NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ac06469fe89b73c6fad60ac174baca936dc0a940bf8e27a354626d808631cd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Suns, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,364,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,458,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,364,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 456 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Grizzlies | 14c | 92,796$12,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,551.63 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Grizzlies | 14c | 66,527$9,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,313.77 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies | 15c | 45,058$6,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,829.09 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Suns | 73c | 32,907$24,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,883.5 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Grizzlies | 14c | 32,344$4,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,390.63 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Grizzlies | 26c | 25,420$6,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,533.22 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Grizzlies | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Grizzlies | 14c | 21,274$2,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,978.33 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies | 13c | 21,093$2,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,780.76 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Grizzlies | 1c | 20,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Suns | 73c | 19,922$14,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,378.82 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Grizzlies | 14c | 19,682$2,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,843.52 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…8bd4backed Grizzlies | 13c | 15,384$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.9 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Grizzlies | 13c | 15,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.95 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Grizzlies | 13c | 14,312$1,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860.62 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…bc3cbacked Grizzlies | 21c | 13,882$2,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,881.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Grizzlies | 31c | 12,027$3,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,694.98 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Grizzlies | 21c | 10,780$2,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,212.61 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x269c…9017backed Suns | 77c | 10,768$8,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,438.52 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea0c…434bbacked Grizzlies | 6c | 9,903$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.02 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Grizzlies | 13c | 9,595$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.39 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Suns | 80c | 9,331$7,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.43 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ce…3b06backed Grizzlies | 14c | 9,015$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.16 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Grizzlies | 19c | 8,928$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.48 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Grizzlies | 17c | 8,852$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.16 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Grizzlies | 14c | 8,421$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.9 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Suns | 71c | 8,264$5,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,402.93 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab65…4a03backed Grizzlies | 14c | 7,679$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.08 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Grizzlies | 12c | 7,667$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.02 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Grizzlies | 14c | 7,545$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.31 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Grizzlies | 18c | 7,396$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.06 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa701…86a3backed Grizzlies | 3c | 7,268$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.09 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 29c | 7,242$2,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073.48 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Grizzlies | 13c | 6,898$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.65 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Grizzlies | 7c | 6,771$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.94 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Grizzlies | 13c | 6,436$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.04 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Grizzlies | 30c | 6,141$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,865.73 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Suns | 68c | 6,067$4,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,926.24 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Grizzlies | 0c | 6,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Grizzlies | 20c | 5,903$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.91 | 535 | 39.6%212 W · 323 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…0dcfbacked Grizzlies | 14c | 5,673$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.18 | 170 | 28.8%49 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed Grizzlies | 21c | 5,635$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.37 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Grizzlies | 14c | 5,412$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.69 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…8723backed Suns | 78c | 5,316$4,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.77 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Suns | 78c | 5,172$4,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.78 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5798…ab44backed Grizzlies | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.94 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3b…447bbacked Grizzlies | 14c | 4,855$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.65 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Grizzlies | 25c | 4,801$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.06 | 249 | 37.3%93 W · 156 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Suns | 72c | 4,778$3,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.1 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa115…6c5abacked Grizzlies | 8c | 4,614$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.63 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…09a5backed Suns | 71c | 4,500$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Grizzlies | 26c | 4,418$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.24 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4958…a146backed Grizzlies | 13c | 4,400$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef2…79f9backed Grizzlies | 20c | 4,295$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.07 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Grizzlies | 29c | 4,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Grizzlies | 29c | 4,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.9 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…ffbbbacked Suns | 71c | 3,925$2,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.27 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Grizzlies | 14c | 3,593$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…0db6backed Grizzlies | 14c | 3,306$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.83 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Suns | 68c | 3,287$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.61 | 301 | 57.1%172 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Grizzlies | 23c | 3,277$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.96 | 129 | 38.8%50 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d1…eb7fbacked Grizzlies | 1c | 3,208$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Grizzlies | 13c | 3,189$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.7 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Grizzlies | 25c | 3,066$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.52 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked Grizzlies | 31c | 3,032$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.37 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Grizzlies | 13c | 3,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Grizzlies | 15c | 2,979$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.04 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Grizzlies | 20c | 2,938$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.94 | 141 | 7.8%11 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Grizzlies | 13c | 2,853$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.91 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Grizzlies | 18c | 2,850$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.38 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e5…79f3backed Grizzlies | 25c | 2,763$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.76 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Grizzlies | 14c | 2,700$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.87 | 205 | 37.1%76 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Grizzlies | 13c | 2,674$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.62 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Grizzlies | 14c | 2,647$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.12 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b34…7496backed Grizzlies | 38c | 2,596$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Grizzlies | 32c | 2,581$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.03 | 208 | 56.7%118 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Grizzlies | 19c | 2,421$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.65 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Suns | 62c | 2,403$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.65 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Grizzlies | 30c | 2,272$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.13 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…764bbacked Suns | 72c | 2,065$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.84 | 440 | 52.5%231 W · 209 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Grizzlies | 24c | 1,935$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.04 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Grizzlies | 14c | 1,773$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.19 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Suns | 70c | 1,764$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.55 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Grizzlies | 1c | 1,689$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbedd…7605backed Grizzlies | 24c | 1,675$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.61 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Grizzlies | 13c | 1,600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.99 | 689 | 44%303 W · 386 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…fbfbbacked Suns | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…7487backed Suns | 67c | 1,473$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x851c…dafdbacked Grizzlies | 10c | 1,465$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.45 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Grizzlies | 18c | 1,408$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.75 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Grizzlies | 26c | 1,351$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.77 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Suns | 74c | 1,336$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.3 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Grizzlies | 29c | 1,276$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.79 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…9afabacked Grizzlies | 17c | 1,265$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.07 | 73 | 13.7%10 W · 63 L | -11.3wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Grizzlies | 16c | 1,240$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.39 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x100c…1c2cbacked Grizzlies | 32c | 1,195$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.46 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Grizzlies | 16c | 1,190$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.45 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…1af9backed Suns | 61c | 1,142$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.48 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd350…8ae8backed Suns | 67c | 1,076$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.66 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Grizzlies | 14c | 1,064$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.92 | 175 | 32%56 W · 119 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Grizzliesthis page
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Suns (-12.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-13.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5Over won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5Over won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5Over won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Over won
- Walter Clayton Jr.: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Walter Clayton Jr.: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.