Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Creighton Bluejays: O/U 134.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcce1c95da1429312284fc88d6d3fe1b40c6e14a4fc298322bd844e4ff2c8abc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.93 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 55c | 3,004$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.61 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Over | 55c | 1,065$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 55c | 718.27$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.34 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 55c | 644.62$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.25 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 55c | 620.08$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.16 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 55c | 522.36$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.18 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 55c | 511.75$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.41 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 55c | 473.05$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.04 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 55c | 315.84$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.25 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 55c | 313.44$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.22 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 55c | 301.48$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.84 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 55c | 265.36$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.41 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 55c | 221.92$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.16 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Under | 44c | 196.59$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 55c | 195.91$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.16 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 48c | 146$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…a2cdbacked Over | 52c | 123.76$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Over | 55c | 123.13$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Over | 55c | 121.68$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 55c | 117.73$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.98 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over | 55c | 106.2$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 54c | 94.46$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x549d…35b9backed Over | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 48c | 88.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.38 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Over | 55c | 43.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76b…b834backed Over | 55c | 42.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 54c | 36.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 55c | 32.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6caa…4fb3backed Under | 46c | 31.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6c…e9a0backed Under | 46c | 31.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Over | 54c | 29.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 48c | 28.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over | 55c | 20.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Over | 55c | 20.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over | 55c | 20.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Over | 55c | 20.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e8…8435backed Over | 55c | 20.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 55c | 20.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Over | 55c | 20.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…18f9backed Over | 55c | 20.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Over | 55c | 19.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed Over | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Creighton Bluejays: O/U 134.5this page
- Spread: Creighton Bluejays (-1.5)West Virginia Mountaineers won
- Spread: West Virginia Mountaineers (-1.5)West Virginia Mountaineers won
- West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Creighton BluejaysWest Virginia Mountaineers won
- West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Creighton Bluejays: O/U 136.5Over won
- West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Creighton Bluejays: O/U 150.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.