NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 217.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87b8ef23529d821fd399167a1191a9c2fc5ceeabc208a6adf1e404942626c648
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $409,565
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $409,960
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $409,565 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 50c | 245,789$123,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122,439.29 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 50c | 164,541$81,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,979.7 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 49c | 98,039$48,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,038.96 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 51c | 56,599$28,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,733.4 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 31,540$15,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,645.75 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 51c | 15,279$7,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,487.29 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Under | 49c | 12,060$5,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,909.4 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 9,372$4,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,685.78 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,919.97 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 49c | 6,264$3,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,053.66 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Over | 51c | 5,785$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,834.63 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 5,167$2,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,583.69 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 50c | 4,800$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 52c | 4,669$2,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,241.23 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 4,500$2,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,265 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…f216backed Under | 50c | 4,200$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.78 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x497d…5f3abacked Over | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 3,684$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.16 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 52c | 2,965$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.99 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 49c | 2,674$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.39 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 50c | 2,609$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.43 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 50c | 2,550$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 50c | 2,444$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.9 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 52c | 1,995$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.59 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 50c | 1,829$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.42 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7067…e41ebacked Under | 51c | 1,583$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.32 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4218…52dabacked Under | 52c | 1,457$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 1,402$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.42 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 52c | 1,401$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.37 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Under | 48c | 1,357$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.66 | 314 | 55.1%173 W · 141 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b3…7ba4backed Under | 52c | 1,263$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Over | 52c | 1,215$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.19 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…b039backed Under | 52c | 1,165$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 49c | 1,045$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.82 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Under | 51c | 1,018$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.29 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 51c | 970.6$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.01 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 52c | 968.49$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.88 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Under | 48c | 944.04$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.14 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Under | 50c | 921.5$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.75 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Under | 20c | 822.24$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.3 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…03b7backed Over | 50c | 774.93$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.91 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Under | 50c | 753.69$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.85 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Over | 48c | 626.69$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.88 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 51c | 607.41$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.76 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 73c | 602.71$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.87 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Under | 50c | 582$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 50c | 582$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 79c | 564.07$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.45 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Over | 52c | 551.87$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.9 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 27c | 542.49$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.36 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 49c | 498.29$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.13 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…3b71backed Under | 49c | 484.7$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.5 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 52c | 460.48$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.03 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Over | 64c | 457.82$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.08 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 10c | 457.58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 51c | 450.64$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.4 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 51c | 448.48$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.67 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed Under | 50c | 445.23$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.62 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 51c | 431.29$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.66 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 50c | 409.05$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.17 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 52c | 404.96$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.38 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Under | 52c | 388.48$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.01 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Over | 51c | 372.61$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.58 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf841…426abacked Under | 49c | 359.71$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.81 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6b…d10abacked Under | 51c | 359$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.09 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.31per pick | 52cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Under | 51c | 343.49$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.69 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under | 49c | 343.17$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.15 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 49c | 342.19$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.02 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf498…3d66backed Under | 51c | 335.41$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.82 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Over | 53c | 298.87$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.47 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Under | 49c | 282.96$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.65 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 52c | 271.59$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.36 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked Under | 50c | 261.26$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.4 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 34c | 244.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.21 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…1af3backed Under | 50c | 242.5$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.25 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 51c | 242.2$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.52 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ea…1b1abacked Under | 32c | 241.15$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.73 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…691bbacked Under | 51c | 239.9$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.29 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 49c | 208.9$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.36 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Over | 51c | 201.44$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.45 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 52c | 200.27$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Over | 51c | 199.91$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.96 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Over | 53c | 194.36$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 400 | 53.5%214 W · 186 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Under | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…0d9fbacked Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…5667backed Under | 51c | 187.91$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.1 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Over | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 250 | 49.6%124 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe226…95a5backed Over | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 30c | 182$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540f…92bebacked Under | 50c | 171.69$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.85 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Over | 66c | 167.22$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.85 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 217.5this page
- Celtics vs. BucksCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 216.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5Over won
- Gary Trent Jr.: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Ousmane Dieng: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Ousmane Dieng: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-16.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-17.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-18.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.