TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x76b8…7367

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
126
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Middle East, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT4854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.17
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.83
Trail Blazers vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$69.71
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.55
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.73
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.43
Raptors vs. Pistonsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.67
Knicks vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+100.2%+$44.12
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.78
Pistons vs. Thunderbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.53
Spread: Lakers (-15.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.64
Cavaliers vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.78
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.64
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.87
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.38
Bulls vs. Spurs: O/U 244.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.78
Bulls vs. Spurs: O/U 242.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.06
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.1
76ers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+113.6%+$27.52
Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+114%+$26.68
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$23.13
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Bulls vs. Grizzlies: O/U 243.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$41.63
Kings vs. Hawks: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$35.47
Kings vs. Hawks: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$38.43
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick21cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.45
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$213.16
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$177.27
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$73.88
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$805Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+78.8%+$634.5
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$169.18
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.87
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Military action against Iran ends on March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Military action against Iran ends on March 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-57.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$146.84
Will DR Congo finish second in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.68
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.89
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Austria win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.58
All 13 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-40.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$495.56
LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.95
LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 3 Winnerbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+71.8%+$38.18
LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 4 Winnerbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$51.21
LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 2 Winnerbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.05
LoL: G2 NORD vs BIG - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.25
LoL: JD Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$62.59
LoL: JD Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.69
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.06
LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$66.65
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$914.96
All 13 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+90.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.44
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$65.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$55.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$43.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will XRP reach $1.40 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Julius Walker vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Julius Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas City Royals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.