.38 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…361dbacked No | 53c | 2,619$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.66 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3df7…f332backed Yes | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.49 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…4e07backed No | 49c | 2,485$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.11 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0efc…4cdebacked No | 34c | 2,461$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…8590backed Yes | 5c | 2,386$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…10b5backed No | 32c | 2,300$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.19 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 20c | 2,250$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.77 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79d4…6d24backed No | 35c | 2,249$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.93 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…8360backed No | 14c | 2,223$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,916.54 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 2c | 2,202$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,153.84 | 206 | 1.9%4 W · 202 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 75c | 2,172$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.74 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 51c | 2,148$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.79 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…0998backed Yes | 63c | 2,101$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.33 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e37…cccbbacked No | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…dd70backed No | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.99 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…e720backed Yes | 56c | 1,994$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.75 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe23e…0b69backed No | 26c | 1,994$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 33cpaid | +59%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 5c | 1,770$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.11 | 233 | 3.4%8 W · 225 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes | 3c | 1,762$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…637cbacked Yes | 17c | 1,731$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.67 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked No | 37c | 1,619$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.08 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8d…c245backed No | 38c | 1,559$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d85…e6f6backed Yes | 64c | 1,539$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.07 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969b…db70backed Yes | 1c | 1,538$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed Yes | 45c | 1,525$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.67 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…67b1backed Yes | 14c | 1,515$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.13 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked Yes | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd2…33b8backed No | 38c | 1,494$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.68 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…1c24backed Yes | 78c | 1,417$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.05 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e1…edf3backed Yes | 69c | 1,393$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7764…217bbacked Yes | 47c | 1,328$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6305…9d0bbacked No | 15c | 1,325$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.47 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…160ebacked No | 26c | 1,320$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd81…006dbacked Yes | 66c | 1,313$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…7842backed No | 34c | 1,298$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.5 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab6…6099backed No | 8c | 1,293$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 8c | 1,188$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.12 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…6a0cbacked Yes | 74c | 1,185$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.23 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9540…90e9backed Yes | 80c | 1,041$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.8 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6653…518abacked No | 10c | 1,040$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +485.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 28c | 1,030$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.49 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…2093backed No | 25c | 1,000$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +29%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4318…0d1cbacked Yes | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Yes | 78c | 999.98$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.99 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0401…2f0ebacked Yes | 60c | 999.98$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed Yes | 66c | 995.97$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.96 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 55c | 995.66$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.96 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3661…3520backed Yes | 65c | 977.64$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 64c | 954.76$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.69 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…9b94backed No | 12c | 901.08$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.25 | 130 | 23.8%31 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 11c | 900$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797 | 154 | 1.9%3 W · 151 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed No | 28c | 879.86$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.33 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…99e7backed No | 31c | 877.52$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.26 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $120M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $140M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $160M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $180M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $18M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $200M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $25M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $2M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $30M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $35M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $3M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $40M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $4M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $50M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $60M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $80M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $9M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.