TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 216.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,236
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,308

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,236 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Over54c20,245$10,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,338.1684443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c16,703$7,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,818.349,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under44c4,810$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,119.9915644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c4,579$2,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,212.684,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8d…01debacked Over52c4,567$2,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,192.164332.6%14 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Over54c3,615$1,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,670.8920843.8%91 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Under47c1,924$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.0725641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf984…5098backed Over53c1,834$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.787337%27 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over51c1,547$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.736,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under44c1,485$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.351,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under45c1,455$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.754,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under46c1,435$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.781,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under47c1,205$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.3166248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under45c1,015$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.755,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over53c969.78$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.61,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over53c969.78$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.690650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over53c921.59$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.7971654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c848.58$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.013,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c748.3$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.714,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28227746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under48c598$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.0456843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under49c515.69$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.651,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Over51c499.87$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.9424151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Under47c443.1$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.3817643.2%76 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over73c420.95$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.0652951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under27c342$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.3426839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab2a…30edbacked Over53c330.41$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.296737.3%25 W · 42 L-9.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under46c326.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under46c325.95$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9447436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1412,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc423…2ccdbacked Over51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.1210854.6%59 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Over53c291.54$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.0221653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under46c250$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1155,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under16c201.92$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.81,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Under48c201.83$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8810745.8%49 W · 58 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6535052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6551647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1861151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Over54c180.94$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.7229554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Under47c180$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.621347.9%102 W · 111 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6185…6b22backed Over52c155.91$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.84580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+39.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under46c152$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.922,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under46c150.15$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.071,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa361…3ea7backed Under48c142.31$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.311947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x549d…35b9backed Over52c130.74$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7511354.9%62 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under48c125.61$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7320240.1%81 W · 121 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6093543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdade…8e37backed Under49c108.71$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.275939%23 W · 36 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under47c102.79$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6681349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Over54c102.1$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9718534.1%63 W · 122 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under48c100.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4466046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d9d…8961backed Under48c100.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.44616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-69.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2110…306fbacked Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497844.9%35 W · 43 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4733949.9%169 W · 170 L-1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Over70c97.86$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1110850%54 W · 54 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over54c97.24$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7360346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over54c94.57$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.981,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Over52c93.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8214444.4%64 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ac2…e183backed Over53c92.3$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.724057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbde…8320backed Over53c91.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.09450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over54c88.24$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2359250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under49c84.18$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2556447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under47c78.24$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9680653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Under47c69.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8917747.5%84 W · 93 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over53c66.92$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.181,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed Over52c60.49$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.049646.9%45 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over57c57.13$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.571,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over54c52.38$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.114852.7%78 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0198…37e6backed Over54c52.38$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.15653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Over54c52.38$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.113541.5%56 W · 79 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Under47c51.13$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.036336.5%23 W · 40 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad51…d76dbacked Under48c49.4$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.896741.8%28 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7492…6568backed Over53c48.59$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8431955.2%176 W · 143 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe847…b7e2backed Over53c45.84$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.545856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb81e…8ab9backed Under48c45.5$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8411355.8%63 W · 50 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over54c45.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7157051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under48c42.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.491,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Over52c41.09$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.722142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x68cc…e8c8backed Under49c39.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.398951.7%46 W · 43 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x104b…ed6bbacked Under49c39.17$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.193850%19 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc342…c744backed Over53c36.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over53c36.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2421952.5%115 W · 104 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x391c…ea3fbacked Over53c36.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.244645.7%21 W · 25 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9681…9199backed Over53c36.62$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.185754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3603…b9b3backed Under48c36.21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.383943.6%17 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over55c35.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1453348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc450…2eaabacked Over54c34.21$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.741758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Under48c30.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4826450%132 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over64c28.28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.23,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe35…6789backed Over53c27.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9315054.7%82 W · 68 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under48c27.22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0752552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Under46c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0436153.5%193 W · 168 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2000…2501backed Under48c23.97$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf958…99a0backed Over52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.63652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb963…5eefbacked Over51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.81250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over53c19.44$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1332957.4%189 W · 140 L+18.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.