TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x20ea…1b1a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
107
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT3638.9%14 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$658Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$658.44
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$357.91
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,399.54
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.38
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$514
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,041Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,040.78
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$162.22
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$184.62
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$65.26
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$179.23
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+111.9%+$167.8
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+82.7%+$1,322.56
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$300
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT3444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.62
Spread: Raptors (-14.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.33
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.88
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.73
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$150.69
Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.45
Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 249.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$100.9
Spread: Bulls (-4.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$344.71
Bucks vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.03
76ers vs. Wizards: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.76
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.27
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.31
Spread: 76ers (-15.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.73
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.87
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$491.5
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.24
Knicks vs. Rocketsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.94
Spread: Hornets (-15.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Suns vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$76.5
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.51
Spread: Lakers (-16.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.52
Cavaliers vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+91.2%+$89.78
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$283.91
Spread: Spurs (-18.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.12
76ers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$173.46
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT3360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Kings vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$53.45
Jets vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$36.06
Canadiens vs. Flyersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Capitals vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$125.17
Blues vs. Blackhawksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+74%+$71.06
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+100.1%+$150.14
Maple Leafs vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$39.62
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+77.7%+$108.75
Blue Jackets vs. Red Wingsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$43
Lightning vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+102%+$346.94
Blackhawks vs. Sharksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Lightning vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$239.39
Blackhawks vs. Krakenbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$135
Flames vs. Ducksbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$198.84
Blues vs. Ducksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$97.78
Blues vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Flyers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$610
Blackhawks vs. Oilersbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Penguins vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+62.9%+$132.17
Capitals vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Ducks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Spread: Avalanche (-2.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.47
Jets vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Senators vs. Panthersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.48
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.48
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.