NBA · resolved market
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65ff7b5ef4ab4bd4a4500730b5544e993fb5484e2eca8715f6572e5d7c5f6779
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof 76ers, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $637,660
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $694,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $637,660 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 448 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked 76ers | 48c | 81,094$39,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,312.38 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Heat | 52c | 51,202$26,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,591.45 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Heat | 52c | 50,928$26,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,678.22 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked 76ers | 50c | 48,903$24,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,625.02 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Heat | 52c | 47,130$24,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,722.38 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Heat | 51c | 44,444$22,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,777.55 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Heat | 51c | 38,307$19,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,780.01 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed 76ers | 49c | 30,066$14,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,775.07 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Heat | 51c | 24,934$12,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,217.64 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…8254backed 76ers | 49c | 22,374$10,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,980.96 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed 76ers | 49c | 19,105$9,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,314 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Heat | 51c | 17,382$8,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,517.4 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e70…f06fbacked 76ers | 48c | 17,361$8,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,342.9 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed 76ers | 48c | 13,531$6,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,494.68 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heat | 50c | 13,081$6,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,556.28 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ad…5195backed 76ers | 49c | 12,061$5,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,910.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…abddbacked 76ers | 50c | 11,996$5,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,997.78 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Heat | 51c | 10,352$5,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,047.82 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed 76ers | 49c | 10,111$4,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,964.69 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Heat | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed 76ers | 49c | 9,925$4,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,863.21 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Heat | 50c | 9,925$4,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,008.87 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed 76ers | 48c | 9,727$4,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,702.1 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…0c83backed Heat | 52c | 9,254$4,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,441.92 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked 76ers | 47c | 8,999$4,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,229.6 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…eca0backed 76ers | 48c | 8,118$3,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,896.75 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Heat | 51c | 8,000$4,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,916.8 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Heat | 52c | 7,759$4,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,727.31 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed 76ers | 48c | 6,772$3,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250.58 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed 76ers | 48c | 6,459$3,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,077.19 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…c3c6backed Heat | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4e…178cbacked 76ers | 49c | 5,918$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked 76ers | 48c | 5,806$2,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,787.06 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Heat | 53c | 5,777$3,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,739.76 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…b215backed Heat | 53c | 5,576$2,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,620.62 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed 76ers | 49c | 5,418$2,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,654.59 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf944…3893backed 76ers | 50c | 5,319$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,659.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked 76ers | 50c | 5,301$2,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,642.73 | 625 | 39.4%246 W · 379 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Heat | 52c | 4,981$2,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,391.12 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed 76ers | 49c | 4,789$2,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,323 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed 76ers | 48c | 4,539$2,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,178.87 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Heat | 50c | 4,311$2,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,155.61 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked 76ers | 50c | 4,282$2,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140.88 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Heat | 53c | 4,118$2,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.36 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed 76ers | 48c | 4,104$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.05 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed 76ers | 49c | 4,066$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.68 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked 76ers | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked 76ers | 48c | 3,899$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.55 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed 76ers | 49c | 3,854$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.42 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0daa…c9dabacked Heat | 52c | 3,781$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.87 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed 76ers | 52c | 3,759$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.07 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5856…d005backed Heat | 53c | 3,715$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked 76ers | 48c | 3,553$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.31 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf234…7f34backed 76ers | 50c | 3,552$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked 76ers | 49c | 3,213$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.38 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Heat | 58c | 3,212$1,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.65 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…4767backed 76ers | 49c | 2,995$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.89 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8b…f2b1backed Heat | 50c | 2,852$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 76ers | 47c | 2,784$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.2 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heat | 49c | 2,759$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.01 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers | 48c | 2,749$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.6 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273e…d054backed 76ers | 49c | 2,712$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8319…1a76backed Heat | 50c | 2,662$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.23 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Heat | 53c | 2,649$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.76 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed 76ers | 49c | 2,463$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.63 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Heat | 51c | 2,240$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.7 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…bd29backed Heat | 52c | 2,189$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.59 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed 76ers | 49c | 2,184$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.18 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked 76ers | 50c | 2,156$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.83 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed 76ers | 47c | 2,071$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.63 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Heat | 51c | 2,012$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.07 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Heat | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Heat | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed 76ers | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed 76ers | 50c | 1,971$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.49 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed Heat | 51c | 1,929$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.3 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed 76ers | 49c | 1,741$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.18 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Heat | 51c | 1,738$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.74 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d1…4c30backed 76ers | 49c | 1,659$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…30d5backed 76ers | 49c | 1,657$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.74 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Heat | 52c | 1,565$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.99 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…9b01backed 76ers | 48c | 1,540$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.34 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Heat | 51c | 1,528$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.88 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed 76ers | 49c | 1,478$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.98 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed 76ers | 48c | 1,421$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Heat | 65c | 1,379$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.51 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed 76ers | 50c | 1,379$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.5 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Heat | 56c | 1,350$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.2 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed 76ers | 52c | 1,240$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.71 | 527 | 60%316 W · 211 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed 76ers | 50c | 1,182$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed 76ers | 50c | 1,182$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed 76ers | 43c | 1,052$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.72 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked 76ers | 48c | 1,026$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.51 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eaf…0ee0backed Heat | 50c | 1,014$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…18efbacked 76ers | 49c | 1,005$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed 76ers | 49c | 1,004$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.5 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Heat | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed 76ers | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed 76ers | 43c | 978.54$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.02 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Heat | 52c | 919.25$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.24 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-0.5)76ers won
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-1.5)76ers won
- 76ers vs. HeatHeat won
- 76ers vs. Heat: 1H O/U 125.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Heat: 1H O/U 126.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Heat: O/U 229.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Heat: O/U 236.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Heat: O/U 237.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Heat: O/U 241.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Heat: O/U 243.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Heat: O/U 244.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Heat: O/U 245.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Heat: O/U 246.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Heat: O/U 249.5Under won
- Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Norman Powell: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Paul George: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Paul George: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)Heat won
- Spread: 76ers (-5.5)Heat won
- Spread: 76ers (-6.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-1.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-11.5)76ers won
- Spread: Heat (-4.5)Heat won
- Tyler Herro: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 26.5No won
- VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 13.5No won
- VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.