NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Bucks

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb074fa7460d48416b70883fe2cb7414098d1891f3627222b170980f2b15049f

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Celticsof Celtics, Bucks
Resolved: Apr 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $649,054
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $721,736

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $649,054 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdd92…6b2abacked Bucks	6c	51,636$3,098 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,098.17	126	39.7%50 W · 76 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Bucks	6c	47,652$2,859 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,859.11	209	48.8%102 W · 107 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4b…541bbacked Bucks	7c	36,534$2,723 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,722.72	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-3.0wins	-0.23per pick	38cpaid	-79%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Bucks	6c	30,000$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,799.98	618	51.6%319 W · 299 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Bucks	6c	22,750$1,435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,434.67	207	44%91 W · 116 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Bucks	5c	21,899$1,095 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,094.93	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bucks	7c	18,363$1,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,240.16	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Bucks	6c	15,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Bucks	7c	15,000$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,049.97	492	44.3%218 W · 274 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Bucks	1c	14,598$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.65	169	19.5%33 W · 136 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Bucks	7c	10,000$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	219	51.1%112 W · 107 L	+7.4wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa115…6c5abacked Bucks	2c	9,584$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.75	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Bucks	0c	8,800$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.05	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9981…8748backed Bucks	7c	7,000$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53b9…439bbacked Bucks	7c	6,700$469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$469	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+2.1wins	+0.16per pick	45cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Bucks	6c	5,640$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.39	545	39.6%216 W · 329 L	-28.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb74…997cbacked Bucks	7c	5,266$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$368.62	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Bucks	7c	5,200$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$363.99	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Bucks	4c	5,121$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.86	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks	6c	5,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05f6…8cecbacked Bucks	7c	5,000$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8000…3a21backed Bucks	7c	4,721$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.47	259	47.5%123 W · 136 L	+14.5wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf48c…7a6bbacked Bucks	7c	4,540$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Bucks	7c	4,316$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.14	112	35.7%40 W · 72 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Bucks	7c	4,200$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294	659	39.5%260 W · 399 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…6dd0backed Bucks	7c	4,047$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.26	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	-11%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Bucks	7c	3,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	237	42.6%101 W · 136 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ad3…fb0fbacked Bucks	7c	2,967$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.72	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Bucks	7c	2,829$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.66	613	36.1%221 W · 392 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Bucks	3c	2,597$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.71	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+37%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Bucks	1c	2,585$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.85	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ba4…fd40backed Bucks	6c	2,470$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.21	66	28.8%19 W · 47 L	-5.0wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Bucks	8c	2,250$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.83	268	39.2%105 W · 163 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Bucks	5c	2,232$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.61	272	41.9%114 W · 158 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bucks	5c	2,029$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.23	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Bucks	6c	2,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	256	41.4%106 W · 150 L	-13.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Bucks	6c	2,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	134	35.8%48 W · 86 L	-7.4wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Bucks	1c	1,904$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.14	107	18.7%20 W · 87 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Bucks	8c	1,890$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.17	308	45.8%141 W · 167 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Bucks	4c	1,885$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.39	132	45.5%60 W · 72 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bucks	4c	1,857$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.66	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Bucks	6c	1,831$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.84	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c64…533cbacked Bucks	1c	1,778$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.05	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Bucks	6c	1,667$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	351	29.6%104 W · 247 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Bucks	1c	1,387$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.48	566	46.5%263 W · 303 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Bucks	7c	1,349$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.42	110	43.6%48 W · 62 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Bucks	8c	1,181$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.48	296	35.8%106 W · 190 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Bucks	8c	1,181$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.48	179	44.1%79 W · 100 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf734…6d70backed Bucks	2c	1,075$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.82	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Bucks	4c	1,036$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.45	360	23.1%83 W · 277 L	-15.6wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Bucks	7c	1,000$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	689	44%303 W · 386 L	+16.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Bucks	6c	1,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	164	36.6%60 W · 104 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8188…0667backed Bucks	6c	1,000$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	75	18.7%14 W · 61 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Bucks	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	420	0.7%3 W · 417 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	2cpaid	-52%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Bucks	4c	983.87$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.35	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Bucks	4c	983.87$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.35	716	54.1%387 W · 329 L	+21.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x605b…93ccbacked Bucks	8c	977.87$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.23	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.21per pick	36cpaid	+45.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x184c…be31backed Bucks	8c	973.14$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.85	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+2.0wins	+0.20per pick	30cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Bucks	4c	961.25$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.45	369	49.6%183 W · 186 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Bucks	8c	858.94$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.72	621	44%273 W · 348 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Bucks	10c	806.26$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.89	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1181…4216backed Bucks	2c	788.14$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.04	38	28.9%11 W · 27 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Bucks	7c	755.36$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.88	1,198	38.8%465 W · 733 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e59…cc2ebacked Bucks	4c	706.8$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.27	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-2.5wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Bucks	7c	674.43$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.21	135	44.4%60 W · 75 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x07e3…37b1backed Bucks	8c	614.12$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.13	95	45.3%43 W · 52 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbef6…f2f9backed Bucks	8c	590.5$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.24	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+5.0wins	+0.19per pick	37cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Bucks	8c	566.88$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.35	265	30.9%82 W · 183 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Bucks	6c	563.83$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.83	470	28.1%132 W · 338 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Bucks	4c	560.73$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.43	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22cf…b815backed Bucks	3c	559.29$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.54	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.10per pick	23cpaid	-77.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Bucks	6c	555.64$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.56	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa32…d909backed Bucks	8c	529.09$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.33	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Bucks	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x765c…0779backed Bucks	8c	499.98$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	539	39.5%213 W · 326 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Bucks	6c	499.97$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	553	16.5%91 W · 462 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61ca…a1b4backed Bucks	8c	491.3$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.3	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	-3.6wins	-0.10per pick	42cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Bucks	7c	472.1$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.05	100	22%22 W · 78 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Bucks	10c	450$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.49	731	31.1%227 W · 504 L	-3.5wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Bucks	4c	423.14$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.93	414	49.3%204 W · 210 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Bucks	4c	423.14$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.93	445	51.2%228 W · 217 L	+11.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Bucks	4c	423.14$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.93	516	47.5%245 W · 271 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks	7c	408.67$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.61	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Bucks	6c	400$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	365	14.2%52 W · 313 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Bucks	7c	399.99$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.67	663	52.6%349 W · 314 L	+30.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x065c…7c38backed Bucks	7c	391.17$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.38	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-1.9wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed Bucks	11c	359.63$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.33	301	46.2%139 W · 162 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Bucks	4c	354.25$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.17	160	53.8%86 W · 74 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Bucks	4c	350.82$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.03	130	52.3%68 W · 62 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeaf…cffdbacked Bucks	8c	349.58$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.97	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+1.6wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Bucks	6c	347$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.82	474	36.7%174 W · 300 L	-16.8wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Bucks	6c	343.12$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.59	89	58.4%52 W · 37 L	+9.4wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Bucks	8c	342.49$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.4	824	40.4%333 W · 491 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Bucks	10c	318.42$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.84	122	50.8%62 W · 60 L	+4.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Bucks	8c	313.21$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.62	410	38%156 W · 254 L	-16.8wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed Bucks	7c	313$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.91	699	29.8%208 W · 491 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Bucks	7c	300$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	643	47.7%307 W · 336 L	+14.5wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8c…686fbacked Bucks	4c	300$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	244	9.4%23 W · 221 L	-27.5wins	-0.11per pick	21cpaid	-72.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4c31…ebdbbacked Bucks	7c	299.99$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	65	43.1%28 W · 37 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Bucks	8c	299.98$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	161	41.6%67 W · 94 L	-11.3wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Celtics vs. Bucksthis page
Celtics vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 216.5Over won
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 217.5Over won
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5Over won
Gary Trent Jr.: Points O/U 11.5No won
Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
Ousmane Dieng: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Ousmane Dieng: Points O/U 13.5No won
Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Spread: Celtics (-16.5)Celtics won
Spread: Celtics (-17.5)Celtics won
Spread: Celtics (-18.5)Celtics won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Celtics vs. Bucks

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event