NBA · resolved market
Walter Clayton Jr.: Points O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1c1c52867052d0dfc0307d9bab0236241b4b3b1d709585ebcf38f1f681a2660
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,928
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,928 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed No | 66c | 1,620$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.44 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94fc…7162backed Yes | 34c | 1,293$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.89 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.4wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 67c | 429$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.69 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x076b…ab7fbacked Yes | 33c | 238.27$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…41a2backed Yes | 34c | 232.13$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.2 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 68c | 210$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.49 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f6…8c20backed Yes | 33c | 180.07$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5023…a00fbacked Yes | 34c | 128.25$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.64 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked No | 68c | 110$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 270 | 74.1%200 W · 70 L | +30.5wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +18%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xccd3…5e2ebacked Yes | 33c | 95.68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x893f…6a2dbacked Yes | 31c | 95.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…5f87backed Yes | 33c | 87$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31bb…64a8backed Yes | 38c | 78.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +144%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 602 | 67.3%405 W · 197 L | +46.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd441…87febacked Yes | 30c | 35.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x376d…bc1bbacked No | 66c | 30.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed Yes | 39c | 28.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fb…9df5backed No | 46c | 27.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked No | 69c | 23.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0891…4874backed No | 68c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 63c | 20.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Walter Clayton Jr.: Points O/U 10.5this page
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Suns (-12.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-13.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. GrizzliesSuns won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5Over won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5Over won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5Over won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Over won
- Walter Clayton Jr.: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.