NBA · resolved market
Spread: Suns (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb23bec4e7c7a2d89dc1f55b6d720e7db4299ccac0ae9d48edad20b99c5e43b14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Suns, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,928
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,928 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Grizzlies | 51c | 15,869$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,099.57 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…173bbacked Suns | 48c | 13,813$6,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,182.74 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 7,851$4,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,083.46 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Suns | 47c | 6,105$2,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,215.18 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa414…bcaabacked Suns | 49c | 5,838$2,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,977.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…999abacked Suns | 49c | 5,026$2,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,563.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ce…1ba6backed Suns | 49c | 4,270$2,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,181.53 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Grizzlies | 52c | 4,117$2,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140.84 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Grizzlies | 53c | 2,959$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.5 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Grizzlies | 53c | 2,197$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.54 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Grizzlies | 53c | 2,172$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.98 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Suns | 48c | 2,060$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.2 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Grizzlies | 54c | 1,812$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.54 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 44c | 1,787$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.81 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Grizzlies | 55c | 1,780$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Suns | 57c | 1,197$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.85 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Suns | 46c | 1,081$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.35 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 1,003$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.57 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Suns | 48c | 919.96$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.38 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Suns | 46c | 876.37$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.05 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Suns | 46c | 653.42$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.85 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Suns | 50c | 597.5$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.26 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Grizzlies | 52c | 576.97$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.02 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Suns | 46c | 544.55$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.07 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Suns | 46c | 533.48$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.22 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Suns | 46c | 533.48$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.22 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Grizzlies | 60c | 501.96$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.86 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…9b01backed Suns | 48c | 500.35$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.25 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Grizzlies | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Suns | 48c | 395.72$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.74 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Grizzlies | 52c | 377.26$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.18 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Grizzlies | 52c | 375.29$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.15 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Grizzlies | 53c | 364.63$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.9 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Grizzlies | 55c | 358.23$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.03 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Grizzlies | 37c | 323.03$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.53 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Grizzlies | 52c | 310.72$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.14 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Suns | 59c | 304.86$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.49 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Suns | 23c | 282.08$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.09 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Grizzlies | 52c | 251.94$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.01 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6b…d10abacked Grizzlies | 52c | 214.85$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.72 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.31per pick | 52cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Suns | 46c | 212.25$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.75 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Suns | 46c | 212.25$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.75 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Suns | 24c | 206.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.6 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 205.57$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.01 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Suns | 49c | 201.02$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.52 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Grizzlies | 53c | 199.14$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.54 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3918…b552backed Grizzlies | 55c | 197.5$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.87 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Grizzlies | 43c | 183.72$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Grizzlies | 52c | 152.68$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.39 | 187 | 44.4%83 W · 104 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Suns | 47c | 150.71$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.88 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Grizzlies | 52c | 128.05$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.59 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Grizzlies | 33c | 120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed Grizzlies | 33c | 120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Suns | 47c | 115.67$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Grizzlies | 52c | 113.04$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.64 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Suns | 47c | 105.18$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.93 | 135 | 41.5%56 W · 79 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…049abacked Grizzlies | 52c | 104.19$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 180 | 54.4%98 W · 82 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed Suns | 49c | 100.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.26 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Grizzlies | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Grizzlies | 46c | 99.64$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Grizzlies | 54c | 93.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Grizzlies | 52c | 92.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 91.65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 91.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 81.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Grizzlies | 33c | 75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Grizzlies | 33c | 75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 330 | 30.9%102 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Grizzlies | 33c | 75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 73.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 70.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 481 | 52%250 W · 231 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Grizzlies | 53c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x902f…fb2dbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 64.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +13.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Grizzlies | 39c | 60.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Grizzlies | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Grizzlies | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 302 | 56.6%171 W · 131 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Suns | 44c | 56.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Grizzlies | 58c | 55.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Grizzlies | 50c | 52.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Suns | 47c | 52.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 519 | 46.8%243 W · 276 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Suns | 47c | 52.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Suns | 47c | 52.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Grizzlies | 57c | 51.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 129 | 61.2%79 W · 50 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Grizzlies | 61c | 50.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…c55ebacked Grizzlies | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Suns | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Grizzlies | 51c | 49.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9e…f670backed Suns | 49c | 49.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Grizzlies | 52c | 47.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Suns | 46c | 46.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…1013backed Suns | 41c | 42.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Suns | 47c | 40.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Grizzlies | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Grizzlies | 51c | 39.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b45…c376backed Suns | 47c | 39.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89da…04dfbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 39.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Suns | 46c | 39.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…8efcbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 39.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Grizzlies | 52c | 37.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…4648backed Grizzlies | 54c | 36.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…b5b9backed Suns | 49c | 35.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Suns (-13.5)this page
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Suns (-12.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. GrizzliesSuns won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5Over won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5Over won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5Over won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Over won
- Walter Clayton Jr.: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Walter Clayton Jr.: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.