TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Heat: O/U 243.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,668
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,897

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,668 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over49c40,000$19,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,6001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under51c36,677$18,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,930.7615952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Over51c9,050$4,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,615.427638.2%29 W · 47 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under51c7,880$4,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,861.221,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over47c6,000$2,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,82029748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under28c4,995$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,620.651,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under49c4,386$2,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,227.996547.7%31 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c4,255$2,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,169.674,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Under49c4,080$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,080.828554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over48c3,557$1,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,722.623,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over51c3,352$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,709.522,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Under50c3,236$1,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,617.888451.2%43 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over50c2,792$1,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,395.944,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Over49c2,411$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.0114556.6%82 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ee4…18efbacked Over48c2,052$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.0230%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x91f7…4767backed Under52c1,499$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.0410651.9%55 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under44c1,455$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.032,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over48c1,200$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5801,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over49c992.16$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.1619958.3%116 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over49c957.03$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.662,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over73c865.07$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.862047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under51c843.11$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.122,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under51c750.05$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.621,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under35c718.31$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.232,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under58c572.1$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.061,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over61c558.72$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.9965872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under51c499.63$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.131,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09c7…66e4backed Over60c498.52$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.332528%7 W · 18 L-6.7wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Over29c481.37$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.7714243%61 W · 81 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over49c413.02$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.3835749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18d5…2bb6backed Over48c402.22$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.066250%31 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x647c…a772backed Over50c368.37$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.191637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Over12c331.46$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7814438.9%56 W · 88 L+32.5wins+0.23per pick16cpaid+228.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x2f45…ab6abacked Over17c331.41$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.546237.1%23 W · 39 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6b4…e861backed Over77c325.37$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.537047.1%33 W · 37 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Over49c298.46$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.2426745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over46c246.25$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.284,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4692…0feebacked Over78c237.27$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.072630.8%8 W · 18 L-6.8wins-0.26per pick57cpaid-48.8%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over12c229.68$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6976653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c226.23$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.383,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over48c211.54$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.5421247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under52c208.37$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.0295452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f5a…2a37backed Over48c205.21$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x764f…6b8abacked Over50c198.92$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.58540%34 W · 51 L-16.2wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-35.4%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over49c198.62$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.767248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd69d…fe68backed Over17c159.01$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.367316.4%12 W · 61 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick17cpaid+1,317.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over68c148.33$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.861,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under72c144.23$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under53c127.69$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0160049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over45c109.35$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.211,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under37c107.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.183,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Over68c100.84$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.579546.3%44 W · 51 L-11.2wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-24.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc8a4…5e83backed Over50c100.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.241662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4938242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under49c99.67$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.831,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Over48c92.35$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3338453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Over50c89.46$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7323840.8%97 W · 141 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over54c85.83$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7741556.9%236 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8eb2…fea3backed Under52c83.35$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.011963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+29.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under38c80.19$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.491,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Over49c79.6$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.433251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over48c74.62$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8223657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9f7…a7b0backed Over48c66.02$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.69540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over25c65.59$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4631345%141 W · 172 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over50c50.24$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1249852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e32…d479backed Over30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513115.3%20 W · 111 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-47.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Under52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2422044.5%98 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4abb…d858backed Under70c49.37$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.812369.6%16 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick76cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08fb…8b8bbacked Over48c44.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.286746.3%31 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a2b…c97cbacked Over36c41.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.917252.8%38 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Under28c41.21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8511826.3%31 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a6…8f71backed Over50c39.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea34…8efcbacked Under49c39.4$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0916551.5%85 W · 80 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6276…7f2ebacked Under69c38.79$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0219166.5%127 W · 64 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x766c…af97backed Over48c38.21$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.34250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under53c37.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4722756.8%129 W · 98 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d41…2e0abacked Over69c36.96$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.51656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over48c30.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7891746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…3956backed Over48c30.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Over51c30.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3553349.3%263 W · 270 L-28.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Under77c28.44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6736949.6%183 W · 186 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over49c26.2$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.771,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x330d…f0c4backed Under79c25.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.161376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+26.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over48c24.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6425846.9%121 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66c0…5fc2backed Over54c23.79$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8114349.7%71 W · 72 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under51c23.44$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.491,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Under43c23.44$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3638751.2%198 W · 189 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49d0…bf9dbacked Over69c18.57$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.814139%16 W · 25 L-6.6wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-30.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9fbe…42b2backed Over69c17.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Under76c16.54$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.0320049%98 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over68c15.24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3687744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.