NBA · resolved market
Spread: Suns (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcaedc85c029a9ea3d5fa00ae83df22ccfb696c6244ad9d824dd5fb8b468777bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Suns, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $298,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $323,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $298,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Grizzlies | 50c | 99,156$49,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,575.14 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Suns | 50c | 80,307$40,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,153.53 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Grizzlies | 50c | 32,155$16,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,077.61 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Suns | 50c | 25,610$12,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,805 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Suns | 57c | 10,204$5,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,393.26 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Suns | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Suns | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…c461backed Suns | 51c | 8,883$4,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,352.85 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Grizzlies | 50c | 8,013$4,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,006.66 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Grizzlies | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 20c | 7,326$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,833.16 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Grizzlies | 50c | 6,916$3,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,458.07 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Suns | 50c | 6,050$3,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,003.43 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x812e…3f38backed Suns | 50c | 5,713$2,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,856.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Suns | 50c | 5,585$2,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,792.48 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…7ecebacked Suns | 50c | 4,142$2,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.17 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…4a87backed Suns | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…ce19backed Grizzlies | 49c | 3,891$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies | 51c | 3,815$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.76 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Grizzlies | 50c | 3,497$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.47 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Grizzlies | 56c | 3,046$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.89 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0963…3e17backed Suns | 51c | 2,632$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Grizzlies | 49c | 2,553$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.55 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Grizzlies | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Suns | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Grizzlies | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.98 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1d…faffbacked Suns | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.85 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 1,969$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.74 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Suns | 51c | 1,931$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.38 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…6d9fbacked Suns | 51c | 1,925$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Grizzlies | 50c | 1,857$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.69 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,807$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.19 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Suns | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Suns | 50c | 1,650$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Grizzlies | 50c | 1,376$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.06 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Suns | 52c | 1,093$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.82 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Grizzlies | 44c | 1,051$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.81 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 1,003$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.37 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Grizzlies | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Suns | 50c | 999.92$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.96 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Grizzlies | 49c | 992.49$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.32 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Suns | 50c | 988.42$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.07 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Grizzlies | 49c | 973.45$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.99 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Suns | 30c | 907.09$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.96 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Suns | 16c | 892.81$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.52 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…ee05backed Grizzlies | 49c | 822.18$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.87 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 817.72$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.5 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Suns | 13c | 790.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.81 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Suns | 64c | 770.45$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.36 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 742$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.02 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 714.98$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.34 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Grizzlies | 49c | 608.43$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.13 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Grizzlies | 51c | 586.08$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.9 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Suns | 51c | 579.42$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.91 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Suns | 51c | 570.32$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.46 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…f216backed Suns | 30c | 569.4$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.58 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91b7…63b5backed Grizzlies | 80c | 551.66$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.23 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Grizzlies | 51c | 551.6$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.32 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Grizzlies | 61c | 494.23$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.23 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Grizzlies | 49c | 469.95$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.28 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Grizzlies | 67c | 468.56$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.79 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Grizzlies | 49c | 402.04$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Suns | 46c | 399.94$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.96 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ea…1b1abacked Suns | 49c | 398.02$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.02 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Suns | 52c | 397.95$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.02 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…4b69backed Suns | 20c | 397.75$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.31 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 391.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.08 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Suns | 50c | 381.37$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.69 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Grizzlies | 31c | 359.14$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.68 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Grizzlies | 49c | 340.5$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.14 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Grizzlies | 52c | 331.93$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.46 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Grizzlies | 49c | 305.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.93 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Suns | 50c | 295.5$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.75 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 295.5$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.75 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Suns | 51c | 292.55$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.35 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Suns | 50c | 275.81$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.9 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Suns | 50c | 274.82$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.41 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Suns | 52c | 265.2$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.3 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Suns | 51c | 261.03$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.9 | 114 | 53.5%61 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Grizzlies | 56c | 239.88$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.06 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -8.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Suns | 50c | 236.4$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.2 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Suns | 51c | 233.13$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.23 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Suns | 52c | 229.51$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.17 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed Suns | 52c | 229.51$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.17 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…682bbacked Suns | 13c | 229.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.41 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Suns | 49c | 228.52$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.94 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Suns | 50c | 220.64$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.32 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 210.8$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.08 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 203.88$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Suns | 52c | 200.79$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.38 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Suns | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Grizzlies | 48c | 199.96$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Suns | 51c | 197$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.53 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…83e6backed Grizzlies | 50c | 197$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Grizzlies | 50c | 197$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Grizzlies | 50c | 197$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed Grizzlies | 50c | 197$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Suns | 50c | 195.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.52 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Grizzlies | 48c | 191.58$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.96 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Suns (-12.5)this page
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Suns (-13.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. GrizzliesSuns won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5Over won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5Over won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5Over won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Over won
- Walter Clayton Jr.: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Walter Clayton Jr.: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.