NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8c32e13f54a499a8eb6ba96bdc15012795adf6e6ac3e408a4081cfa5dcbed39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 54c | 82,035$44,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,058.58 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Over | 46c | 69,595$32,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,581.07 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 46c | 12,603$5,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,805.67 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 7,663$3,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,831.25 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 6,502$3,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,257.01 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 53c | 4,028$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,135.1 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d52…484abacked Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 47c | 1,424$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.74 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8828…e192backed Under | 50c | 1,084$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c4…680cbacked Under | 50c | 985$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…f955backed Under | 51c | 979.99$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.79 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 54c | 929$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.66 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 54c | 920.46$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.35 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1938…c619backed Under | 50c | 886.5$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Over | 49c | 804.09$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.08 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 70c | 499.97$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Under | 54c | 492.55$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.98 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 48c | 443.41$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.53 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 75c | 442.14$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.74 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Over | 47c | 410.35$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.49 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Over | 74c | 400.73$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.19 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 342.91$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.59 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 46c | 332$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.4 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 52c | 268.55$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.53 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 51c | 239.83$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.6 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 21c | 213.05$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Over | 73c | 207.52$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.03 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 52c | 188.57$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.57 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 47c | 183.22$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.11 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 47c | 183.22$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.11 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 47c | 159.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.58 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 47c | 150.71$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.88 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 53c | 150.14$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.57 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 48c | 134.4$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.55 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 53c | 130.06$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.63 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 128.06$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.87 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf433…2464backed Under | 52c | 114.04$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 47c | 104.79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.54 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 90.94$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…dbc0backed Under | 55c | 89.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 47c | 73.27$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 50c | 59.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…7014backed Over | 46c | 42.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4458…d13bbacked Under | 54c | 36.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 33.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 34c | 32.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 47c | 23.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Over | 47c | 23.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 47c | 23.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 48c | 21.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 52c | 19.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 52c | 19.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 329 | 57.4%189 W · 140 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5this page
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Suns (-12.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-13.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. GrizzliesSuns won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5Over won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5Over won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Over won
- Walter Clayton Jr.: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Walter Clayton Jr.: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.