TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$557,820
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$565,898

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $557,820 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over51c331,490$168,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163,129.1687451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under49c104,994$51,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,472.7366248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under51c69,919$35,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,658.5343542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under49c46,055$22,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,566.991,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under50c45,471$22,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,735.324,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under49c33,151$16,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,243.991,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over51c30,000$15,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,699.961,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c19,770$9,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,687.914,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe34b…3b60backed Over50c19,700$9,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,8501346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under50c15,000$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5009159.3%54 W · 37 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Over49c14,000$6,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,139.9820744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under51c13,520$6,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,895.0426648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Under49c13,000$6,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,3708839.8%35 W · 53 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under49c10,258$5,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,070.123,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c9,526$4,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,762.94,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d78…29a5backed Over73c8,908$6,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,405.052040%8 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under27c8,044$2,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,171.982,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c8,030$3,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,922.72,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfad4…379bbacked Under1c5,979$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7910347.6%49 W · 54 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Over49c5,732$2,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,923.2115644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c5,030$2,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,468.562,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under49c4,575$2,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,241.922,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c4,238$2,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,098.653,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Under51c4,003$2,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,041.6382442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under29c2,794$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.358,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under36c2,512$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.561,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21d4…84bdbacked Over52c2,429$1,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.117850%39 W · 39 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9802,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Over51c1,990$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.0215952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under51c1,950$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.2887049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under28c1,590$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.222,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under49c1,344$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.341,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under50c1,111$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.0495047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e59…307dbacked Under49c1,005$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.58859.1%52 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over52c1,004$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.7376249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c1,002$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.985,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over51c997.91$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.9719958.3%116 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under49c972.96$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.751,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c968.38$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.516,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under1c900$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121236.5%8 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under50c792.16$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over77c660.65$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.0765872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under49c632.21$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.781,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over74c588.57$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.8628537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under51c583.12$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.271,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Under50c533.1$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.0229344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under48c517.13$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.316547.7%31 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Under39c512.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.3514243%61 W · 81 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under21c467.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0726337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed Over53c462.98$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.642845.1%193 W · 235 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec38…ca10backed Under49c411.73$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.7511050.9%56 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Over77c410.8$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.7827745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c395.21$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.551,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c393.21$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.812,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe226…95a5backed Over51c386.28$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.289853.1%52 W · 46 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under49c379.23$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.8271449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2273…7e01backed Over51c315.74$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.717028.6%20 W · 50 L-8.8wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-49.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3717…e6dcbacked Over73c302.17$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.599874.5%73 W · 25 L+11.6wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+17.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x20ea…1b1abacked Over52c284.14$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.393444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over50c275.71$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.281349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Over50c266.94$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.4723850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18d5…2bb6backed Over50c265.95$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.986250%31 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Over50c263$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.513148.9%64 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked Under53c260.4$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.9117845.5%81 W · 97 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Over77c257.63$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7716159.6%96 W · 65 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Under25c252.95$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0710637.7%40 W · 66 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+47.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under51c251.08$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.0526956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Under51c251.08$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.0514156.7%80 W · 61 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Under51c251.08$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.0517353.2%92 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over71c241.73$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.613,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Over50c221.58$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.7925641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Over50c198.97$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.4926745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Under49c193.06$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.617651.7%91 W · 85 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Under51c189.46$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6221550.2%108 W · 107 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under52c189.43$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.552146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under52c189.43$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.543447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Under47c180$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.621347.9%102 W · 111 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Under51c177.2$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.3718052.2%94 W · 86 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Under50c166.86$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.4316450%82 W · 82 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under14c164.41$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8431345.7%143 W · 170 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under31c161.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.143,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Under50c152.68$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3422351.6%115 W · 108 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Under49c152.31$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.639045.6%41 W · 49 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b6c…9a83backed Under49c151.69$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.334641.3%19 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under49c150.13$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.571,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Over50c135.93$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9720247.5%96 W · 106 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Under51c135.2$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.955147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under39c134.7$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.821,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Under48c133.39$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0321843.6%95 W · 123 L-15.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over52c133.13$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.181,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc1…57a1backed Over50c132.98$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.492927.6%8 W · 21 L-5.4wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-47.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under39c132.95$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4751647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5818…39e2backed Under51c115.25$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7813950.4%70 W · 69 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87fa…12d0backed Under47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015357.5%88 W · 65 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under36c105.84$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.491,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfab0…e0f5backed Over50c105.63$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.828658.1%50 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Under46c104.24$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5913349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Under49c103.43$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6815650.6%79 W · 77 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e4…a1adbacked Over50c103.43$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.712254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over50c103.43$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7154443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.