Token Launches · resolved market
Over $9M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b04dddbc3508f40d54d055f1e2c8b76344be9152f874583ad9a23e553ad4ce4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e0e…5001backed No | 73c | 20,759$15,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,624.92 | 13 | 100%13 W · 0 L | +4.0wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbbec…dcbdbacked Yes | 35c | 8,100$2,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,827.99 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0700…6bf2backed Yes | 19c | 6,625$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked No | 55c | 5,261$2,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,359.66 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Yes | 10c | 4,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc452…7234backed Yes | 30c | 3,363$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc55e…ee39backed Yes | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -5.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…26b5backed Yes | 24c | 2,370$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb67…d696backed No | 62c | 1,981$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.32 | 72 | 70.8%51 W · 21 L | +20.9wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +190%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 16c | 1,839$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.64 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0efc…4cdebacked No | 75c | 1,753$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes | 40c | 1,600$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.99 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 75c | 1,582$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.59 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 34c | 1,445$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.61 | 51 | 9.8%5 W · 46 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…361dbacked No | 73c | 1,404$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.89 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e1…edf3backed Yes | 36c | 1,388$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…637cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,056$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.9 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b8…26b2backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed Yes | 41c | 998.09$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.07 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa06c…9d93backed Yes | 21c | 935.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda7d…54bfbacked Yes | 29c | 844$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94df…2dcebacked Yes | 54c | 799.99$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.99 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…1c24backed Yes | 40c | 794$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa31…c9c4backed No | 57c | 733.15$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.64 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 11c | 711.64$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.68 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6789…ac37backed No | 46c | 649.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.3 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +5.7wins | +0.33per pick | 37cpaid | +698%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd762…1e56backed Yes | 64c | 644.33$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.19 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…d5b2backed Yes | 21c | 600$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…256abacked Yes | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 4c | 500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x828d…c9a5backed Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaea…90dcbacked No | 74c | 499.99$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48e…b476backed Yes | 23c | 427.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 48c | 385.85$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.73 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 22c | 370.69$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.05 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18d6…2245backed Yes | 41c | 325.31$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea12…993bbacked No | 71c | 310.11$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.38 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…96f7backed Yes | 30c | 300$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4d…7670backed No | 68c | 294.3$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…20a3backed Yes | 22c | 275.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.15 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5da…acddbacked Yes | 44c | 270.45$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba1…af82backed No | 76c | 263.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked No | 46c | 260.87$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +120.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b64…ebdebacked No | 51c | 260.86$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.82 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…a6e0backed Yes | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d06…00d4backed No | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +12.3wins | +0.28per pick | 40cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 60c | 245.85$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.76 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a28…1df7backed No | 52c | 235.88$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +169.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c94…e373backed Yes | 44c | 224.69$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Yes | 53c | 219.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce83…5b97backed No | 72c | 212.64$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.6 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…67b1backed Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d16…8ac4backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3463…cde3backed Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.16 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…deb7backed No | 55c | 197.46$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.86 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e19…b55cbacked Yes | 47c | 193.53$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.89 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…10b5backed No | 31c | 182.09$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.64 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4450…086cbacked No | 44c | 177.27$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.27 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 62cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa51…8cc2backed Yes | 39c | 174.9$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a5…c4e3backed No | 75c | 171.32$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.83 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…d819backed Yes | 22c | 165$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…2609backed Yes | 44c | 158.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc3…b35bbacked Yes | 31c | 155$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d1…3210backed Yes | 51c | 154.9$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…22e9backed No | 50c | 147.95$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.59 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…a37bbacked Yes | 36c | 139.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e1…6579backed Yes | 29c | 137.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbee2…3da8backed Yes | 29c | 137.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa9…4baabacked No | 31c | 136.71$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 20c | 134.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 16cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 27c | 134$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae6a…80bdbacked No | 75c | 132.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…73f7backed Yes | 44c | 131.45$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked No | 64c | 129.11$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b2…85d6backed Yes | 51c | 125.55$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83dc…19aabacked Yes | 45c | 118.55$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.88 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce61…8ef6backed No | 53c | 115.35$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.21 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed Yes | 24c | 109.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…98b4backed Yes | 27c | 107.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 49c | 102.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.24 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42ff…a422backed Yes | 35c | 100.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…c2cbbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb99…4daebacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 92 | 22.8%21 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9507…7b04backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc05…f600backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 84 | 21.4%18 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbdc…2a9bbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd297…2919backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…32f0backed Yes | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a5…d93bbacked Yes | 24c | 99.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45c…9cf5backed No | 46c | 98.55$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe074…0bdbbacked Yes | 34c | 89.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -5.1wins | -0.25per pick | 35cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3e75…3018backed Yes | 52c | 88.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…52b7backed No | 72c | 79.34$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedda…2e39backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…39d7backed No | 70c | 73.78$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3630…22c9backed Yes | 33c | 73.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $9M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $120M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $140M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $160M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $180M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $18M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $200M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $25M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $2M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $30M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $35M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $3M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $40M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $4M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $50M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $60M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $80M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.