NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32754ad95e25a4c806609f4de968c3a90e414348e090b12a56d58adff65d82c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 51c | 12,924$6,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,621.9 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 49c | 10,850$5,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,533.49 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 42c | 5,592$2,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,243.05 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 56c | 2,494$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.08 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 2,291$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.32 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 53c | 2,240$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.05 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Under | 48c | 2,089$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.78 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 1,736$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.88 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 1,642$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.36 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 928.56$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.08 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Over | 48c | 883.55$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.44 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 50c | 683.59$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.21 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Over | 48c | 591.37$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.51 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 49c | 503$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.53 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 46c | 483.8$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.25 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…2909backed Under | 51c | 420.43$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.5 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 50c | 397.08$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.54 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 50c | 397.08$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.54 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Over | 50c | 389.01$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.51 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 60c | 311.12$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.42 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Under | 52c | 289.04$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.29 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…656dbacked Under | 51c | 281.47$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.55 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -7.6wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6a…77bbbacked Under | 51c | 271.77$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x392d…b815backed Over | 51c | 259.15$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 40c | 235.78$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.48 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 56c | 226.1$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.36 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 51c | 203.83$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.95 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927a…f706backed Under | 52c | 193.51$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.63 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 48c | 185.19$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.3 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7192…7000backed Under | 52c | 185.06$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.15 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 47c | 182.65$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.49 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Under | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 35c | 175.86$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.55 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 41c | 148.92$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 50c | 126.09$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.51 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Under | 55c | 113.77$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.58 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked Over | 48c | 113.03$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.77 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Over | 50c | 111$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 177 | 40.1%71 W · 106 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Over | 52c | 98.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.51 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Over | 55c | 97.3$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfd…f319backed Under | 53c | 97.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 443 | 47.2%209 W · 234 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa88b…976cbacked Over | 49c | 93.93$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 48cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3e…6d3fbacked Over | 41c | 93.61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.23 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Under | 52c | 92.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 162 | 45.1%73 W · 89 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under | 51c | 92.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 45c | 92$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.53 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c1…ab1ebacked Under | 54c | 90.87$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +135.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 75.49$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 52c | 74.39$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 52c | 70.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b5…5aa7backed Over | 51c | 63.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +187%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 42c | 59.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb97…5356backed Over | 47c | 58.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Under | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d9…34b4backed Under | 52c | 55.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35a1…2254backed Over | 48c | 52.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 367 | 49.6%182 W · 185 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 45c | 49.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Under | 51c | 44.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…e713backed Over | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…9e4bbacked Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeed2…ad97backed Under | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0de8…990abacked Under | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…bdaabacked Under | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…bb4abacked Over | 50c | 34.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.38per pick | 51cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…9b83backed Under | 60c | 33.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x278f…5c17backed Under | 47c | 30.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 48c | 29.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 64c | 29.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 51c | 29.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9e…8e90backed Under | 54c | 29.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…07d1backed Under | 53c | 27.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1e…288cbacked Under | 49c | 26.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 55c | 25.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d9…7964backed Under | 49c | 25.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 47c | 23.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Under | 54c | 23.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Over | 50c | 23.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 50c | 22.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5111…72a4backed Under | 49c | 21.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Over | 51c | 20.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 53c | 19.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5)Wizards won
- Wizards vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 250.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.