Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: West Virginia Mountaineers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30c8a333285784e989409f8ae6dbcd8d391ea344c5aad44eee8b4bf82431426b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- West Virginia Mountaineersof West Virginia Mountaineers, Creighton Bluejays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,978
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 49c | 60,000$29,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,600 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9b…945abacked Creighton Bluejays | 51c | 38,824$19,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,800.24 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Creighton Bluejays | 51c | 15,176$7,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,739.75 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Creighton Bluejays | 51c | 5,500$2,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,810 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 50c | 2,375$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.41 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Creighton Bluejays | 52c | 1,596$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.04 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 45c | 457.88$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.84 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Creighton Bluejays | 54c | 292.72$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Creighton Bluejays | 55c | 285.09$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.61 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa04…796bbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 54c | 198.57$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.34 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 48c | 181.65$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.46 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Creighton Bluejays | 42c | 139.22$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.82 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca6a…5304backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 62c | 68.83$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Creighton Bluejays | 40c | 47.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Creighton Bluejays | 49c | 39.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…bdaabacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Creighton Bluejays | 53c | 37.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Creighton Bluejays | 44c | 36.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6caa…4fb3backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 47c | 30.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6c…e9a0backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 48c | 30.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 48c | 29.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Creighton Bluejays | 37c | 27.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: West Virginia Mountaineers (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Creighton Bluejays (-1.5)West Virginia Mountaineers won
- West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Creighton BluejaysWest Virginia Mountaineers won
- West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Creighton Bluejays: O/U 134.5Over won
- West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Creighton Bluejays: O/U 136.5Over won
- West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Creighton Bluejays: O/U 150.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.