TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x330d…f0c4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
44
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: MLB, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 60 out of 100; worst NHL at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$5.66
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-4.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$7.4
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles (W)backed Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.94
San Francisco Dons vs. San Diego Torerosbacked San Diego Toreros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$12.24
Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Santa Clara Broncosbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$33.1
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+143.2%+$155.56
Louisville Cardinals vs. Baylor Bearsbacked Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$64.49
Miami Hurricanes vs. North Carolina State Wolfpackbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Xavier Musketeersbacked Marquette Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens vs. Missouri State Bearsbacked Missouri State Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$82.5
East Carolina Pirates vs. Rice Owlsbacked Rice Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$24.5
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Ball State Cardinalsbacked Ball State Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$22.06
St. John's Red Storm vs. Providence Friarsbacked Providence Friars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$27.73
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+43.7%+$18
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+48.8%+$24.7
Hampton Pirates vs. North Carolina A&T Aggiesbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+223%+$23.24
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+26.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Clippers (-6.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Spread: Hornets (-18.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+56%+$9.03
Spread: Hornets (-24.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+115.2%+$14.71
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$7.42
76ers vs. Heat: O/U 243.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+26%+$5.16
Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$7.57
Knicks vs. Thunder: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+41%+$5.66
Spread: Trail Blazers (-19.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+116.8%+$21.21
Spread: Heat (-3.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.53
Spread: Suns (-17.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+65.5%+$7.51
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+91.5%+$10.9
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$4.43
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1090%9 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick59cpaid+55.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+83.8%+$11.86
Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.71
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)backed Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.81
New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+66.4%+$8.3
Athletics vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$6.54
New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$8.21
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+89.8%+$9.52
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)backed Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+115.8%+$16.1
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$9.71
Colorado Rockies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+113%+$14.28
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Jetsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.