TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc547…bdaa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NHL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 54 out of 100; worst Middle East at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT2552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.26
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.43
Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.76
Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 244.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+79.7%+$11.63
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.65
Spread: Warriors (-15.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Spread: Warriors (-14.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.9
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.23
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.13
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.56
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.99
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.43
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.36
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.18
Spread: Thunder (-24.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$43.09
Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$27.98
Spread: Cavaliers (-15.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.43
Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Spread: Suns (-10.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.46
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.48
Spread: Bucks (-6.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.3
Spread: Celtics (-17.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.4
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.99
All 25 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.24
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.01
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.43
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.24
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Athletics vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.47
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$26.73
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.13
Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.02
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.18
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canucks vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Lightning vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Blackhawks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Devils vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Panthers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Blues vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Canucks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Renato Moicano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$18.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.