NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 216.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe705910de81fb846d4003a4ceec7abd4757eb828e35da6a49daf3ce415d27134
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 54c | 20,245$10,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,338.16 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 16,703$7,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,818.34 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 44c | 4,810$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.99 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 4,579$2,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,212.68 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8d…01debacked Over | 52c | 4,567$2,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,192.16 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Over | 54c | 3,615$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.89 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Under | 47c | 1,924$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.07 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Over | 53c | 1,834$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.78 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 51c | 1,547$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.73 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 44c | 1,485$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.35 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 1,455$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.75 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 1,435$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.78 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 47c | 1,205$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.31 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 1,015$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.75 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 53c | 969.78$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.6 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 53c | 969.78$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.6 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 53c | 921.59$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.79 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 848.58$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.01 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 748.3$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.71 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 48c | 598$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.04 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 49c | 515.69$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.65 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Over | 51c | 499.87$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.94 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 47c | 443.1$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.38 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 73c | 420.95$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.06 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 27c | 342$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.34 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked Over | 53c | 330.41$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.29 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Under | 46c | 325.95$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…2ccdbacked Over | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Over | 53c | 291.54$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.02 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 16c | 201.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Under | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Over | 54c | 180.94$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.72 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Under | 47c | 180$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…6b22backed Over | 52c | 155.91$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 46c | 152$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 46c | 150.15$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.07 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa361…3ea7backed Under | 48c | 142.31$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.31 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x549d…35b9backed Over | 52c | 130.74$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.75 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 48c | 125.61$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.73 | 202 | 40.1%81 W · 121 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdade…8e37backed Under | 49c | 108.71$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 47c | 102.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Over | 54c | 102.1$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.97 | 185 | 34.1%63 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…8961backed Under | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…306fbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Over | 70c | 97.86$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 54c | 97.24$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 54c | 94.57$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf433…2464backed Over | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Over | 53c | 92.3$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.72 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…8320backed Over | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 54c | 88.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.23 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 49c | 84.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 47c | 78.24$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Under | 47c | 69.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 53c | 66.92$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.18 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Over | 52c | 60.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 57c | 57.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over | 54c | 52.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…37e6backed Over | 54c | 52.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Over | 54c | 52.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 135 | 41.5%56 W · 79 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 47c | 51.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad51…d76dbacked Under | 48c | 49.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7492…6568backed Over | 53c | 48.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 319 | 55.2%176 W · 143 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe847…b7e2backed Over | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Under | 48c | 45.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 48c | 42.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Over | 52c | 41.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Under | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…ed6bbacked Under | 49c | 39.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc342…c744backed Over | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 219 | 52.5%115 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391c…ea3fbacked Over | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9681…9199backed Over | 53c | 36.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…b9b3backed Under | 48c | 36.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 55c | 35.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…2eaabacked Over | 54c | 34.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Under | 48c | 30.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 64c | 28.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe35…6789backed Over | 53c | 27.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 48c | 27.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 361 | 53.5%193 W · 168 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…2501backed Under | 48c | 23.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…99a0backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…5eefbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 53c | 19.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 329 | 57.4%189 W · 140 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 216.5this page
- Celtics vs. BucksCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 217.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5Over won
- Gary Trent Jr.: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Ousmane Dieng: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Ousmane Dieng: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-16.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-17.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-18.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.