NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-16.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x087b259934052916b5be7285fa5de368a872090f30c628425ad5e0a1a8258937

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Celticsof Celtics, Bucks
Resolved: Apr 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $628,473
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $714,918

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $628,473 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5ae1…9fadbacked Bucks	44c	403,902$177,717 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177,716.74	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+6.4wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+41%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Celtics	56c	400,000$224,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175,999.96	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Celtics	56c	45,951$25,733 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,218.44	375	39.5%148 W · 227 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Celtics	58c	42,217$24,366 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,851.57	365	49.6%181 W · 184 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bucks	44c	30,380$13,261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,261.12	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Bucks	42c	18,578$7,803 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,802.93	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Bucks	44c	6,765$2,977 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,976.51	158	50.6%80 W · 78 L	+10.3wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Bucks	43c	6,636$2,853 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,853.3	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks	44c	5,355$2,356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,356.12	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Celtics	55c	4,910$2,698 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,211.52	208	43.8%91 W · 117 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Bucks	44c	4,223$1,858 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,858.05	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Bucks	44c	4,223$1,858 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,858.05	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Celtics	57c	3,897$2,221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,675.62	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Celtics	56c	3,000$1,680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,320	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x031a…50b7backed Celtics	59c	2,546$1,490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,055.8	93	57%53 W · 40 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bucks	44c	2,416$1,063 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,063.04	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Celtics	52c	2,000$1,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960	691	49.1%339 W · 352 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucks	42c	1,697$713 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$712.74	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks	43c	1,488$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$639.84	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Bucks	45c	1,315$592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$591.55	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Bucks	44c	1,090$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.79	716	54.1%387 W · 329 L	+21.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62b6…5de0backed Bucks	44c	919.04$404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$404.29	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b62…728abacked Bucks	46c	865.78$398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398.26	115	56.5%65 W · 50 L	+5.6wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Celtics	57c	856.42$487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$369.81	487	51.7%252 W · 235 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Bucks	12c	754.95$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.04	268	39.2%105 W · 163 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Bucks	43c	749.94$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.48	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Bucks	15c	711.29$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.69	188	35.1%66 W · 122 L	+24.5wins	+0.13per pick	22cpaid	+116.5%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Bucks	44c	655.19$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.28	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdef1…c0debacked Celtics	56c	591$331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.04	68	52.9%36 W · 32 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Celtics	57c	584.52$333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$251.34	493	45.2%223 W · 270 L	-14.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks	49c	573.78$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.56	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Celtics	61c	557.31$339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217.9	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Bucks	43c	552.03$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.46	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe0d2…ad14backed Celtics	54c	540.22$292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248.5	144	50.7%73 W · 71 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Celtics	56c	500$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220	228	46.1%105 W · 123 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b9…74d8backed Celtics	57c	448.13$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.7	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+75.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Bucks	49c	441.81$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.49	564	47.9%270 W · 294 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Celtics	57c	437.18$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.07	349	53%185 W · 164 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Celtics	53c	392.22$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.34	443	45.1%200 W · 243 L	+2.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Bucks	15c	381.7$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.28	1,532	42.5%651 W · 881 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Bucks	43c	355.93$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.05	568	43.8%249 W · 319 L	-25.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Bucks	43c	325.51$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.97	813	49.4%402 W · 411 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Bucks	45c	300$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.28	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed Bucks	45c	256.7$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.32	276	45.3%125 W · 151 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Bucks	43c	252.65$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.06	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Bucks	42c	250$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	796	50.9%405 W · 391 L	+63.2wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Bucks	42c	243.29$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.99	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Bucks	44c	219.64$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.64	350	52.6%184 W · 166 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Bucks	44c	211.88$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.23	516	47.5%245 W · 271 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Celtics	56c	205.97$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.83	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Celtics	54c	201.29$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.59	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Bucks	42c	200$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	686	45.5%312 W · 374 L	-22.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Bucks	43c	196.59$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.6	389	47.6%185 W · 204 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a2e…3ef0backed Celtics	51c	196.05$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.07	263	45.6%120 W · 143 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Celtics	57c	194.84$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.78	619	57.5%356 W · 263 L	+21.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Celtics	54c	180.07$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.83	381	52.8%201 W · 180 L	+18.2wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cee…dfadbacked Celtics	55c	176.91$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.61	136	55.9%76 W · 60 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a5c…0fc2backed Celtics	57c	175.36$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.4	102	55.9%57 W · 45 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Bucks	44c	164.73$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.48	917	46.9%430 W · 487 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Bucks	43c	163$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.09	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Bucks	44c	156.93$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.05	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Bucks	45c	154.72$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.62	565	47.8%270 W · 295 L	+9.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Bucks	45c	154.72$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.62	456	46.7%213 W · 243 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x69b7…ae1dbacked Celtics	57c	132.15$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.82	94	50%47 W · 47 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Bucks	25c	129.36$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.68	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Bucks	44c	121.77$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.58	775	49.2%381 W · 394 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Bucks	45c	121.73$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.78	481	52%250 W · 231 L	+13.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd4…50bcbacked Celtics	57c	117.47$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.51	154	48.7%75 W · 79 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Bucks	44c	109.82$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.32	653	49.9%326 W · 327 L	+20.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdade…8e37backed Bucks	48c	106.57$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.15	59	39%23 W · 36 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Celtics	55c	106.15$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.77	909	57.6%524 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Bucks	42c	100$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	533	39.6%211 W · 322 L	-39.9wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Celtics	55c	88.45$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.8	275	49.5%136 W · 139 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed Celtics	56c	86.93$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.25	14	78.6%11 W · 3 L	+3.5wins	+0.25per pick	53cpaid	+45.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Bucks	26c	85.56$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	1,283	23.4%300 W · 983 L	-178.2wins	-0.14per pick	37cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Bucks	43c	82$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.26	367	49.6%182 W · 185 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Celtics	64c	81.86$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.38	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x015d…7bc7backed Bucks	47c	81.53$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.32	65	53.8%35 W · 30 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Celtics	57c	73.02$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.5	160	53.8%86 W · 74 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Celtics	57c	70.11$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.15	152	52.6%80 W · 72 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x707e…a614backed Celtics	55c	61.92$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.86	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-3.0wins	-0.12per pick	40cpaid	-22%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Bucks	46c	61.54$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.06	1,048	51.7%542 W · 506 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Celtics	76c	61.43$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.59	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Celtics	57c	55.53$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.88	498	52.6%262 W · 236 L	+15.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdee1…ff2cbacked Bucks	27c	55.21$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.91	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c44…5eefbacked Bucks	44c	54.57$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.01	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Bucks	46c	53.69$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.7	361	53.5%193 W · 168 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9e…f670backed Celtics	55c	48.65$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.89	113	45.1%51 W · 62 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf841…b2ebbacked Celtics	53c	48.59$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.84	140	49.3%69 W · 71 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Bucks	42c	47.14$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Celtics	55c	44.23$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.9	257	52.5%135 W · 122 L	-9.3wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Bucks	45c	44.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.76	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Bucks	23c	43.75$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.12	600	49.8%299 W · 301 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Celtics	52c	43.32$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.79	935	43.6%408 W · 527 L	-32.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7de8…0a3bbacked Bucks	47c	41.25$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.39	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Bucks	44c	39.53$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.4	478	52.9%253 W · 225 L	+13.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5676…7da7backed Bucks	44c	37.79$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.63	130	38.5%50 W · 80 L	-7.8wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x391c…ea3fbacked Celtics	54c	36.01$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.57	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	-4.8wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xea75…f4babacked Celtics	56c	34.77$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.3	22	50%11 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x06f0…ad99backed Celtics	57c	34.18$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.7	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Celtics (-16.5)this page
Celtics vs. BucksCeltics won
Celtics vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 216.5Over won
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 217.5Over won
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5Over won
Gary Trent Jr.: Points O/U 11.5No won
Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
Ousmane Dieng: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Ousmane Dieng: Points O/U 13.5No won
Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Spread: Celtics (-17.5)Celtics won
Spread: Celtics (-18.5)Celtics won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Celtics (-16.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event