NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2652b603c8353807d27de4bcd83fcbde71bcbfc8eca79fe90194f50c62d6ebb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $285,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $289,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 48c | 194,101$92,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101,352.02 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 52c | 149,514$77,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,747.34 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 49c | 31,994$15,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,689.66 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 50c | 14,068$7,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,033.8 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 11,568$6,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,102.04 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 53c | 10,258$5,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,432.48 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 53c | 9,000$4,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,770 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…0b06backed Over | 48c | 6,142$2,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,193.94 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 5,575$3,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,547.13 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 53c | 5,000$2,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,629.94 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 4,500$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Over | 47c | 4,203$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,227.35 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Under | 51c | 1,941$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.01 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 50c | 1,881$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.4 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 53c | 1,814$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.25 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 53c | 1,742$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.56 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 52c | 1,667$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.84 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 54c | 1,653$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.6 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Over | 53c | 1,565$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.86 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Under | 53c | 1,488$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.76 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Under | 53c | 916.79$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.9 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…03b7backed Over | 48c | 809.93$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.45 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Under | 51c | 679.42$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.5 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 51c | 629.75$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.17 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 52c | 578.92$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.86 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 50c | 544.77$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.02 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 53c | 540.46$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.5 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Under | 54c | 540.22$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.72 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 51c | 402.48$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.54 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 46c | 355.89$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.41 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 19c | 333.42$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 54c | 329.66$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.4 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 46c | 294.49$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.3 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Under | 51c | 293.96$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.92 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…1af3backed Under | 52c | 280.15$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.68 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Under | 52c | 275.82$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.43 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Over | 49c | 270$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.7 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Over | 57c | 239.93$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.96 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 54c | 237.59$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.71 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f1…3fd9backed Under | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Under | 53c | 210.88$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.77 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Under | 53c | 210.88$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.77 | 114 | 53.5%61 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…030abacked Under | 53c | 210.88$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.77 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 50c | 206$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…0d9fbacked Over | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x190f…01f3backed Over | 50c | 196.91$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.46 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 54c | 191.69$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.61 | 202 | 40.1%81 W · 121 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Over | 50c | 191.26$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.63 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Under | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…5fa2backed Under | 53c | 162.29$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.01 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 47c | 154.91$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.1 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a1…10dcbacked Under | 53c | 137.52$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.89 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +10.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 134.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.55 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 53c | 128.28$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfab0…e0f5backed Under | 54c | 126.41$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.26 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 55c | 120.07$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 55c | 120.07$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 55c | 120.07$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 55c | 120.07$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 55c | 120.07$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x185d…5e67backed Over | 47c | 116.06$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.13 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Under | 53c | 109.07$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.33 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 53c | 107.87$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.17 | 367 | 49.6%182 W · 185 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 47c | 103$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42f2…fdb4backed Over | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 47c | 99.68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.85 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb988…f50fbacked Over | 49c | 99.35$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.89 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Under | 54c | 99.04$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.48 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…bab8backed Under | 54c | 98.21$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.03 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Over | 49c | 98.15$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.67 | 228 | 50.9%116 W · 112 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Under | 54c | 97.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…3b18backed Under | 54c | 95.3$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…c2e0backed Under | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2268…05bdbacked Over | 47c | 93.87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Under | 53c | 87.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 162 | 45.1%73 W · 89 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 53c | 87.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 361 | 53.5%193 W · 168 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 54c | 85.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce27…8a7dbacked Over | 48c | 80.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Over | 50c | 77.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fb…8b8bbacked Over | 47c | 77.46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Under | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…ec56backed Under | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…ed6bbacked Over | 47c | 74.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c92…5567backed Under | 53c | 72.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Under | 53c | 72.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1969…a09cbacked Under | 55c | 70.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Over | 55c | 69.08$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed Under | 54c | 57.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 47c | 57.34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 27c | 50.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 387 | 51.2%198 W · 189 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccd…1ec9backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d26…6f74backed Under | 52c | 44.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0158…75a5backed Over | 47c | 40.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 51c | 39.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5this page
- Celtics vs. BucksCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 216.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 217.5Over won
- Gary Trent Jr.: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Ousmane Dieng: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Ousmane Dieng: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-16.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-17.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-18.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.