TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$474,422
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$482,610

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $474,422 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under48c223,267$107,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107,167.9343542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Over52c214,607$111,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103,011.4920545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over51c91,045$46,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,306.4387451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under48c76,370$36,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,657.6215644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe34b…3b60backed Over52c50,000$26,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,0001346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over52c42,486$22,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,393.5166248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Under49c39,400$19,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,306.121,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Under48c14,729$7,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,052.658839.8%35 W · 53 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under48c11,596$5,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,524.972,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d3d…3165backed Under48c10,172$4,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,882.563129%9 W · 22 L-6.7wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-45.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Over52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80020744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd57d…80d0backed Over53c9,383$4,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,434.974042.5%17 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick35cpaid-7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under48c6,710$3,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,221.0321943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c5,115$2,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4774,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under49c5,023$2,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,461.041,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4001,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under49c4,902$2,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,401.91,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under47c4,625$2,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,173.741,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Under48c4,582$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.5231643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under48c3,899$1,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,881.3938946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Under48c3,718$1,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,784.8614940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under47c3,628$1,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,717.582,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82b8…01cfbacked Under45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Under47c2,400$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12827241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x708a…a0d8backed Under48c2,321$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.944535.6%16 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Over53c2,154$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.1515952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over53c1,970$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92687049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under44c1,513$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.913,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c1,467$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.834,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over52c1,300$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.411,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e70…f06fbacked Under48c1,231$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.016746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over56c1,157$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.2391050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over51c1,096$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.8484150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91f7…4767backed Under48c1,094$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.210651.9%55 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfded…f0babacked Over55c1,084$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.652100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x958d…adfabacked Over55c985.15$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Under48c979.96$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.3840350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1b4…712fbacked Over55c886.64$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb097…0e61backed Under48c873.84$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.4412240.2%49 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under45c643.11$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.7581349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Under46c617.93$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.5729344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under48c600$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29068645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5157…942bbacked Over52c574.95$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.987145.1%32 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under48c535.61$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.0970246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over53c483.22$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.1192058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over79c432.86$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8765872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under44c414.11$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.661,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Over74c411.13$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.6919756.3%111 W · 86 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe226…95a5backed Under48c410.43$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1979853.1%52 W · 46 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca4…aa92backed Over52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19211157.7%64 W · 47 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Under48c397$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.5639448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Under49c392.02$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.0913349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdff8…3c8bbacked Over55c352.62$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.685740.4%23 W · 34 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under44c331.12$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.952,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over53c282.01$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5589853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under31c278.2$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.431,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Under49c241.23$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.223446.2%108 W · 126 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over55c240.38$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1724955.8%139 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under48c222.62$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.861,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21d4…84bdbacked Over55c220.81$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.377850%39 W · 39 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under49c209.13$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.0791746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Under22c205.3$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2814438.9%56 W · 88 L+32.5wins+0.23per pick16cpaid+228.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under49c201.02$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.565349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under49c198.62$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1251647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f45…ab6abacked Under23c197.27$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.396237.1%23 W · 39 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under47c183.94$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.531,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7521…c083backed Over55c179.12$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.64734%16 W · 31 L-6.0wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5d78…7b8dbacked Over70c177.09$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.77754.5%42 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over52c166.9$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.111,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under47c150.14$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.571,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over56c140.75$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9328949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under29c132.96$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.563,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under20c131.3$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4365630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Under49c122.62$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0914445.8%66 W · 78 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under47c120.58$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6760945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87fa…12d0backed Under46c108.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015357.5%88 W · 65 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x549d…35b9backed Over56c105.56$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4511354.9%62 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd69d…fe68backed Under23c104.64$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.247316.4%12 W · 61 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick17cpaid+1,317.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under48c102.61$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2566046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4895260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under17c99.15$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8652230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under15c97.05$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.563,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over52c95.59$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3453453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a31…f1c6backed Under46c73.94$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.013721.6%8 W · 29 L-7.2wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-51.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x061e…81e0backed Over55c71.65$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2419849%97 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Over52c70.94$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0523840.8%97 W · 141 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Under49c69.37$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.996336.5%23 W · 40 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Over54c69.12$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.863353.1%336 W · 297 L-2.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under38c65.22$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.111,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over55c65.13$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3123657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc563…0bc2backed Over55c59.38$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.54475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Over53c59.1$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7830256.6%171 W · 131 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under44c55.63$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4878648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Over53c53.45$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1221550.2%108 W · 107 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4954…ac42backed Over53c52.04$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.463748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Over52c51.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9646255.6%257 W · 205 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under49c50.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6357051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…d6d8backed Over52c50.02$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0110753.3%57 W · 50 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.