Token Launches · resolved market
Over $18M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a3dc1249b15a9bbf01a84181703b1044063bccc20ac2d074addf1ec667f20f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc76…7842backed No | 58c | 3,857$2,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.63 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Yes | 46c | 3,600$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked Yes | 51c | 3,254$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.32 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0e…5001backed No | 72c | 3,208$2,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.97 | 13 | 100%13 W · 0 L | +4.0wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeb67…d696backed No | 53c | 2,696$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.22 | 72 | 70.8%51 W · 21 L | +20.9wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +190%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…10b5backed No | 54c | 2,403$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.41 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 38c | 2,238$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.43 | 51 | 9.8%5 W · 46 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e8…904cbacked No | 43c | 2,044$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.99 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked Yes | 39c | 1,931$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.95 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +13.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7c…90b5backed No | 60c | 1,888$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…0998backed Yes | 29c | 1,855$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.45 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d3…46b8backed Yes | 33c | 1,751$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbec…dcbdbacked Yes | 23c | 1,748$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.9 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c36…1b0abacked Yes | 18c | 1,668$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x828d…c9a5backed Yes | 49c | 1,444$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.45 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes | 10c | 1,397$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.88 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…1272backed No | 55c | 1,273$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.77 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2279…c90cbacked Yes | 45c | 1,273$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 79c | 1,219$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.5 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94df…2dcebacked Yes | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed Yes | 30c | 1,198$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.24 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…f390backed No | 61c | 1,182$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfad6…9af6backed Yes | 50c | 1,099$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.84 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.41per pick | 53cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…9b94backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 130 | 23.8%31 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd8…431ebacked Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0b…5e43backed No | 55c | 974.22$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.4 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cce…af8cbacked Yes | 35c | 965.54$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b36…6ad2backed Yes | 24c | 800$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -4.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b0…2dbfbacked No | 71c | 776.62$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.41 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…e720backed No | 66c | 721.91$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 73c | 663.56$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.2 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc55e…ee39backed Yes | 43c | 654.64$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.25 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -5.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc622…8f86backed Yes | 24c | 644.33$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.83 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0f…708ebacked Yes | 39c | 639.09$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.58 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3c…c600backed No | 23c | 600$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a5…c4e3backed No | 73c | 592.86$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.44 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb39d…afc4backed Yes | 25c | 589.91$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.07 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…1b19backed Yes | 17c | 575.35$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.66 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 10c | 572.17$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.84 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa96…9592backed Yes | 43c | 540$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.2 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed No | 67c | 534.56$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.48 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…4e07backed No | 57c | 515.04$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.66 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…0540backed No | 64c | 501.25$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.1 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…256abacked Yes | 4c | 500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…160ebacked No | 62c | 473$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.38 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 66c | 427.15$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.64 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…6d52backed Yes | 6c | 399.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed Yes | 5c | 399.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80b9…cedcbacked No | 59c | 398.93$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.76 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d32…939bbacked No | 56c | 393.68$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.22 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Yes | 25c | 393.02$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.76 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 31c | 386.83$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.29 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 64c | 383.3$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.13 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ab…af05backed Yes | 76c | 345.02$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce83…5b97backed No | 59c | 343.11$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.22 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76b8…7367backed Yes | 30c | 330.06$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc507…5d1ebacked No | 37c | 305.3$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.33 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda29…28e9backed Yes | 24c | 305.01$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.74 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.22per pick | 26cpaid | -92.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc7…fe1cbacked No | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed No | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +11.3wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0d62…27e0backed No | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f8…c2f4backed Yes | 52c | 297.01$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.12 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0418…966ebacked No | 73c | 289.18$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.03 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +4.5wins | +0.30per pick | 63cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6c…e400backed Yes | 33c | 287.87$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd297…2919backed Yes | 57c | 287.59$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.04 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 30c | 286.21$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.96 | 64 | 20.3%13 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…4723backed Yes | 7c | 279.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77e4…d18fbacked Yes | 30c | 265.03$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb120…f2ffbacked No | 50c | 260$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd762…1e56backed Yes | 19c | 259.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 18c | 253.73$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf82c…0f6fbacked No | 60c | 242.43$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.97 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf849…ff55backed No | 56c | 242.41$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa31…c9c4backed Yes | 7c | 237.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…c2cbbacked Yes | 47c | 226.96$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.67 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b64…ebdebacked No | 59c | 220.61$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.53 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 22c | 217.95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.41 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb99…4daebacked Yes | 12c | 198.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 92 | 22.8%21 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…b7e3backed No | 50c | 193.76$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.88 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…d819backed Yes | 10c | 177.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x022d…f87ebacked No | 56c | 171.87$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedda…2e39backed Yes | 7c | 155.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44df…ae2cbacked No | 63c | 155$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.73 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4d…7670backed No | 64c | 152.98$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.66 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed Yes | 20c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 17c | 149$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd223…5ec2backed Yes | 30c | 148.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 74c | 143.08$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 145 | 48.3%70 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 36c | 141.75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc934…99e7backed Yes | 48c | 138.88$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.76 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e2…6585backed No | 71c | 137.86$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked Yes | 35c | 129.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Yes | 42c | 128.49$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.36 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…22e9backed No | 64c | 126.2$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.43 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x711e…8858backed No | 61c | 125.35$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +207.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…49d4backed Yes | 79c | 124.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…649fbacked Yes | 39c | 122.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0b…c3dfbacked No | 68c | 119.17$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3630…22c9backed Yes | 45c | 118.87$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $18M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $120M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $140M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $160M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $180M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $200M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $25M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $2M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $30M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $35M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $3M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $40M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $4M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $50M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $60M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $80M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $9M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.