TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x549d…35b9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
184
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT11354.9%62 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 113 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.5
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.5
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$70.5
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$66
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$76.5
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$79.5
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.5
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$66
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$82.5
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$75
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$76.5
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$70.5
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$73.49
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.17
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.5
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$78
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.5
Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$72
Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$79.5
Showing 25 of 113 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2650%13 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.94
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.91
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 159.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.24
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 157.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$48.5
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.44
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.65
West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Creighton Bluejays: O/U 134.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$44.82
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Creighton Bluejays: O/U 151.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.78
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Creighton Bluejaysbacked Creighton Bluejays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$22.97
Stanford Cardinal vs. West Virginia Mountaineersbacked West Virginia Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+97.6%+$37.89
Baylor Bears vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers: O/U 148.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$35.86
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Colorado Buffaloes: O/U 165.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.82
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$48.15
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 133.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.33
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.87
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$39.65
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.78
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 138.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.69
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 134.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.69
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$28.39
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$37.59
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 139.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.74
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$41.08
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 165.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$30.95
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 148.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.74
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.89
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$30.99
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$76.5
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$64.5
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Red Wings vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.2
Kings vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Capitals vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Senators vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Blackhawks vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Devils vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Canadiens vs. Devils: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$48.75
Blues vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$27.8
Capitals vs. Devils: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
All 17 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona vs. Valencia: O/U 174.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$41
Barcelona vs. Valenciabacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Barcelona vs. Valencia: O/U 173.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.5
Valencia vs. Barcelona: O/U 175.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Valencia vs. Barcelonabacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: Valencia (-5.5)backed Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.28
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Real Madridbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Monaco vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.83
Saski Baskonia vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.5
Paris Basketball vs. Olimpia Milanobacked Paris Basketball · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+100.4%+$38.96
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Panathinaikosbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$32.75
Fenerbahce vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. BC Dubaibacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
All 13 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5)backed Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Spread: Indiana Fever (-1.5)backed Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$50.6
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Spread: Dallas Wings (-5.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 160.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 177.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$24.61
Spread: New York Liberty (-6.5)backed Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.7
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5)backed Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.4
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-4.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Stormbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Spread: Seattle Storm (-1.5)backed Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-7.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$40
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.75
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$19.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.